Süper Lig · Regular Season - 27 March 19, 2026 18:00 Tüpraş Stadium, Istanbul

Beşiktaş

#4 · 18 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Kasımpaşa

#6 · 16 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beşiktaş

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beşiktaş a 67% win probability (draw 21%, Kasımpaşa 10%). The final result was Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa. In 1 previous meetings, Beşiktaş have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kasımpaşa.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

1

1.61

Actual xG

0.91

50%

Possession

50%

2

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

67.65%

Beşiktaş ←

21.44%

X

10.91%

Kasımpaşa

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beşiktaş) 67.65% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Beşiktaş

2.25

1.61

-0.64

Kasımpaşa

0.84

0.91

+0.07

Beşiktaş dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Galatasaray	9	22
2	Amed	9	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	19
4	Beşiktaş	9	18
5	Fenerbahçe	9	16
6	Kasımpaşa	9	16
7	Kocaelispor	9	15
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	14
9	Çorum FK	9	13
10	Göztepe	9	12
11	Alanyaspor	9	12
12	Başakşehir	9	11
13	Rizespor	9	10
14	Konyaspor	9	8
15	Gaziantep FK	9	8
16	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	9	8
17	Samsunspor	9	4
18	Eyüpspor	9	3