Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 3
November 12, 2026 20:00
Imourane Hassane
7'
Rodolfo Aloko
31'
Aiyegun Tosin
(ast. Yamirou Ouorou)
36'
Aiyegun Tosin
(ast. Junior Olaitan)
56'
19'
Louis Mafouta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benin a 54% win probability (draw 28%, Central African Republic 17%). The final result was Benin 4–1 Central African Republic.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
16
8
Shots on target
5
2.97
Actual xG
1.08
4
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
8
17
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Imourane Hassane
7'
19'
Louis Mafouta⚽
⚽Rodolfo Aloko
31'
⚽Aiyegun Tosin
· ast. Yamirou Ouorou
36'
42'
Hugo Gambor
45'
James Emmanuel Okeke
/
F. Yangao
45'
Moustapha Djimet
/
Christian-Theodor Yawanendji-Malipangou
⚽Aiyegun Tosin
· ast. Junior Olaitan
56'
Yamirou Ouorou
/ Junior Olugbade
67'
Aiyegun Tosin
/ Joseph Oloko Ede
67'
Junior Olaitan
/ Dokou Dodo
67'
73'
Salomon Sambia
/
Geoffrey Kondogbia
84'
Chris Tamro Mbaï Assem
/
Hugo Gambor
Sessi D'Almeida
/ Matteo Ahlinvi
84'
85'
Sami wattel
/
Isaac Solet Bomawoko
Pre-match prediction
54.08%
Benin ←
28.15%
X
17.76%
Central
we assigned to the actual result (Benin)
54.08%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
2.97
+2.03
0.47
1.08
+0.61
Benin dominated by xG (2.97 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Dandjinou
G
M. Dandjinou
G
3
Tamimou Ouorou
D
Tamimou Ouorou
D
2
M. Tijani
D
M. Tijani
D
5
Y. Roche
D
Y. Roche
D
12
C. Azongnitode
D
C. Azongnitode
D
8
H. Imourane
1 ⚽
M
H. Imourane
1 ⚽
M
15
S. D'Almeida
84'
M
S. D'Almeida
84'
M
13
Y. Ouorou
1 👟
67'
M
Y. Ouorou
1 👟
67'
M
18
J. Olaitan
1 👟
67'
M
J. Olaitan
1 👟
67'
M
17
R. Aloko
1 ⚽
M
R. Aloko
1 ⚽
M
10
A. Tosin
2 ⚽
67'
F
A. Tosin
2 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
19
D. Dokou
23'
M
D. Dokou
23'
M
25
J. Ede
23'
F
J. Ede
23'
F
6
L. Omore
F
L. Omore
F
7
M. Ahlinvi
6'
M
M. Ahlinvi
6'
M
11
R. Moumini
D
R. Moumini
D
16
S. Allagbé
G
S. Allagbé
G
22
S. Attidjikou
M
S. Attidjikou
M
16
D. Youfeigane
G
D. Youfeigane
G
24
45'
D
23
H. Gambor
84'
D
H. Gambor
84'
D
2
J. Kouadio
D
J. Kouadio
D
3
45'
D
6
B. Diomandé
M
B. Diomandé
M
19
G. Kondogbia
73'
M
G. Kondogbia
73'
M
8
I. Solet Bomawoko
85'
M
I. Solet Bomawoko
85'
M
10
G. Koyalipou
M
G. Koyalipou
M
18
45'
M
9
L. Mafouta
1 ⚽
F
L. Mafouta
1 ⚽
F
Bench
4
C. Mbai Assem
6'
D
C. Mbai Assem
6'
D
5
J. Emmanuel Okeke
45'
D
J. Emmanuel Okeke
45'
D
17
J. Sambia
17'
D
J. Sambia
17'
D
11
M. Djimet
45'
F
M. Djimet
45'
F
14
S. Tatolna
D
S. Tatolna
D
Best on the pitch
A. Tosin
F · Benin
8.92
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 10 pass
H. Imourane
M · Benin
8.03
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
R. Aloko
M · Benin
7.80
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
J. Olaitan
M · Benin
7.70
1 👟
5 shots
· 25 pass
L. Mafouta
F · Central
7.56
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
M. Dandjinou
G · Benin
7.41
· 29 pass
Benin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dandjinou | G | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Tamimou Ouorou | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tijani | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Roche | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Azongnitode | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Imourane | M | 90 | 8.03 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| S. D'Almeida | M | 84 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ouorou | M | 67 | 7.13 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 67 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 5 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Aloko | M | 90 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Tosin | F | 67 | 8.92 | 2 | — | 6 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Dokou | M | 23 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ede | F | 23 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ahlinvi | M | 6 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Central African Republic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Youfeigane | G | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| H. Gambor | D | 84 | 5.62 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 43% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Kouadio | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Diomandé | M | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 7 | — | — |
| G. Kondogbia | M | 73 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Solet Bomawoko | M | 85 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Koyalipou | M | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 5 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Mafouta | F | 90 | 7.56 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Mbai Assem | D | 6 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Emmanuel Okeke | D | 45 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sambia | D | 17 | 5.29 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Djimet | F | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benin vs Central African Republic?
The final score was Benin 4–1 Central African Republic.
What did the model predict before Benin vs Central African Republic?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Benin win, 28% to a draw, and 17% to an Central African Republic win.