Marin Jurina
(ast. Patrik Gustavsson)
2'
10'
Craig Goodwin
77'
(ast. Juan Muñiz)
Ethan Alagich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Adelaide United a 36% win probability (draw 28%, BG Pathum United 35%). The final result was BG Pathum United 1–2 Adelaide United.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
6
1.25
Actual xG
1.39
4
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
2
6
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Marin Jurina
· ast. Patrik Gustavsson
2'
10'
Craig Goodwin⚽
Sarach Yooyen
55'
59'
Anselmo de Moraes
63'
Ajak Riak
/
Brody Burkitt
64'
Fabian Talladira
/
Jay Barnett
Lucas Andersen
/ Fabio Kaufmann
66'
Hugo Rama
/ Ashley Mark Coffey
66'
Yefferson Quintana
/ Marko Nikolić
66'
70'
Panagiotis Kikianis
Patrik Gustavsson
/ Waris Chuthong
72'
73'
Joey Garuccio
/
Jonny Yull
77'
ast. Juan Muñiz ·
Ethan Alagich⚽
Anthony Belmonte
80'
Anthony Belmonte
/ Joao Magno
83'
85'
Amlani Tatu
/
Craig Goodwin
85'
Feyzo Kasumovic
/
Anselmo de Moraes
89'
Ajak Riak
Jonathan Scherzer
/ Edin Osmanović
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
35.17%
BG
28.71%
X
36.12%
Adelaide ←
we assigned to the actual result (Adelaide United)
36.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.25
-0.13
1.77
1.39
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.25 – 1.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
S. Anuin
G
S. Anuin
G
27
J. Scherzer
D
J. Scherzer
D
5
K. Kaman
D
K. Kaman
D
3
Y. Quintana
66'
D
Y. Quintana
66'
D
16
T. Yanagi
D
T. Yanagi
D
30
Hugo Rama
66'
M
Hugo Rama
66'
M
6
S. Yooyen
M
S. Yooyen
M
26
A. Belmonte
83'
M
A. Belmonte
83'
M
11
P. Gustavsson
1 👟
72'
M
P. Gustavsson
1 👟
72'
M
20
M. Jurina
1 ⚽
F
M. Jurina
1 ⚽
F
10
F
Bench
19
A. Coffey
24'
F
A. Coffey
24'
F
2
C. Tamma
D
C. Tamma
D
50
E. Osmanović
1'
D
E. Osmanović
1'
D
37
F. Kaufmann
24'
M
F. Kaufmann
24'
M
45
João Magno
7'
F
João Magno
7'
F
4
L. James
M
L. James
M
49
N. Ineachaeoen
G
N. Ineachaeoen
G
48
W. Choolthong
18'
M
W. Choolthong
18'
M
79
W. Phraothaisong
F
W. Phraothaisong
F
22
Joshua Smits
G
Joshua Smits
G
14
J. Barnett
64'
D
J. Barnett
64'
D
4
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
52
Sotiri Phillis
D
Sotiri Phillis
D
58
Harry Crawford
D
Harry Crawford
D
11
C. Goodwin
1 ⚽
85'
M
C. Goodwin
1 ⚽
85'
M
55
E. Alagich
1 ⚽
M
E. Alagich
1 ⚽
M
87
Anselmo
85'
M
Anselmo
85'
M
12
Jonny Yull
73'
M
Jonny Yull
73'
M
35
Brody Burkitt
63'
F
Brody Burkitt
63'
F
10
Juan Muñiz
1 👟
F
Juan Muñiz
1 👟
F
Bench
19
Amlani Tatu
5'
F
Amlani Tatu
5'
F
99
A. Riak
27'
F
A. Riak
27'
F
40
Ethan Cox
G
Ethan Cox
G
62
Fabian Talladira
26'
M
Fabian Talladira
26'
M
79
Feyzo Kasumovic
5'
D
Feyzo Kasumovic
5'
D
65
Joey Garuccio
17'
M
Joey Garuccio
17'
M
23
L. Đuzel
M
L. Đuzel
M
Best on the pitch
C. Goodwin
M · Adelaide
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 36 pass
M. Jurina
F · BG
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 8 pass
E. Alagich
M · Adelaide
7.92
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 52 pass
Juan Muñiz
F · Adelaide
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 48 pass
Joshua Smits
G · Adelaide
7.65
· 37 pass
S. Anuin
G · BG
6.91
· 36 pass
BG Pathum United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Anuin | G | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Scherzer | D | 99 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kaman | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Quintana | D | 66 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Yanagi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Hugo Rama | M | 66 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Yooyen | M | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Belmonte | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 40% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Gustavsson | M | 72 | 6.76 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Jurina | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| A. Coffey | F | 24 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Osmanović | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Kaufmann | M | 24 | 5.85 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| João Magno | F | 7 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Choolthong | M | 18 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Adelaide United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Smits | G | 90 | 7.65 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Barnett | D | 64 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Panagiotis Kikianis | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 86 | 82% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Sotiri Phillis | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Crawford | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Goodwin | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 36 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Alagich | M | 90 | 7.92 | 1 | — | 3 | 52 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Anselmo | M | 85 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonny Yull | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Brody Burkitt | F | 63 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Muñiz | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 48 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| Amlani Tatu | F | 5 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Riak | F | 27 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Fabian Talladira | M | 26 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Feyzo Kasumovic | D | 5 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Joey Garuccio | M | 17 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?
The final score was BG Pathum United 1–2 Adelaide United.
What did the model predict before BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?
The model assigned 35% probability to a BG Pathum United win, 28% to a draw, and 36% to an Adelaide United win.