Benin - Mauritania
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.44%
Win
Benin
32.21%
Draw
34.34%
Win
Mauritania
1.16
1.22
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.59%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mauritania a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Benin. Expected goals are 1.2 for Benin and 1.2 for Mauritania (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.59% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Benin
Mauritania →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Benin
Attack
21
Defence
60
Form
48
Mauritania
Attack
22
Defence
80
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Benin vs Mauritania?
The model gives Benin a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Mauritania win.
How many goals are expected in Benin vs Mauritania?
Expected goals: Benin 1.2, Mauritania 1.2 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Benin vs Mauritania?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.59%.