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Benfica - OFI

Europa League December 10, 2026 21:00
#7 · 3 pts
vs
#9 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.12%
Win
Benfica
20.13%
Draw
18.76%
Win
OFI
3.31
Expected xG
0.64
Most likely outcome
Benfica
61.12%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.72%)
1X2 Result
1 61%
X 20%
2 19%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 81%
X2 39%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benfica a 61% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 18% for OFI. Expected goals are 3.3 for Benfica and 0.6 for OFI (total 3.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.72% probability.

Season Stats

Benfica
5W 1D 1L
OFI
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.3
0.9
Conceded
0.0
9.0
Shots OT
3.7
6.0
Corners
3.0
61%
Poss.
26%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
33%
71%
BTTS
0%
29%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Benfica
3W 0D 0L · at home
OFI
1W 0D 0L · away
4.7
gls/g
2.0
0.7
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Benfica OFI →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% — —
1 6.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% — —
2 10.5% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 11.6% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 9.6% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 6.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% — —

Recent form

W AC Milan 0–2
W Aarhus 1–3
W Aarhus 3–1
D Heart Of Midlothian 1–1
W Heart Of Midlothian 6–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
OFI OFI
W 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0
W CSKA Sofia 0–2
W CSKA Sofia 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 46%

Playing profile

Benfica Benfica
Attack
63
Defence
75
Form
74
OFI OFI
Attack
42
Defence
74
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Benfica vs OFI?
The model gives Benfica a 61% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 18% for an OFI win.
How many goals are expected in Benfica vs OFI?
Expected goals: Benfica 3.3, OFI 0.6 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Benfica vs OFI?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.72%.