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Beşiktaş - Marseille

Europa League September 17, 2026 21:00
Beşiktaş
#5 · 0 pts
vs
Marseille
#22 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.12%
Win
Beşiktaş
22.4%
Draw
21.48%
Win
Marseille
3.03
Expected xG
1.05
Most likely outcome
Beşiktaş
56.12%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.66%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 22%
2 21%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 79%
X2 44%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Beşiktaş a 56% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Marseille. Expected goals are 3.0 for Beşiktaş and 1.1 for Marseille (total 4.1), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.66% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Beşiktaş Marseille →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 5.1% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% —

Recent form

Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
L Kauno Žalgiris 1–0
W Kauno Žalgiris 3–0
W Hradec Králové 1–0
W Hradec Králové 0–1
W FC Midtjylland 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Marseille Marseille
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
Attack
49
Defence
87
Form
72
Marseille Marseille
Attack
40
Defence
55
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
The model gives Beşiktaş a 56% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 21% for an Marseille win.
How many goals are expected in Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
Expected goals: Beşiktaş 3.0, Marseille 1.1 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.66%.