CONCACAF Nations League
· League B - 2
October 06, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Barbados
Djair Parfitt Williams
(ast. Tokia russell)
75'
79'
(ast. Niall Reid-Stephen)
Thierry Gale
82'
(ast. Niall Reid-Stephen)
Thierry Gale
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barbados a 76% win probability (draw 10%, Bermuda 12%). The final result was Bermuda 1–2 Barbados. In 1 previous meetings, Bermuda have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barbados.
Match statistics
30
Total shots
29
2
Shots on target
8
0
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
8
33
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Tokia russell
19'
31'
Andreas Applewhaite
Ne-Jai Tucker
/ Zeiko Lewis
45'
Sincere hall
/ Blayz Burnell Borgesson
54'
Lejaun Simmons
/ Justin·Donawa
58'
61'
Colin Griffith
/
Jaron oughterson
⚽Djair Parfitt Williams
· ast. Tokia russell
75'
79'
ast. Niall Reid-Stephen ·
Thierry Gale⚽
82'
ast. Niall Reid-Stephen ·
Thierry Gale⚽
86'
Colin Griffith
Deniche Hill
86'
Robinson l.
/ C. McDowall
87'
Tokia russell
/ Elisha Darrell
87'
Jorj Dublin
88'
90'+2
Z. Applewhite
/
Jaheim Neblett
90'+2
J. Gilkes
/
Omani Leacock
Pre-match prediction
12.95%
Bermuda
10.96%
X
76.09%
Barbados ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barbados)
76.09%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
—
—
3.85
—
—
Lineups
12
89'
G
11
D. Hill
D
D. Hill
D
17
89'
D
16
89'
D
7
89'
D
8
D. Parfitt-Williams
1 ⚽
M
D. Parfitt-Williams
1 ⚽
M
18
89'
M
20
89'
M
6
89'
M
9
89'
F
5
89'
F
Bench
13
Blayz Borgesson
36'
F
Blayz Borgesson
36'
F
22
J. Donawa
32'
D
J. Donawa
32'
D
1
J. Blackman
G
J. Blackman
G
3
A. Applewhaite
D
A. Applewhaite
D
20
89'
D
4
89'
D
2
89'
D
23
89'
D
11
T. Gale
2 ⚽
M
T. Gale
2 ⚽
M
5
89'
M
8
89'
M
7
89'
M
10
N. Reid-Stephen
2 👟
F
N. Reid-Stephen
2 👟
F
Bench
19
Colin Griffith
29'
F
Colin Griffith
29'
F
9
T. James
F
T. James
F
Best on the pitch
T. Gale
M · Barbados
9.52
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 46 pass
N. Reid-Stephen
F · Barbados
8.59
2 👟
3 shots
· 43 pass
D. Parfitt-Williams
M · Bermuda
7.31
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
M · Barbados
6.66
3 shots
· 46 pass
M · Barbados
6.66
3 shots
· 46 pass
M · Barbados
6.66
3 shots
· 46 pass
Bermuda — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Hill | D | 90 | 5.24 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Parfitt-Williams | M | 90 | 7.31 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| F | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| F | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| Blayz Borgesson | F | 36 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Donawa | D | 32 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Barbados — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Blackman | G | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Applewhaite | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| T. Gale | M | 90 | 9.52 | 2 | — | 4 | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| N. Reid-Stephen | F | 90 | 8.59 | — | 2 | 3 | 43 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Colin Griffith | F | 29 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bermuda vs Barbados?
The final score was Bermuda 1–2 Barbados.
What did the model predict before Bermuda vs Barbados?
The model assigned 12% probability to a Bermuda win, 10% to a draw, and 76% to an Barbados win.