Virsliga · Regular Season - 14 May 21, 2026 17:00 Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

#5 · 39 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Ogre United

#10 · 18 pts

✓Model correct — prediction BFC Daugavpils

W. Mukwelle 41' (pen.)

R. Ndjiki 45'

A. Garzha (ast. R. Ndjiki) 59'

77' (ast. E. Sprukts) M. Pacepko

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave BFC Daugavpils a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Ogre United 16%). The final result was BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United. In 2 previous meetings, BFC Daugavpils have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ogre United.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽W. Mukwelle (pen.)

41'

⚽R. Ndjiki

45'

46'

R. Aditajs / K. Kumakura ↕

46'

T. Marusiy / K. Hayashi ↕

↕ W. Mukwelle / E. Ivanovs

57'

⚽A. Garzha · ast. R. Ndjiki

59'

60'

M. Pacepko / H. Silagailis ↕

63'

E. Evelons / D. Sedols ↕

↕ M. Sylla / M. Kopilovs

71'

↕ A. Traore / E. Pinaskins

71'

75'

E. Sprukts / M. Ivulans ↕

77'

ast. E. Sprukts · M. Pacepko⚽

Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

65.37%

BFC ←

18.63%

X

16.0%

Ogre

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (BFC Daugavpils) 65.37% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

BFC

2.52

—

—

Ogre

0.96

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	74
2	Riga	31	73
3	Auda	31	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	39
6	Super Nova	30	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	32
8	Grobiņa	31	26
9	Tukums	31	24
10	Ogre United	31	18