D. Gray
(ast. Paik Seung-Ho)
28'
6'
(ast. Y. Yarmolyuk)
C. Wilson
35'
A. Hickey
40'
(ast. J. Anthony)
N. Collins
70'
(ast. J. Anthony)
M. Damsgaard
73'
(ast. J. Anthony)
I. Thiago
77'
(ast. M. Sangare)
N. Collins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Birmingham 31%). The final result was Birmingham 1–6 Brentford.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
2
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
4
Corners
6
21
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
ast. Y. Yarmolyuk ·
C. Wilson⚽
26'
J. Schuster
⚽D. Gray
· ast. Paik Seung-Ho
28'
35'
A. Hickey⚽
J. E. Solis Romero
37'
40'
ast. J. Anthony ·
N. Collins⚽
46'
K. Schade
/
D. Ouattara
46'
M. Sangare
/
Y. Yarmolyuk
B. Osayi-Samuel
55'
K. Fujimoto
/ J. Stansfield
61'
L. Vazquez
/ A. Priske
61'
K. Lund
/ A. Cochrane
61'
62'
I. Thiago
/
C. Wilson
70'
ast. J. Anthony ·
M. Damsgaard⚽
71'
K. Lewis-Potter
/
R. Henry
71'
M. Kayode
/
V. Janelt
73'
ast. J. Anthony ·
I. Thiago⚽
D. Gray
/ P. Neumann
75'
77'
ast. M. Sangare ·
N. Collins⚽
Paik Seung-Ho
/ T. Iwata
83'
Pre-match prediction
31.93%
Birmingham
31.16%
X
36.91%
Brentford ←
we assigned to the actual result (Brentford)
36.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
—
—
1.18
—
—
Lineups
21
R. Allsop
88'
G
R. Allsop
88'
G
25
K. Lund
61'
D
K. Lund
61'
D
4
C. Klarer
88'
D
C. Klarer
88'
D
23
D. Fry
88'
D
D. Fry
88'
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
88'
D
B. Osayi-Samuel
88'
D
8
Seung Ho Paik
1 👟
83'
M
Seung Ho Paik
1 👟
83'
M
14
J. Solis
88'
M
J. Solis
88'
M
10
D. Gray
1 ⚽
75'
M
D. Gray
1 ⚽
75'
M
27
K. Fujimoto
61'
M
K. Fujimoto
61'
M
7
Carlos Vicente
88'
M
Carlos Vicente
88'
M
32
L. Vázquez
61'
F
L. Vázquez
61'
F
Bench
20
A. Cochrane
27'
D
A. Cochrane
27'
D
9
A. Priske
27'
F
A. Priske
27'
F
2
E. Laird
D
E. Laird
D
1
J. Beadle
G
J. Beadle
G
28
J. Stansfield
27'
F
J. Stansfield
27'
F
33
M. Ducksch
F
M. Ducksch
F
5
P. Neumann
13'
D
P. Neumann
13'
D
16
P. Roberts
M
P. Roberts
M
24
T. Iwata
5'
M
T. Iwata
5'
M
12
H. Valdimarsson
88'
G
H. Valdimarsson
88'
G
3
R. Henry
71'
D
R. Henry
71'
D
22
N. Collins
2 ⚽
88'
D
N. Collins
2 ⚽
88'
D
44
Jannik Schuster
88'
D
Jannik Schuster
88'
D
2
A. Hickey
1 ⚽
88'
D
A. Hickey
1 ⚽
88'
D
27
V. Janelt
71'
M
V. Janelt
71'
M
6
Y. Yarmolyuk
1 👟
45'
M
Y. Yarmolyuk
1 👟
45'
M
19
J. Anthony
3 👟
88'
M
J. Anthony
3 👟
88'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
1 ⚽
88'
M
M. Damsgaard
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
D. Ouattara
45'
M
D. Ouattara
45'
M
13
C. Wilson
1 ⚽
62'
F
C. Wilson
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
1
C. Kelleher
G
C. Kelleher
G
14
Fábio Carvalho
M
Fábio Carvalho
M
20
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
23
K. Lewis-Potter
17'
F
K. Lewis-Potter
17'
F
7
K. Schade
43'
M
K. Schade
43'
M
8
M. Jensen
M
M. Jensen
M
33
M. Kayode
17'
D
M. Kayode
17'
D
18
M. Sangaré
1 👟
43'
M
M. Sangaré
1 👟
43'
M
9
Thiago
1 ⚽
26'
F
Thiago
1 ⚽
26'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Collins
D · Brentford
9.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 81 pass
M. Damsgaard
M · Brentford
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 62 pass
J. Anthony
M · Brentford
7.90
3 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
A. Hickey
D · Brentford
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Thiago
F · Brentford
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
C. Wilson
F · Brentford
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allsop | G | 88 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Lund | D | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Klarer | D | 88 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Fry | D | 88 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 88 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Solis | M | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Gray | M | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Fujimoto | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Vázquez | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | — | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cochrane | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Priske | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Stansfield | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Valdimarsson | G | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| R. Henry | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 88 | 9.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 81 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 88 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 88 | 7.90 | — | 3 | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Wilson | F | 62 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 43 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 43 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Thiago | F | 26 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Brentford?
The final score was Birmingham 1–6 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Brentford?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Birmingham win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Brentford win.