USL Championship
· Group Stage
July 03, 2026 02:00
T. Pasher
24'
(pen.)
2'
(ast. K. Hernandez-Foster)
R. Hope-Gund
90'+2
B. Morris
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Detroit City a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Birmingham Legion 29%). The final result was Birmingham Legion 1–2 Detroit City.
Match statistics
Match Events
2'
ast. K. Hernandez-Foster ·
R. Hope-Gund⚽
⚽T. Pasher
(pen.)
24'
31'
T. Silva
S. Antwi
37'
⚽R. Damus
(missed pen.)
45'+5
45'+6
K. Hernandez-Foster
46'
B. Morris
/
Rafa Mentzingen
S. Tregarthen
52'
P. Vassell
/ S. Saucedo
69'
S. Tregarthen
/ D. McCartney
69'
S. Shashoua
/ S. McIllhatton
70'
70'
A. Dalou
/
T. Silva
70'
M. Rodriguez
/
D. Smith
81'
R. Williams
/
A. Diop
N. Brown
84'
R. Damus
/ R. Williams
86'
G. Diarbian
/ S. Ngoma
86'
88'
A. Stanley
90'+2
B. Morris⚽
90'+3
C. Montgomery
/
H. Yamazaki
S. Saucedo
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
29.44%
Birmingham
32.0%
X
38.56%
Detroit ←
we assigned to the actual result (Detroit City)
38.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
—
—
1.24
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
The final score was Birmingham Legion 1–2 Detroit City.
What did the model predict before Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Birmingham Legion win, 32% to a draw, and 38% to an Detroit City win.