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Championship · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 16:00 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Birmingham
#7 · 20 pts
3 – 0
Final score
QPR
#8 · 20 pts
Liam Millar (ast. Tomoki Iwata) 27'
Liam Millar (ast. Tomoki Iwata) 49'
Demarai Gray (ast. Luis Vasquez) 90'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 49% win probability (draw 25%, QPR 24%). The final result was Birmingham 3–0 QPR. In 2 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for QPR.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
4
1.34
Actual xG
1.17
4
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
0
Corners
4
18
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Jhon Elmer Solís Romero
23'
⚽Liam Millar · ast. Tomoki Iwata
27'
44'
Harvey Vale
⚽Liam Millar · ast. Tomoki Iwata
49'
50'
Rayan Jawad Kolli
↕ Jhon Elmer Solís Romero / Max Bird
57'
↕ Patrick Roberts / Carlos Vicente
57'
62'
Richard Kone / Rayan Jawad Kolli ↕
Christoph·Klarer
69'
↕ Liam Millar / Demarai Gray
71'
72'
Jonathan Varane / Jake Clarke-Salter ↕
81'
Koki Saito / Paul Smyth ↕
81'
Leon Scarlett / Glen Kamara ↕
↕ August Priske / Luis Vasquez
86'
⚽Demarai Gray · ast. Luis Vasquez
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
49.26%
Birmingham ←
25.96%
X
24.79%
QPR
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 49.26% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Birmingham
2.08
1.34
-0.74
QPR
1.15
1.17
+0.02
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.17). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle J. Beadle G 6.84
20 A. Cochrane A. Cochrane D 7.46
4 C. Klarer C. Klarer D 7.64
5 P. Neumann P. Neumann D 7.41
26 B. Osayi-Samuel B. Osayi-Samuel D 6.64
14 J. Solis J. Solis 57' M 6.83
24 T. Iwata T. Iwata 2 👟 M 8.60
17 L. Millar L. Millar 2 ⚽ 71' M 9.72
28 J. Stansfield J. Stansfield M 6.54
16 P. Roberts P. Roberts 57' M 6.92
9 A. Priske A. Priske 86' F 6.22
Bench
7 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente 33' F 6.56
23 D. Fry D. Fry D 0.00
10 D. Gray D. Gray 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.63
2 E. Laird E. Laird D 0.00
32 L. Vázquez L. Vázquez 1 👟 4' F 7.07
18 M. Bird M. Bird 33' M 6.87
33 M. Ducksch M. Ducksch F 0.00
21 R. Allsop R. Allsop G 0.00
19 T. Gardner-Hickman T. Gardner-Hickman M 0.00
QPR QPR 4-2-3-1
1 P. Charles P. Charles G 5.61
12 B. Kemper B. Kemper D 5.41
6 J. Clarke-Salter J. Clarke-Salter 72' D 5.93
3 J. Dunne J. Dunne D 6.58
2 K. Adamson K. Adamson D 5.81
5 R. Edwards R. Edwards M 7.23
18 G. Kamara G. Kamara 81' M 6.37
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth 81' M 5.80
20 H. Vale H. Vale M 5.96
17 K. Poku K. Poku M 6.09
26 Rayan Jawad Kolli Rayan Jawad Kolli 62' F 6.39
Bench
13 C. Ward C. Ward G 0.00
23 I. Alemayehu I. Alemayehu M 0.00
25 Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu F 0.00
40 J. Varane J. Varane 18' M 5.97
14 K. Saito K. Saito 9' F 6.29
4 L. Morrison L. Morrison D 0.00
24 N. Madsen N. Madsen M 0.00
22 R. Kone R. Kone 28' F 6.15
Best on the pitch
L. Millar
L. Millar
M · Birmingham
9.72
2 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
M · Birmingham
8.60
2 👟
1 shots · 62 pass
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
D · Birmingham
7.64
· 83 pass
D. Gray
D. Gray
F · Birmingham
7.63
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
A. Cochrane
A. Cochrane
D · Birmingham
7.46
· 42 pass
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
D · Birmingham
7.41
· 63 pass
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Beadle G 90 6.84 — — 0 33 13% 0 — —
A. Cochrane D 90 7.46 — — 0 42 36% 0 — —
C. Klarer D 90 7.64 — — 0 83 71% 6 1 —
P. Neumann D 90 7.41 — — 0 63 52% 3 — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 90 6.64 — — 0 52 41% 1 — —
J. Solis M 57 6.83 — — 2 37 30% 1 1 —
T. Iwata M 90 8.60 — 2 1 62 56% 1 — —
L. Millar M 71 9.72 2 — 3 27 24% 1 — —
J. Stansfield M 90 6.54 — — 1 36 28% 1 — —
P. Roberts M 57 6.92 — — 0 30 23% 1 — —
A. Priske F 86 6.22 — — 3 10 4% 0 — —
Carlos Vicente F 33 6.56 — — 0 12 11% 1 — —
D. Gray F 19 7.63 1 — 1 8 8% 1 — —
L. Vázquez F 4 7.07 — 1 0 2 1% 0 — —
M. Bird M 33 6.87 — — 0 12 11% 1 — —
QPR QPR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Charles G 90 5.61 — — 0 46 32% 0 — —
B. Kemper D 90 5.41 — — 1 29 24% 0 — —
J. Clarke-Salter D 72 5.93 — — 0 49 40% 1 — —
J. Dunne D 90 6.58 — — 0 63 53% 0 — —
K. Adamson D 90 5.81 — — 0 31 25% 1 — —
R. Edwards M 90 7.23 — — 2 60 52% 2 — —
G. Kamara M 81 6.37 — — 0 30 28% 1 — —
P. Smyth M 81 5.80 — — 1 18 9% 1 — —
H. Vale M 90 5.96 — — 1 47 36% 2 1 —
K. Poku M 90 6.09 — — 3 21 17% 0 — —
Rayan Jawad Kolli F 62 6.39 — — 2 16 11% 1 1 —
J. Varane M 18 5.97 — — 1 17 15% 0 — —
K. Saito F 9 6.29 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
R. Kone F 28 6.15 — — 1 12 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs QPR?
The final score was Birmingham 3–0 QPR.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs QPR?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Birmingham win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an QPR win.