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Championship · Regular Season - 10 October 13, 2026 21:00 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Birmingham
#7 · 20 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Preston
#24 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Birmingham
Liam Millar (ast. Patrick Roberts) 34'
August Priske (ast. Alex Cochrane) 45'+2
August Priske (ast. Jay Stansfield) 45'+4
Demarai Gray (ast. Max Bird) 76'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Preston 20%). The final result was Birmingham 4–0 Preston. In 2 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Preston.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
2.29
Actual xG
0.52
1
Saves
2
76%
Possession
24%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
24'
Delano Burgzorg / Liam Gibbs ↕
⚽Liam Millar · ast. Patrick Roberts
34'
⚽August Priske · ast. Alex Cochrane
45'+2
⚽August Priske · ast. Jay Stansfield
45'+4
45'
Andrew Moran / Callum Lang ↕
47'
Stanley Mills
Liam Millar
50'
56'
Stanley Mills
↕ Jhon Elmer Solís Romero / Max Bird
61'
↕ Liam Millar / Demarai Gray
61'
61'
Lewis Gibson / Alfie Devine ↕
↕ Patrick Roberts / Carlos Vicente
75'
↕ Tomoki Iwata / Taylor·Gardner Hickman
75'
⚽Demarai Gray · ast. Max Bird
76'
↕ Jay Stansfield / Marvin Ducksch
84'
Pre-match prediction
53.58%
Birmingham ←
26.31%
X
20.12%
Preston
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 53.58% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Birmingham
1.88
2.29
+0.41
Preston
0.64
0.52
-0.12
Birmingham dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle J. Beadle G 6.36
20 A. Cochrane A. Cochrane 1 👟 D 8.39
4 C. Klarer C. Klarer D 8.00
5 P. Neumann P. Neumann D 7.52
26 B. Osayi-Samuel B. Osayi-Samuel D 7.39
14 J. Solis J. Solis 61' M 6.69
24 T. Iwata T. Iwata 75' M 6.62
17 L. Millar L. Millar 1 ⚽ 61' M 8.10
28 J. Stansfield J. Stansfield 1 👟 84' M 7.39
16 P. Roberts P. Roberts 1 👟 75' M 7.70
9 A. Priske A. Priske 2 ⚽ F 8.82
Bench
7 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente 15' F 6.42
23 D. Fry D. Fry D 0.00
10 D. Gray D. Gray 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.57
2 E. Laird E. Laird D 0.00
32 L. Vázquez L. Vázquez F 0.00
18 M. Bird M. Bird 1 👟 29' M 7.12
33 M. Ducksch M. Ducksch 6' F 6.49
21 R. Allsop R. Allsop G 0.00
19 T. Gardner-Hickman T. Gardner-Hickman 15' M 6.91
Preston Preston 3-4-2-1
1 D. Iversen D. Iversen G 5.51
16 A. Hughes A. Hughes D 5.15
14 J. Storey J. Storey D 6.37
24 O. Offiah O. Offiah D 5.95
11 T. Small T. Small M 6.11
15 J. Thompson J. Thompson M 5.90
27 L. Leroy L. Leroy M 5.87
17 S. Mills S. Mills 56' M 5.03
20 L. Gibbs L. Gibbs 24' M 5.77
7 A. Devine A. Devine 61' M 5.57
10 C. Lang C. Lang 45' F 6.48
Bench
23 A. Moran A. Moran 45' M 5.80
3 A. Vukčević A. Vukčević D 0.00
37 D. Burgzorg D. Burgzorg 66' F 6.46
30 G. Gryba G. Gryba F 0.00
9 J. Erabi J. Erabi F 0.00
19 L. Gibson L. Gibson 29' D 5.68
6 L. Lindsay L. Lindsay D 0.00
21 L. Nicholls L. Nicholls G 0.00
2 Pol Valentín Pol Valentín D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Priske
A. Priske
F · Birmingham
8.82
2 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
A. Cochrane
A. Cochrane
D · Birmingham
8.39
1 👟
1 shots · 76 pass
L. Millar
L. Millar
M · Birmingham
8.10
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
D · Birmingham
8.00
2 shots · 65 pass
P. Roberts
P. Roberts
M · Birmingham
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 43 pass
D. Gray
D. Gray
F · Birmingham
7.57
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Beadle G 90 6.36 — — 0 30 16% 0 — —
A. Cochrane D 90 8.39 — 1 1 76 69% 1 — —
C. Klarer D 90 8.00 — — 2 65 60% 2 — —
P. Neumann D 90 7.52 — — 0 46 42% 2 — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 90 7.39 — — 2 60 57% 2 — —
J. Solis M 61 6.69 — — 0 45 39% 2 — —
T. Iwata M 75 6.62 — — 1 51 45% 0 — —
L. Millar M 61 8.10 1 — 1 36 26% 1 1 —
J. Stansfield M 84 7.39 — 1 2 44 36% 1 — —
P. Roberts M 75 7.70 — 1 2 43 37% 1 — —
A. Priske F 90 8.82 2 — 4 9 5% 0 — —
Carlos Vicente F 15 6.42 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
D. Gray F 29 7.57 1 — 1 14 14% 0 — —
M. Bird M 29 7.12 — 1 3 10 10% 1 — —
M. Ducksch F 6 6.49 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
T. Gardner-Hickman M 15 6.91 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 90 5.51 — — 0 23 9% 0 — —
A. Hughes D 90 5.15 — — 0 22 11% 2 — —
J. Storey D 90 6.37 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
O. Offiah D 90 5.95 — — 1 16 12% 3 — —
T. Small M 90 6.11 — — 1 9 4% 2 — —
J. Thompson M 90 5.90 — — 0 14 11% 1 — —
L. Leroy M 90 5.87 — — 0 28 20% 3 — —
S. Mills M 56 5.03 — — 1 15 8% 1 — 1
L. Gibbs M 24 5.77 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
A. Devine M 61 5.57 — — 1 12 8% 3 — —
C. Lang F 45 6.48 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
A. Moran M 45 5.80 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
D. Burgzorg F 66 6.46 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
L. Gibson D 29 5.68 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Preston?
The final score was Birmingham 4–0 Preston.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Preston?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Birmingham win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Preston win.