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BFC Dynamo - Greifswalder FC

Regionalliga - Nordost September 25, 2026 19:00
BFC Dynamo
#6 · 18 pts
vs
Greifswalder FC
#4 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.29%
Win
BFC Dynamo
29.47%
Draw
30.24%
Win
Greifswalder FC
1.24
Expected xG
0.95

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.04%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 29%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
✓ 87.8% hit rate (90 picks)
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives BFC Dynamo a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Greifswalder FC. Expected goals are 1.2 for BFC Dynamo and 0.9 for Greifswalder FC (total 2.2), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.04% probability. In 2 previous meetings, BFC Dynamo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Greifswalder FC.

Season Stats

BFC Dynamo
6W 5D 4L
Greifswalder FC
8W 5D 2L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.3
1.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Regionalliga - Nordost. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
BFC Dynamo
5W 3D 2L · at home
Greifswalder FC
5W 4D 1L · away
1.9
gls/g
2.3
0.8
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
70%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
70%
40%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ BFC Dynamo Greifswalder FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3% 10.7% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.2% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo
W Magdeburg II 4–1
D Lokomotive Leipzig 2–2
W Tasmania Berlin 3–1
W Luckenwalde 0–2
W BFC Preussen 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Greifswalder FC Greifswalder FC
W Luckenwalde 3–1
W RSV Eintracht 1–2
D Lokomotive Leipzig 3–3
D Tasmania Berlin 2–2
W SV Babelsberg 03 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
64
Greifswalder FC Greifswalder FC
Attack
57
Defence
60
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
BFC Dynamo
0
Draw
0
Greifswalder FC
7 Mar 2026 Regionalliga - Nordost 1–0
16 Sep 2025 Regionalliga - Nordost 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 10 24
2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 10 23
3 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 10 21
4 Greifswalder FC Greifswalder FC 10 19
5 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 10 19
6 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 10 18
7 Altglienicke Altglienicke 10 18
8 FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Carl Zeiss Jena 10 16
9 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 10 15
10 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 10 14
11 Magdeburg II Magdeburg II 10 13
12 BFC Preussen BFC Preussen 10 10
13 SV Babelsberg 03 SV Babelsberg 03 10 9
14 Hertha BSC II Hertha BSC II 10 8
15 BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig 10 6
16 RSV Eintracht RSV Eintracht 10 6
17 Tasmania Berlin Tasmania Berlin 10 5
18 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 10 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC?
The model gives BFC Dynamo a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 30% for an Greifswalder FC win.
How many goals are expected in BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC?
Expected goals: BFC Dynamo 1.2, Greifswalder FC 0.9 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.04%.