BG Pathum United - Aston Villa
Friendlies Clubs
August 04, 2026 14:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.3%
Win
BG Pathum United
31.67%
Draw
32.03%
Win
Aston Villa
3.88
1.03
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.95%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives BG Pathum United a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Aston Villa. Expected goals are 3.9 for BG Pathum United and 1.0 for Aston Villa (total 4.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.95% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
1W
0D
3L
Averages per game
5.0
Goals
2.2
0.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ BG Pathum United
Aston Villa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
BG Pathum United
Attack
100
Defence
100
Form
87
Aston Villa
Attack
54
Defence
49
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa?
The model gives BG Pathum United a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Aston Villa win.
How many goals are expected in BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa?
Expected goals: BG Pathum United 3.9, Aston Villa 1.0 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.95%.