USL Championship
· Group Stage
June 04, 2026 02:00
G. Diarbian
(ast. S. Ngoma)
10'
42'
(ast. Q. Huerman)
B. Niang
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham Legion a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Louisville City 27%). The final result was Birmingham Legion 1–1 Louisville City.
Match statistics
Match Events
4'
B. Niang
⚽G. Diarbian
· ast. S. Ngoma
10'
J. Koleilat
23'
S. Antwi
30'
R. Damus
32'
J. Heaps
33'
42'
ast. Q. Huerman ·
B. Niang⚽
46'
Z. Duncan
/
B. Niang
46'
E. Davila
/
R. Serrano
S. Ngoma
/ L. Duru
55'
S. Shashoua
/ S. McIllhatton
65'
68'
T. Showunmi
/
Q. Huerman
S. Tregarthen
82'
86'
T. Showunmi
88'
M. Akale
/
A. Dia
88'
C. Moguel
/
J. Wilson
G. Diarbian
/ S. Saucedo
90'
Pre-match prediction
43.46%
Birmingham
28.85%
X ←
27.69%
Louisville
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
—
—
0.80
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
The final score was Birmingham Legion 1–1 Louisville City.
What did the model predict before Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Birmingham Legion win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Louisville City win.