✗Model wrong — prediction Beşiktaş, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beşiktaş a 65% win probability (draw 21%, Fatih Karagümrük 12%). The final result was Beşiktaş 0–0 Fatih Karagümrük. In 1 previous meetings, Beşiktaş have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fatih Karagümrük.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
2.02
Actual xG
0.61
3
Saves
7
70%
Possession
30%
5
Corners
2
9
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Topcu
14'
35'
T. Ahmed
56'
M. Kranevitter
/
S. Larsson
56'
S. Babicka
/
T. Ahmed
M. Rashica
/ V. Cerny
66'
72'
T. Cukur
/
B. Elmaz
74'
F. Mladenovic
75'
I. Lichnovsky
R. Yilmaz
77'
78'
A. Cinar
/
Serginho
78'
C. Kurukalip
/
B. Kalayci
J. Olaitan
/ K. Asllani
81'
E. B. Toure
/ M. Hekimoglu
81'
Pre-match prediction
65.65%
Beşiktaş
21.85%
X ←
12.5%
Fatih
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
2.02
-0.17
0.86
0.61
-0.25
Beşiktaş dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
32
G
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
D
Rıdvan Yılmaz
D
53
Emirhan Topçu
D
Emirhan Topçu
D
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
D
Emmanuel Agbadou
D
22
D
4
W. Ndidi
M
W. Ndidi
M
19
E. Touré
81'
M
E. Touré
81'
M
15
J. Olaitan
81'
M
J. Olaitan
81'
M
10
O. Kökçü
M
O. Kökçü
M
7
M. Rashica
66'
M
M. Rashica
66'
M
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
F
Hyeon-gyu Oh
F
Bench
11
C. Ünder
F
C. Ünder
F
26
Jota Silva
F
Jota Silva
F
23
K. Asllani
9'
M
K. Asllani
9'
M
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
9'
F
8
Salih Uçan
M
Salih Uçan
M
18
Václav Černý
24'
F
Václav Černý
24'
F
13
G
25
F. Mladenović
D
F. Mladenović
D
3
I. Lichnovsky
D
I. Lichnovsky
D
4
D
47
D
72
Baris Kalayci
78'
M
Baris Kalayci
78'
M
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
72'
M
Bartuğ Elmaz
72'
M
8
Berkay Özcan
M
Berkay Özcan
M
88
Traore Ahmed
56'
M
Traore Ahmed
56'
M
23
S. Larsson
56'
F
S. Larsson
56'
F
70
Serginho
78'
F
Serginho
78'
F
Bench
94
A. Çınar
12'
D
A. Çınar
12'
D
33
Ç. Kurukalıp
12'
D
Ç. Kurukalıp
12'
D
5
M. Kranevitter
34'
M
M. Kranevitter
34'
M
80
S. Babicka
34'
F
S. Babicka
34'
F
21
T. Çukur
18'
F
T. Çukur
18'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Fatih
8.90
· 35 pass
O. Kökçü
M · Beşiktaş
8.20
2 shots
· 87 pass
Rıdvan Yılmaz
D · Beşiktaş
8.00
· 70 pass
W. Ndidi
M · Beşiktaş
8.00
3 shots
· 83 pass
G · Beşiktaş
7.90
· 35 pass
Emmanuel Agbadou
D · Beşiktaş
7.90
· 117 pass
Beşiktaş — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Emirhan Topçu | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 102 | 96% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 117 | 108% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| W. Ndidi | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 3 | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| E. Touré | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 42% | — | — | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 87 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rashica | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Hyeon-gyu Oh | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| K. Asllani | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Hekimoğlu | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Václav Černý | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| F. Mladenović | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Lichnovsky | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — | |
| Baris Kalayci | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Berkay Özcan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Traore Ahmed | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Larsson | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Serginho | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Çınar | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ç. Kurukalıp | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Kranevitter | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Babicka | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Çukur | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The final score was Beşiktaş 0–0 Fatih Karagümrük.
What did the model predict before Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Beşiktaş win, 21% to a draw, and 12% to an Fatih Karagümrük win.