Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 16:00 Ewood Park, Blackburn
Blackburn
#10 · 18 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Cardiff
#16 · 14 pts
Andri Guðjohnsen 28'
Todd Cantwell (ast. Ryoya Morishita) 38'
53' (ast. Jack Moylan) Callum Robinson
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Blackburn a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Cardiff 33%). The final result was Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
1
1.79
Actual xG
1.06
0
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
11
Corners
6
23
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Andri Guðjohnsen
28'
⚽Todd Cantwell · ast. Ryoya Morishita
38'
53'
ast. Jack Moylan · Callum Robinson⚽
60'
Christopher Willock / C. Ashford ↕
↕ Andri Guðjohnsen / Moussa·Baradji
63'
↕ Ryoya Morishita / J. Fevrier
64'
71'
David Turnbull / Joel Colwill ↕
71'
Isaak Davies / Callum Robinson ↕
↕ Oladapo Afolayan / Augustus Kargbo
74'
78'
Ronan Kpakio / Joel Bagan ↕
78'
Calum Scanlon / Dylan Lawlor ↕
↕ Kristi Montgomery / Jake Garrett
83'
Todd Cantwell
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
36.62%
Blackburn ←
29.99%
X
33.39%
Cardiff
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn) 36.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Blackburn
1.46
1.79
+0.33
Cardiff
1.28
1.06
-0.22
Blackburn dominated by xG (1.79 vs 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Blackburn Blackburn 4-2-3-1
22 B. Tóth B. Tóth G 6.12
3 H. Pickering H. Pickering D 6.17
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.10
17 H. Carter H. Carter D 6.90
2 R. Alebiosu R. Alebiosu D 6.32
31 Kristi Montgomery Kristi Montgomery 83' M 6.97
8 Sam Morsy Sam Morsy M 6.57
21 O. Afolayan O. Afolayan 74' M 6.88
10 T. Cantwell T. Cantwell 1 ⚽ M 8.20
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 1 👟 64' M 7.20
9 A. Guðjohnsen A. Guðjohnsen 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.83
Bench
7 A. Kargbo A. Kargbo 16' F 6.61
1 A. Pears A. Pears G 0.00
14 D. De Neve D. De Neve M 0.00
27 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku D 0.00
39 H. Pates H. Pates D 0.00
11 J. Fevrier J. Fevrier 26' F 6.65
30 J. Garrett J. Garrett 7' M 6.41
24 M. Baradji M. Baradji 27' M 6.34
6 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson D 0.00
Cardiff Cardiff 4-2-3-1
1 N. Trott N. Trott G 6.98
3 J. Bagan J. Bagan 78' D 6.86
48 D. Lawlor D. Lawlor 78' D 6.59
4 G. Osho G. Osho D 5.83
38 P. Ng P. Ng D 5.90
27 J. Colwill J. Colwill 71' M 6.09
18 A. Robertson A. Robertson M 6.49
45 Cian Ashford Cian Ashford 60' M 6.01
8 J. Moylan J. Moylan 1 👟 M 6.11
11 O. Tanner O. Tanner M 6.50
47 C. Robinson C. Robinson 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.43
Bench
23 C. Scanlon C. Scanlon 12' D 6.20
16 C. Willock C. Willock 30' M 6.29
14 D. Turnbull D. Turnbull 19' M 6.26
30 H. Tyrer H. Tyrer G 0.00
39 I. Davies I. Davies 19' F 6.44
43 P. Moreno P. Moreno M 0.00
44 R. Kpakio R. Kpakio 12' D 6.22
2 W. Fish W. Fish D 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Cantwell
T. Cantwell
M · Blackburn
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
A. Guðjohnsen
A. Guðjohnsen
F · Blackburn
7.83
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
C. Robinson
C. Robinson
F · Cardiff
7.43
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
R. Morishita
R. Morishita
M · Blackburn
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 19 pass
N. Trott
N. Trott
G · Cardiff
6.98
· 58 pass
Kristi Montgomery
Kristi Montgomery
M · Blackburn
6.97
· 31 pass
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Tóth G 90 6.12 — — 0 26 7% 0 — —
H. Pickering D 90 6.17 — — 0 27 18% 3 — —
S. McLoughlin D 90 6.10 — — 2 23 16% 1 — —
H. Carter D 90 6.90 — — 1 32 24% 2 — —
R. Alebiosu D 90 6.32 — — 1 24 16% 2 — —
Kristi Montgomery M 83 6.97 — — 0 31 25% 5 — —
Sam Morsy M 90 6.57 — — 0 32 29% 4 — —
O. Afolayan M 74 6.88 — — 2 24 20% 3 — —
T. Cantwell M 90 8.20 1 — 2 37 32% 2 1 —
R. Morishita M 64 7.20 — 1 1 19 14% 1 — —
A. Guðjohnsen F 63 7.83 1 — 2 23 17% 0 — —
A. Kargbo F 16 6.61 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
J. Fevrier F 26 6.65 — — 1 11 9% 0 — —
J. Garrett M 7 6.41 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Baradji M 27 6.34 — — 4 11 7% 0 — —
Cardiff Cardiff — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Trott G 90 6.98 — — 0 58 41% 0 — —
J. Bagan D 78 6.86 — — 0 42 38% 5 — —
D. Lawlor D 78 6.59 — — 0 65 58% 1 — —
G. Osho D 90 5.83 — — 0 64 54% 2 — —
P. Ng D 90 5.90 — — 0 37 32% 1 — —
J. Colwill M 71 6.09 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
A. Robertson M 90 6.49 — — 1 69 61% 2 — —
Cian Ashford M 60 6.01 — — 0 13 13% 1 — —
J. Moylan M 90 6.11 — 1 4 21 14% 1 — —
O. Tanner M 90 6.50 — — 2 21 16% 1 — —
C. Robinson F 71 7.43 1 — 1 7 6% 0 — —
C. Scanlon D 12 6.20 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
C. Willock M 30 6.29 — — 0 13 9% 1 — —
D. Turnbull M 19 6.26 — — 0 21 17% 0 — —
I. Davies F 19 6.44 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
R. Kpakio D 12 6.22 — — 0 8 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Cardiff?
The final score was Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Cardiff?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Blackburn win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an Cardiff win.