Benin - Central African Republic
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.76%
Win
Benin
34.34%
Draw
25.9%
Win
Central African Republic
0.94
0.47
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.12%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
34%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
60%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benin a 39% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Central African Republic. Expected goals are 0.9 for Benin and 0.5 for Central African Republic (total 1.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.12% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
0W
0D
2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.5
1.0
Conceded
2.0
5.5
Shots OT
3.0
4.0
Corners
5.5
41%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Benin
Central African Republic →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Benin
Attack
29
Defence
63
Form
42
Central African Republic
Attack
22
Defence
51
Form
1
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group F
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benin
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Burkina Faso
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Mauritania
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Central African Republic
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group F
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #4 |
| → Benin | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #4 |
| → Central African Republic | #1 | #4 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Benin vs Central African Republic?
The model gives Benin a 39% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 25% for an Central African Republic win.
How many goals are expected in Benin vs Central African Republic?
Expected goals: Benin 0.9, Central African Republic 0.5 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Benin vs Central African Republic?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.12%.