Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 7
October 11, 2026 18:00
O. Kokcu
(ast. V. Cerny)
18'
D. Vlahovic
31'
(pen.)
27'
Show
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beşiktaş a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Kocaelispor 21%). The final result was Beşiktaş 2–1 Kocaelispor. In 3 previous meetings, Beşiktaş have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kocaelispor.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
6
2.24
Actual xG
1.51
5
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
7
11
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽O. Kokcu
· ast. V. Cerny
18'
27'
Show⚽
29'
T. Bingol
⚽D. Vlahovic
(pen.)
31'
V. Cerny
/ I. Fakili
39'
61'
R. Rivas
/
G. Sousa
71'
F. Aye
/
D. Agyei
71'
T. Gulliksen
/
T. Bingol
S. Ozcan
/ W. Ndidi
71'
R. Yilmaz
/ K. Ouattara
71'
E. Topcu
/ E. Agbadou
71'
78'
S. Oztasdelen
L. Trossard
78'
O. Kokcu
/ K. Kayra Yilmaz
84'
87'
M. Baku
/
O. Oztonga
87'
M. Cinan
/
U. Yildiz
Pre-match prediction
54.47%
Beşiktaş ←
24.34%
X
21.19%
Kocaelispor
we assigned to the actual result (Beşiktaş)
54.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.57
2.24
-0.33
0.84
1.51
+0.67
Beşiktaş dominated by xG (2.24 vs 1.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alexander Nübel
79'
G
Alexander Nübel
79'
G
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
71'
D
Rıdvan Yılmaz
71'
D
53
Emirhan Topçu
71'
D
Emirhan Topçu
71'
D
35
Tiago Djaló
79'
D
Tiago Djaló
79'
D
62
Amir Murillo
79'
D
Amir Murillo
79'
D
6
Salih Özcan
71'
M
Salih Özcan
71'
M
19
Leandro Trossard
79'
M
Leandro Trossard
79'
M
10
O. Kökçü
1 ⚽
79'
M
O. Kökçü
1 ⚽
79'
M
21
F. Miretti
79'
M
F. Miretti
79'
M
18
Václav Černý
1 👟
39'
M
Václav Černý
1 👟
39'
M
28
D. Vlahović
1 ⚽
79'
F
D. Vlahović
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
80
Doğan Alemdar
G
Doğan Alemdar
G
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
8'
D
Emmanuel Agbadou
8'
D
17
Ernest Poku
F
Ernest Poku
F
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
F
Hyeon-gyu Oh
F
29
İlhan Fakılı
40'
F
İlhan Fakılı
40'
F
15
J. Olaitan
M
J. Olaitan
M
8
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
M
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
M
11
Kassoum Ouattara
8'
D
Kassoum Ouattara
8'
D
22
Taylan Bulut
D
Taylan Bulut
D
4
W. Ndidi
8'
M
W. Ndidi
8'
M
83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
79'
G
Serhat Öztaşdelen
79'
G
11
G. Sousa
61'
D
G. Sousa
61'
D
14
Show
1 ⚽
79'
D
Show
1 ⚽
79'
D
5
Emir Ortakaya
79'
D
Emir Ortakaya
79'
D
41
Onur Öztonga
79'
D
Onur Öztonga
79'
D
22
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
79'
D
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
79'
D
75
Tayfur Bingöl
70'
M
Tayfur Bingöl
70'
M
10
B. Kutlu
79'
M
B. Kutlu
79'
M
20
Mahamadou Susoho
79'
M
Mahamadou Susoho
79'
M
7
Dan Agyei
71'
F
Dan Agyei
71'
F
26
Metehan Altunbaş
79'
F
Metehan Altunbaş
79'
F
Bench
89
Bedirhan Yıldız
F
Bedirhan Yıldız
F
16
Deniz Ceylan
D
Deniz Ceylan
D
27
Ege Bilim
M
Ege Bilim
M
97
Florian Ayé
8'
F
Florian Ayé
8'
F
18
Hulisi Destici
M
Hulisi Destici
M
32
Makana Baku
M
Makana Baku
M
3
Muharrem Cinan
D
Muharrem Cinan
D
23
Onurcan Piri
G
Onurcan Piri
G
99
Rigoberto Rivas
18'
F
Rigoberto Rivas
18'
F
8
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
9'
M
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
9'
M
Best on the pitch
Tiago Djaló
D · Beşiktaş
7.90
1 shots
· 54 pass
O. Kökçü
M · Beşiktaş
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
Alexander Nübel
G · Beşiktaş
7.70
· 24 pass
Salih Özcan
M · Beşiktaş
7.50
1 shots
· 74 pass
F. Miretti
M · Beşiktaş
7.50
1 shots
· 48 pass
B. Kutlu
M · Kocaelispor
7.30
· 41 pass
Beşiktaş — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | G | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Emirhan Topçu | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Djaló | D | 79 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Amir Murillo | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | M | 71 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| Leandro Trossard | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 5 | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Miretti | M | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Václav Černý | M | 39 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Vlahović | F | 79 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| İlhan Fakılı | F | 40 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kassoum Ouattara | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| W. Ndidi | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Kocaelispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | G | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Sousa | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Show | D | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Emir Ortakaya | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Onur Öztonga | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Tayfur Bingöl | M | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Kutlu | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | F | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Metehan Altunbaş | F | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Florian Ayé | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Rigoberto Rivas | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Beşiktaş 2–1 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Beşiktaş win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Kocaelispor win.