Carlos Vicente
(ast. Kai Wagner)
48'
Christoph Klarer
(ast. Seung-Ho Paik)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 37% win probability (draw 33%, Wrexham 29%). The final result was Birmingham 2–0 Wrexham. In 2 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
8
Shots on target
0
1.55
Actual xG
0.08
0
Saves
6
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Jhon Solís
25'
27'
Max Cleworth
Jhon Solís
/ Seung-Ho Paik
46'
⚽Carlos Vicente
· ast. Kai Wagner
48'
63'
Nathan Broadhead
/
Matty James
63'
Josh Windass
/
Oliver Rathbone
⚽Christoph Klarer
· ast. Seung-Ho Paik
71'
74'
Sam Smith
/
Kieffer Moore
Ibrahim Osman
/ Demarai Gray
78'
Tomoki Iwata
/ Tommy Doyle
85'
86'
Davis Keillor-Dunn
/
Issa Kaboré
Jay Stansfield
/ Ethan Laird
88'
Pre-match prediction
37.19%
Birmingham ←
33.44%
X
29.37%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham)
37.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.55
+0.59
0.92
0.08
-0.84
Birmingham dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
31
1 👟
D
4
C. Klarer
1 ⚽
D
C. Klarer
1 ⚽
D
5
P. Neumann
D
P. Neumann
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
14
J. Solis
45'
M
J. Solis
45'
M
24
T. Iwata
85'
M
T. Iwata
85'
M
17
I. Osman
78'
M
I. Osman
78'
M
28
J. Stansfield
88'
M
J. Stansfield
88'
M
23
Carlos Vicente
1 ⚽
M
Carlos Vicente
1 ⚽
M
29
A. Priske
F
A. Priske
F
Bench
10
D. Gray
12'
F
D. Gray
12'
F
2
E. Laird
9'
D
E. Laird
9'
D
37
J. Panzo
D
16
P. Roberts
M
P. Roberts
M
8
Seung Ho Paik
1 👟
45'
M
Seung Ho Paik
1 👟
45'
M
1
G
2
C. Doyle
D
C. Doyle
D
24
Dan Scarr
D
Dan Scarr
D
4
M. Cleworth
D
M. Cleworth
D
14
George Thomason
M
George Thomason
M
15
G. Dobson
M
G. Dobson
M
37
M. James
63'
M
M. James
63'
M
12
I. Kaboré
86'
M
I. Kaboré
86'
M
27
F
20
O. Rathbone
63'
F
O. Rathbone
63'
F
19
K. Moore
74'
F
K. Moore
74'
F
Bench
10
J. Windass
27'
M
J. Windass
27'
M
33
N. Broadhead
27'
F
N. Broadhead
27'
F
47
R. Longman
M
R. Longman
M
28
S. Smith
16'
F
S. Smith
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Carlos Vicente
M · Birmingham
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 28 pass
D · Birmingham
7.90
1 👟
· 37 pass
C. Klarer
D · Birmingham
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Seung Ho Paik
M · Birmingham
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
B. Osayi-Samuel
D · Birmingham
7.30
· 46 pass
P. Neumann
D · Birmingham
7.20
· 32 pass
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Klarer | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Solis | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| I. Osman | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stansfield | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Priske | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Gray | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| E. Laird | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Dan Scarr | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Cleworth | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| George Thomason | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| M. James | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| O. Rathbone | F | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Windass | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| N. Broadhead | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Smith | F | 16 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Wrexham?
The final score was Birmingham 2–0 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Birmingham win, 33% to a draw, and 29% to an Wrexham win.