USL Championship
· Group Stage
September 17, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction New Mexico United, result Draw
R. Williams
(ast. D. McCartney)
11'
R. Damus
77'
G. Diarbian
(ast. S. Ngoma)
87'
R. Damus
90'+9
16'
(ast. N. Reid-Stephen)
Z. Bailey
19'
(ast. C. Gloster)
N. Reid-Stephen
64'
G. Hurst
66'
(ast. G. Hurst)
J. Melto Quiah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 51% win probability (draw 17%, Birmingham Legion 31%). The final result was Birmingham Legion 4–4 New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽R. Williams
· ast. D. McCartney
11'
16'
ast. N. Reid-Stephen ·
Z. Bailey⚽
19'
ast. C. Gloster ·
N. Reid-Stephen⚽
J. Heaps
19'
39'
M. Howell
43'
J. LaCava
/
M. Howell
K. Cole
/ S. Shashoua
57'
D. McCartney
/ N. Brown
57'
H. Diop
59'
64'
G. Hurst⚽
P. Vassell
/ R. Damus
66'
66'
ast. G. Hurst ·
J. Melto Quiah⚽
R. Williams
69'
74'
T. Blackett
/
C. Gloster
74'
C. Nava
/
N. Reid-Stephen
74'
G. Zelalem
/
O. Jabang
R. Williams
/ S. Ngoma
74'
T. Pasher
/ S. McIllhatton
74'
⚽R. Damus
77'
83'
C. Wilkerson
/
L. Archimede
⚽G. Diarbian
· ast. S. Ngoma
87'
S. Antwi
90'+7
90'+8
C. Nava
⚽R. Damus
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
31.11%
Birmingham
17.87%
X ←
51.02%
New
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.39
—
—
3.36
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Birmingham Legion 4–4 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Birmingham Legion win, 17% to a draw, and 51% to an New Mexico United win.