Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City — pre-match prediction — Championship — August 22, 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 13:30 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

Birmingham

#7 · 20 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Bristol City

#14 · 15 pts

S. Tickle 42' (og)

D. Gray 90'+5 (pen.)

33' S. Twine

85' (ast. R. Cardines) D. Ballard

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Bristol City 30%). The final result was Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City. In 2 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.65

Actual xG

1.22

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

B. Osayi-Samuel

32'

33'

S. Twine⚽

⚽S. Tickle (og)

42'

↕ B. Osayi-Samuel / E. Laird

46'

↕ Paik Seung-Ho / P. Roberts

62'

↕ C. Vicente / D. Gray

63'

65'

D. Ballard / L. Tolaj ↕

65'

T. Horvat / J. Wallace ↕

71'

G. Yah / J. Williams ↕

71'

S. Greenwood / S. Twine ↕

P. Roberts

78'

↕ A. Priske / L. Vazquez

79'

↕ J. Stansfield / M. Ducksch

84'

85'

ast. R. Cardines · D. Ballard⚽

90'+1

R. Atkinson / Y. Hirakawa ↕

⚽D. Gray (pen.)

90'+5

90'+7

J. Knight

Pre-match prediction

37.76%

Birmingham

31.57%

X ←

30.67%

Bristol

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.57% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Birmingham

1.86

0.65

-1.21

Bristol

1.31

1.22

-0.09

Bristol City dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.65). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Lineups

Birmingham 4-2-3-1

J. Beadle 70' G 7.30

A. Cochrane 70' D 6.30

C. Klarer 70' D 6.60

P. Neumann 70' D 6.70

B. Osayi-Samuel 45' D 6.00

J. Solis 70' M 6.60

T. Iwata 70' M 6.60

J. Stansfield 70' M 6.30

Seung Ho Paik 62' M 6.50

Carlos Vicente 62' M 6.20

A. Priske 70' F 6.60

Bench

D. Fry D

D. Gray 1 ⚽ 8' F 6.70

E. Laird 25' D 6.50

K. Fujimoto M

K. Lund D

L. Vázquez F

M. Ducksch F

P. Roberts 8' M 6.30

R. Allsop G

Bristol City 4-2-3-1

S. Tickle 1 ⚽ 70' G 6.30

Rio Cardines 1 👟 70' D 7.00

L. Eissat 70' D 6.60

R. Dickie 70' D 7.00

G. Tanner 70' D 6.90

J. Williams 70' M 6.30

J. Knight 70' M 6.90

Y. Hirakawa 70' M 6.70

S. Twine 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.90

J. Wallace 65' M 6.70

L. Tolaj 65' F 5.90

Bench

B. Collins G

D. Ballard 1 ⚽ 5' F

E. Riis F

G. Yah M

N. Eile D

R. Atkinson D

S. Bell F

S. Greenwood M

T. Horvat 5' M

Best on the pitch

S. Twine

M · Bristol

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 10 pass

J. Beadle

G · Birmingham

7.30

· 28 pass

R. Dickie

D · Bristol

7.00

1 shots · 37 pass

Rio Cardines

D · Bristol

7.00

1 👟

· 20 pass

G. Tanner

D · Bristol

6.90

· 19 pass

J. Knight

M · Bristol

6.90

· 18 pass

Birmingham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Beadle	G	70	7.30	—	—	—	28	9%	—	—	—
A. Cochrane	D	70	6.30	—	—	—	40	27%	—	—	—
C. Klarer	D	70	6.60	—	—	—	54	47%	—	—	—
P. Neumann	D	70	6.70	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
B. Osayi-Samuel	D	45	6.00	—	—	1	26	16%	—	1	—
J. Solis	M	70	6.60	—	—	1	43	36%	—	—	—
T. Iwata	M	70	6.60	—	—	1	41	33%	2	—	—
J. Stansfield	M	70	6.30	—	—	—	16	10%	3	—	—
Seung Ho Paik	M	62	6.50	—	—	—	24	22%	—	—	—
Carlos Vicente	M	62	6.20	—	—	1	19	17%	—	—	—
A. Priske	F	70	6.60	—	—	—	13	2%	—	—	—
D. Gray	F	8	6.70	1	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
E. Laird	D	25	6.50	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
P. Roberts	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Bristol City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Tickle	G	70	6.30	1	—	—	25	15%	—	—	—
Rio Cardines	D	70	7.00	—	1	—	20	11%	1	—	—
L. Eissat	D	70	6.60	—	—	1	26	12%	1	—	—
R. Dickie	D	70	7.00	—	—	1	37	24%	—	—	—
G. Tanner	D	70	6.90	—	—	—	19	14%	1	—	—
J. Williams	M	70	6.30	—	—	1	24	14%	—	—	—
J. Knight	M	70	6.90	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
Y. Hirakawa	M	70	6.70	—	—	—	9	8%	1	—	—
S. Twine	M	70	7.90	1	—	3	10	8%	1	—	—
J. Wallace	M	65	6.70	—	—	1	11	6%	2	—	—
L. Tolaj	F	65	5.90	—	—	2	9	6%	—	—	—
D. Ballard	F	5	—	1	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
T. Horvat	M	5	—	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Bristol City?

The final score was Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City.

What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Bristol City?

The model assigned 37% probability to a Birmingham win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Bristol City win.