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Black Bulls Maputo - USM Alger

CAF Confederation Cup December 05, 2026 17:00
Black Bulls Maputo
vs
USM Alger
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.93%
Win
Black Bulls Maputo
36.27%
Draw
29.8%
Win
USM Alger
0.63
Expected xG
0.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (18.64%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 36%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 66%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Black Bulls Maputo a 33% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 29% for USM Alger. Expected goals are 0.6 for Black Bulls Maputo and 0.4 for USM Alger (total 1.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.64% probability.

Season Stats

Black Bulls Maputo
2W 2D 0L
USM Alger
7W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.1
0.5
Conceded
0.6
2.0
Shots OT
3.3
4.0
Corners
2.5
50%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
43%
25%
O 2.5
29%
25%
BTTS
29%
75%
Clean Sht
57%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in CAF Confederation Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
47%
BTTS
Black Bulls Maputo
0W 2D 0L · at home
USM Alger
2W 2D 3L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.9
1.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
29%
100%
Win or Draw
57%
50%
O 1.5
43%
50%
O 2.5
29%
50%
O 3.5
14%
50%
BTTS
43%
50%
Clean Sht
29%
50%
Failed to Score
43%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Black Bulls Maputo USM Alger →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 35.7% 14.2% 2.8% 0.4% — —
1 22.5% 9.0% 1.8% 0.2% — —
2 7.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
3 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% — — —
4 0.2% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Black Bulls Maputo Black Bulls Maputo
D Rayon Sports 2–2
W Rayon Sports 0–2
D Atomic Ngome 0–0
W Atomic Ngome 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
USM Alger USM Alger
L Zamalek SC 1–0
W Zamalek SC 1–0
D Olympique Safi 1–1
D Olympique Safi 0–0
W Maniema Union 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Black Bulls Maputo Black Bulls Maputo
Attack
28
Defence
86
Form
58
USM Alger USM Alger
Attack
34
Defence
75
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Black Bulls Maputo vs USM Alger?
The model gives Black Bulls Maputo a 33% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 29% for an USM Alger win.
How many goals are expected in Black Bulls Maputo vs USM Alger?
Expected goals: Black Bulls Maputo 0.6, USM Alger 0.4 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Black Bulls Maputo vs USM Alger?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.64%.