Süper Lig · Regular Season - 27 March 19, 2026 18:00 Besiktas Park, Istanbul

Beşiktaş

#4 · 60 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Kasımpaşa

#13 · 35 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beşiktaş

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beşiktaş a 67% win probability (draw 21%, Kasımpaşa 10%). The final result was Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa. In 1 previous meetings, Beşiktaş have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kasımpaşa.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

1

1.61

Actual xG

0.91

50%

Possession

50%

2

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

67.65%

Beşiktaş ←

21.44%

X

10.91%

Kasımpaşa

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beşiktaş) 67.65% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Beşiktaş

2.25

1.61

-0.64

Kasımpaşa

0.84

0.91

+0.07

Beşiktaş dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	77
2	Fenerbahçe	34	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	69
4	Beşiktaş	34	60
5	Başakşehir	34	57
6	Göztepe	34	55
7	Samsunspor	34	51
8	Rizespor	34	41
9	Konyaspor	34	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	37
12	Gaziantep FK	34	37
13	Kasımpaşa	34	35
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	34	34
15	Eyüpspor	34	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	32
17	Kayserispor	34	30
18	Fatih Karagümrük	34	30