Virsliga · Regular Season - 26 August 08, 2026 15:00 Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

#5 · 38 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Tukums

#9 · 23 pts

✓Model correct — prediction BFC Daugavpils

J. Yakubu (ast. E. Pinaskins) 66'

R. Skrebels 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave BFC Daugavpils a 65% win probability (draw 20%, Tukums 13%). The final result was BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums. In 2 previous meetings, BFC Daugavpils have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Tukums.

Match statistics

Match Events

15'

R. Melkis

R. Skrebels

43'

↕ W. Mukwelle / E. Pinaskins

65'

66'

M. Stals / R. Melkis ↕

⚽J. Yakubu · ast. E. Pinaskins

66'

72'

K. Shigema / J. Toba ↕

80'

D. Valmiers / K. Klavins ↕

↕ J. Yakubu / M. Kopilovs

86'

⚽R. Skrebels

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

65.36%

BFC ←

20.72%

X

13.93%

Tukums

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (BFC Daugavpils) 65.36% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

BFC

1.86

—

—

Tukums

0.53

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	28	70
2	Riga	29	67
3	Auda	29	57
4	FK Liepaja	30	42
5	BFC Daugavpils	29	38
6	Super Nova	28	35
7	FS Jelgava	30	32
8	Grobiņa	30	25
9	Tukums	30	23
10	Ogre United	29	15