Championship
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 13:30
78'
S. Mavididi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Blackburn 34%). The final result was Blackburn 0–1 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Blackburn have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leicester.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
9
1.31
Actual xG
2.60
8
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
9
Corners
11
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
K. Montgomery
/ T. Gardner-Hickman
46'
Y. Ribeiro
/ T. Cantwell
46'
54'
R. Pereira
59'
S. Thomas
/
J. Monga
60'
J. Ayew
/
L. Page
S. McLoughlin
62'
A. Forshaw
/ M. Jorgensen
71'
R. Alebiosu
/ M. Litherland
71'
73'
J. James
/
P. Daka
73'
O. Aluko
/
R. Pereira
M. Baradji
/ D. De Neve
77'
78'
S. Mavididi⚽
88'
K. Gray
/
H. Souttar
Pre-match prediction
34.98%
Blackburn
28.59%
X
36.43%
Leicester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Leicester)
36.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
1.31
+0.39
1.19
2.60
+1.41
Leicester dominated by xG (2.60 vs 1.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
20
E. Cashin
D
E. Cashin
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Yuri Ribeiro
45'
M
Yuri Ribeiro
45'
M
24
M. Baradji
77'
M
M. Baradji
77'
M
28
A. Forshaw
71'
M
A. Forshaw
71'
M
31
Kristi Montgomery
45'
M
Kristi Montgomery
45'
M
2
R. Alebiosu
71'
M
R. Alebiosu
71'
M
23
Yuki Ohashi
F
Yuki Ohashi
F
25
R. Morishita
F
R. Morishita
F
Bench
29
Mathias Jørgensen
22'
F
Mathias Jørgensen
22'
F
16
S. Wharton
D
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
48'
M
10
T. Cantwell
48'
M
T. Cantwell
48'
M
1
G
33
L. Thomas
D
L. Thomas
D
23
J. Vestergaard
D
15
H. Souttar
88'
D
H. Souttar
88'
D
21
R. Pereira
73'
D
8
H. Winks
M
H. Winks
M
17
H. Choudhury
M
H. Choudhury
M
10
S. Mavididi
1 ⚽
M
S. Mavididi
1 ⚽
M
25
L. Page
60'
M
L. Page
60'
M
28
J. Monga
59'
M
20
P. Daka
73'
F
P. Daka
73'
F
Bench
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
F
B. De Cordova-Reid
F
29
D. Mukasa
M
D. Mukasa
M
9
J. Ayew
33'
F
J. Ayew
33'
F
6
J. James
20'
M
J. James
20'
M
22
O. Skipp
M
O. Skipp
M
Best on the pitch
G · Blackburn
9.60
· 25 pass
J. Vestergaard
D · Leicester
8.50
5 shots
· 71 pass
H. Souttar
D · Leicester
7.90
1 shots
· 63 pass
S. Mavididi
M · Leicester
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
T. Cantwell
M · Blackburn
7.30
1 shots
· 20 pass
H. Winks
M · Leicester
7.30
· 56 pass
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 9.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| E. Cashin | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| Yuri Ribeiro | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Forshaw | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Ohashi | F | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Morishita | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Jørgensen | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | M | 48 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 93 | 8.50 | — | — | 5 | 71 | 63% | 5 | — | — |
| H. Souttar | D | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pereira | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Winks | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | — | — | — |
| H. Choudhury | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Mavididi | M | 93 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Page | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Monga | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ayew | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. James | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Leicester?
The final score was Blackburn 0–1 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Leicester?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Blackburn win, 28% to a draw, and 36% to an Leicester win.