Süper Lig · Regular Season - 27 March 19, 2026 18:00 Besiktas Park, Istanbul

Beşiktaş

#1 · 12 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Kasımpaşa

#4 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beşiktaş

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beşiktaş a 67% win probability (draw 21%, Kasımpaşa 10%). The final result was Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa. In 1 previous meetings, Beşiktaş have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kasımpaşa.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

1

1.61

Actual xG

0.91

50%

Possession

50%

2

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

67.65%

Beşiktaş ←

21.44%

X

10.91%

Kasımpaşa

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beşiktaş) 67.65% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Beşiktaş

2.25

1.61

-0.64

Kasımpaşa

0.84

0.91

+0.07

Beşiktaş dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Beşiktaş	5	12
2	Amed	5	10
3	Galatasaray	4	10
4	Kasımpaşa	5	9
5	Kocaelispor	4	9
6	Rizespor	5	9
7	Alanyaspor	5	8
8	Trabzonspor	5	7
9	Çorum FK	5	7
10	Gaziantep FK	4	7
11	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	5	7
12	Fenerbahçe	4	6
13	Samsunspor	5	4
14	Başakşehir	5	4
15	Erzurumspor FK	5	4
16	Konyaspor	5	3
17	Eyüpspor	5	3
18	Göztepe	5	2