Beşiktaş 4–1 Marseille — pre-match prediction — Europa League — September 17, 2026

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Europa League · League Stage - 1 September 17, 2026 21:00 Tüpraş Stadium, Istanbul

Beşiktaş

#8 · 7 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Marseille

#34 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beşiktaş

Ilhan Fakili (ast. Junior Olaitan) 15'

Václav Černý (ast. Orkun Kökçü) 56'

Amir Murillo (ast. Orkun Kökçü) 59'

Ernest Poku (ast. Junior Olaitan) 81'

29' (ast. Himad Abdelli) Keyliane Abdallah

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beşiktaş a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Marseille 22%). The final result was Beşiktaş 4–1 Marseille.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Emmanuel Agbadou

10'

⚽Ilhan Fakili · ast. Junior Olaitan

15'

29'

ast. Himad Abdelli · Keyliane Abdallah⚽

↕ Emmanuel Agbadou / Tiago Djaló

45'

⚽Václav Černý · ast. Orkun Kökçü

56'

58'

Emerson Palmieri / Ulisses Garcia ↕

58'

Igor Paixão / Angel Gomes ↕

⚽Amir Murillo · ast. Orkun Kökçü

59'

67'

Amine Gouiri / Neal Maupay ↕

67'

Nayef Aguerd / Derek Cornelius ↕

↕ Václav Černý / Ernest Poku

71'

↕ Orkun Kökçü / Wilfred Ndidi

71'

72'

Amine Harit

⚽Ernest Poku · ast. Junior Olaitan

81'

82'

Tadjidine Mmadi / Keyliane Abdallah ↕

↕ Junior Olaitan / Oh Hyeon-gyu

82'

↕ Ilhan Fakili / Fabio Miretti

82'

Fabio Miretti

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

55.55%

Beşiktaş ←

22.28%

22.17%

Marseille

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beşiktaş) 55.55% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Beşiktaş

3.29

—

Marseille

1.21

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Benfica	3	9
2	Bayer Leverkusen	3	9
3	Bournemouth	3	9
4	Ferencvarosi TC	3	9
5	Olympiakos Piraeus	3	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	7
7	Juventus	3	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	7
9	Sunderland	3	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	6
12	Lyon	3	6
13	Rennes	3	5
14	Real Sociedad	3	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
24	AC Milan	3	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	3
26	OFI	3	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	3
28	Torreense	3	3
29	Celje	3	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	1
31	Lillestrom	3	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	1
33	Plzen	3	0
34	Marseille	3	0
35	Celtic	3	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0

Lineups

Beşiktaş 4-1-4-1

Alexander Nübel G 6.73

Kassoum Ouattara D 6.33

Emirhan Topçu D 7.36

Emmanuel Agbadou 46' D 6.47

Amir Murillo 1 ⚽ D 7.28

Salih Özcan M 6.68

İlhan Fakılı 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.10

O. Kökçü 2 👟 71' M 7.86

J. Olaitan 2 👟 82' M 8.34

Václav Černý 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.87

D. Vlahović F 6.89

Bench

Doğan Alemdar G 0.00

Ernest Poku 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.41

F. Miretti 8' M 6.03

Hyeon-gyu Oh 8' F 6.50

Kartal Kayra Yılmaz M 0.00

Rıdvan Yılmaz D 0.00

Semih Kılıçsoy F 0.00

Taylan Bulut D 0.00

Tiago Djaló 44' D 6.16

Ü. Akdağ D 0.00

W. Ndidi 19' M 6.34

Yasin Özcan D 0.00

Marseille 4-2-3-1

J. de Lange G 5.77

U. Garcia 58' D 5.43

D. Cornelius 67' D 5.87

C. Egan-Riley D 6.17

T. Weah D 6.48

H. Abdelli 1 👟 M 7.18

P. Højbjerg M 6.42

A. Harit M 5.65

A. Gomes 58' M 6.17

K. Abdallah 1 ⚽ 82' M 6.74

N. Maupay 67' F 6.27

Bench

A. Gouiri 23' F 6.40

B. Meité D 0.00

E. Mbondo D 0.00

Emerson 32' D 5.98

F. Moumbagna F 0.00

Igor Paixão 32' F 6.70

J. Van Neck G 0.00

K. Bezahaf D 0.00

N. Aguerd 23' D 5.77

T. Mmadi 8' F 6.63

T. Vermot G 0.00

Best on the pitch

J. Olaitan

M · Beşiktaş

8.34

2 👟

1 shots · 44 pass

İlhan Fakılı

M · Beşiktaş

8.10

1 ⚽

3 shots · 34 pass

Václav Černý

M · Beşiktaş

7.87

1 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

O. Kökçü

M · Beşiktaş

7.86

2 👟

2 shots · 36 pass

Ernest Poku

F · Beşiktaş

7.41

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

Emirhan Topçu

D · Beşiktaş

7.36

· 90 pass

Beşiktaş — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Alexander Nübel	G	90	6.73	—	—	0	48	39%	0	—	—
Kassoum Ouattara	D	90	6.33	—	—	1	31	26%	2	—	—
Emirhan Topçu	D	90	7.36	—	—	0	90	77%	5	—	—
Emmanuel Agbadou	D	46	6.47	—	—	1	60	59%	1	1	—
Amir Murillo	D	90	7.28	1	—	1	33	28%	0	—	—
Salih Özcan	M	90	6.68	—	—	1	49	48%	1	—	—
İlhan Fakılı	M	82	8.10	1	—	3	34	31%	0	—	—
O. Kökçü	M	71	7.86	—	2	2	36	30%	1	—	—
J. Olaitan	M	82	8.34	—	2	1	44	36%	2	—	—
Václav Černý	M	71	7.87	1	—	3	16	14%	2	—	—
D. Vlahović	F	90	6.89	—	—	4	24	19%	0	—	—
Ernest Poku	F	19	7.41	1	—	1	6	4%	0	—	—
F. Miretti	M	8	6.03	—	—	0	5	5%	1	1	—
Hyeon-gyu Oh	F	8	6.50	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—
Tiago Djaló	D	44	6.16	—	—	0	31	25%	1	—	—
W. Ndidi	M	19	6.34	—	—	0	11	9%	0	—	—

Marseille — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. de Lange	G	90	5.77	—	—	0	44	38%	0	—	—
U. Garcia	D	58	5.43	—	—	2	18	15%	2	—	—
D. Cornelius	D	67	5.87	—	—	0	31	27%	1	—	—
C. Egan-Riley	D	90	6.17	—	—	0	46	41%	1	—	—
T. Weah	D	90	6.48	—	—	2	45	39%	4	—	—
H. Abdelli	M	90	7.18	—	1	0	52	48%	1	—	—
P. Højbjerg	M	90	6.42	—	—	0	70	60%	3	—	—
A. Harit	M	90	5.65	—	—	2	28	23%	2	1	—
A. Gomes	M	58	6.17	—	—	1	16	14%	1	—	—
K. Abdallah	M	82	6.74	1	—	4	22	14%	1	—	—
N. Maupay	F	67	6.27	—	—	0	17	14%	0	—	—
A. Gouiri	F	23	6.40	—	—	1	7	6%	0	—	—
Emerson	D	32	5.98	—	—	0	12	12%	0	—	—
Igor Paixão	F	32	6.70	—	—	2	12	9%	0	—	—
N. Aguerd	D	23	5.77	—	—	0	18	18%	0	—	—
T. Mmadi	F	8	6.63	—	—	0	5	5%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Marseille?

The final score was Beşiktaş 4–1 Marseille.

What did the model predict before Beşiktaş vs Marseille?

The model assigned 55% probability to a Beşiktaş win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Marseille win.