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Birmingham Legion - New Mexico United

USL Championship September 17, 2026 02:30
Birmingham Legion
#11 · 19 pts
vs
New Mexico United
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.32%
Win
Birmingham Legion
29.5%
Draw
45.18%
Win
New Mexico United
0.55
Expected xG
1.25

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (19.38%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.7% hit rate (33 picks)
1 25%
X 30%
2 45%
Double Chance ✓ 87.9% hit rate (33 picks)
1X 55%
X2 75%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 62%
Over 2.5 35%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives New Mexico United a 45% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Birmingham Legion. Expected goals are 0.5 for Birmingham Legion and 1.2 for New Mexico United (total 1.8), with a 62% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 19.38% probability.

Season Stats

Birmingham Legion
1W 7D 7L
New Mexico United
9W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
1.7
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
53%
53%
O 2.5
47%
80%
BTTS
53%
13%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in USL Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Birmingham Legion
2W 5D 3L · at home
New Mexico United
5W 2D 3L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.4
1.3
Conceded
1.0
20%
Win %
50%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Birmingham Legion New Mexico United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.7% 20.7% 12.9% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.1% 11.3% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion
D Charleston Battery 2–2
D Indy Eleven 2–2
L Hartford Athletic 3–2
L Sporting JAX 2–3
L Colorado Springs 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
New Mexico United New Mexico United
D Indy Eleven 2–2
W Las Vegas Lights 1–2
L San Antonio 1–2
W Lexington 2–1
D Loudoun United 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion
Attack
42
Defence
48
Form
38
New Mexico United New Mexico United
Attack
41
Defence
74
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
The model gives Birmingham Legion a 25% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 45% for an New Mexico United win.
How many goals are expected in Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Expected goals: Birmingham Legion 0.5, New Mexico United 1.2 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 62%.
What is the most likely score in Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.38%.