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Championship · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 16:00
Blackburn
#10 · 18 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Middlesbrough
#1 · 25 pts
A. Gudjohnsen (ast. H. Pickering) 49'
T. Cantwell 55'
12' (ast. M. Whittaker) J. Sarmiento
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Blackburn 31%). The final result was Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough. In 2 previous meetings, Blackburn have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Middlesbrough.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
1
0.63
Actual xG
0.49
0
Saves
2
34%
Possession
66%
0
Corners
2
5
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
12'
ast. M. Whittaker · J. Sarmiento⚽
O. Afolayan
24'
S. McLoughlin
45'+2
⚽A. Gudjohnsen · ast. H. Pickering
49'
⚽T. Cantwell
55'
S. Morsy
58'
60'
K. Joseph / J. Sarmiento ↕
60'
R. McGree / M. Peart-Harris ↕
↕ O. Afolayan / J. Fevrier
61'
↕ R. Morishita / M. Jorgensen
61'
↕ S. Morsy / A. Forshaw
69'
↕ A. Gudjohnsen / Y. Ohashi
69'
T. Cantwell
76'
77'
L. Castledine / S. Berhalter ↕
77'
Neto Borges / M. Arfsten ↕
↕ T. Cantwell / H. Carter
80'
90'
W. Lankshear
Pre-match prediction
31.51%
Blackburn ←
31.58%
X
36.91%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn) 31.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Blackburn
1.13
0.63
-0.5
Middlesbrough
2.40
0.49
-1.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.63 – 0.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Blackburn Blackburn 4-2-3-1
22 B. Tóth B. Tóth 48' G 6.70
3 H. Pickering H. Pickering 1 👟 48' D 6.20
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin 48' D 6.20
6 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson 48' D 6.50
2 R. Alebiosu R. Alebiosu 48' D 6.20
31 Kristi Montgomery Kristi Montgomery 48' M 7.20
8 Sam Morsy Sam Morsy 48' M 6.70
21 O. Afolayan O. Afolayan 48' M 6.50
10 T. Cantwell T. Cantwell 1 ⚽ 48' M 6.30
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 48' M 6.70
9 A. Guðjohnsen A. Guðjohnsen 1 ⚽ 48' F 6.90
Bench
28 A. Forshaw A. Forshaw M
1 A. Pears A. Pears G
17 H. Carter H. Carter D
11 J. Fevrier J. Fevrier F
30 J. Garrett J. Garrett M
29 M. Jørgensen M. Jørgensen F
5 Sidnei Tavares Sidnei Tavares M
23 Yuki Ohashi Yuki Ohashi F
4 Yuri Ribeiro Yuri Ribeiro D
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4-4-2
1 R. Vítek R. Vítek 48' G 7.20
17 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten 48' D 7.00
29 A. Malanda A. Malanda 48' D 6.60
12 L. Ayling L. Ayling 48' D 7.90
2 C. Brittain C. Brittain 48' D 6.30
16 J. Sarmiento J. Sarmiento 1 ⚽ 48' M 7.90
10 A. Morris A. Morris 48' M 7.00
14 M. Peart-Harris M. Peart-Harris 48' M 6.70
6 S. Berhalter S. Berhalter 48' M 7.30
7 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear 48' F 6.50
11 M. Whittaker M. Whittaker 1 👟 48' F 7.00
Bench
5 A. Jones A. Jones D
42 A. Kanté A. Kanté M
44 Cruz Ibeh Cruz Ibeh M
46 Finlay Cartwright Finlay Cartwright M
22 K. Joseph K. Joseph F
19 Leo Castledine Leo Castledine M
30 Neto Borges Neto Borges D
8 R. McGree R. McGree M
31 S. Brynn S. Brynn G
Best on the pitch
J. Sarmiento
J. Sarmiento
M · Middlesbrough
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.90
· 63 pass
S. Berhalter
S. Berhalter
M · Middlesbrough
7.30
· 27 pass
Kristi Montgomery
Kristi Montgomery
M · Blackburn
7.20
1 shots · 21 pass
R. Vítek
R. Vítek
G · Middlesbrough
7.20
· 5 pass
M. Whittaker
M. Whittaker
F · Middlesbrough
7.00
1 👟
· 14 pass
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Tóth G 48 6.70 — — — 20 14% — — —
H. Pickering D 48 6.20 — 1 — 19 14% — — —
S. McLoughlin D 48 6.20 — — — 31 23% — 1 —
Tom Atcheson D 48 6.50 — — — 15 10% — — —
R. Alebiosu D 48 6.20 — — 1 11 11% — — —
Kristi Montgomery M 48 7.20 — — 1 21 20% 1 — —
Sam Morsy M 48 6.70 — — — 19 18% — — —
O. Afolayan M 48 6.50 — — — 14 8% — 1 —
T. Cantwell M 48 6.30 1 — — 12 10% 2 — —
R. Morishita M 48 6.70 — — 2 13 12% — — —
A. Guðjohnsen F 48 6.90 1 — — 12 11% 2 — —
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Vítek G 48 7.20 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Arfsten D 48 7.00 — — — 34 30% 2 — —
A. Malanda D 48 6.60 — — — 57 53% — — —
L. Ayling D 48 7.90 — — — 63 59% 1 — —
C. Brittain D 48 6.30 — — — 35 30% — — —
J. Sarmiento M 48 7.90 1 — 2 21 20% 2 — —
A. Morris M 48 7.00 — — — 64 60% 1 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 48 6.70 — — — 33 31% — — —
S. Berhalter M 48 7.30 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
W. Lankshear F 48 6.50 — — — 12 9% — — —
M. Whittaker F 48 7.00 — 1 — 14 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
The final score was Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Blackburn win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Middlesbrough win.