Andri Guðjohnsen
44'
Andri Guðjohnsen
(ast. Todd Cantwell)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Blackburn a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Wrexham 30%). The final result was Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham. In 2 previous meetings, Blackburn have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Wrexham.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
23
5
Shots on target
1
1.61
Actual xG
1.74
0
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
7
Corners
9
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Harry Pickering
16'
27'
Dominic Hyam
⚽Andri Guðjohnsen
44'
45'
Matty James
64'
George Dobson
/
Matty James
64'
Ben Sheaf
/
Benjamin Whiteman
Sam Morsy
65'
J. Fevrier
/ Augustus Kargbo
72'
78'
Oliver Rathbone
/
Dominic Hyam
78'
Danny Imray
/
Issa Kabore
78'
Ryan·Longman
/
Jacques Ekomié
⚽Andri Guðjohnsen
· ast. Todd Cantwell
79'
Andri Guðjohnsen
/ Dion De Neve
89'
Moussa·Baradji
/ Jake Garrett
89'
Pre-match prediction
40.1%
Blackburn ←
29.85%
X
30.05%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn)
40.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
1.61
+0.32
1.00
1.74
+0.74
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
B. Tóth
G
B. Tóth
G
3
H. Pickering
D
H. Pickering
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
17
H. Carter
D
H. Carter
D
2
R. Alebiosu
D
R. Alebiosu
D
24
M. Baradji
89'
M
M. Baradji
89'
M
8
Sam Morsy
M
Sam Morsy
M
21
O. Afolayan
M
O. Afolayan
M
10
T. Cantwell
1 👟
M
T. Cantwell
1 👟
M
11
J. Fevrier
72'
M
J. Fevrier
72'
M
9
A. Guðjohnsen
2 ⚽
89'
F
A. Guðjohnsen
2 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
7
A. Kargbo
18'
F
A. Kargbo
18'
F
1
A. Pears
G
A. Pears
G
14
D. De Neve
1'
M
D. De Neve
1'
M
27
Gady Beyuku
D
Gady Beyuku
D
39
H. Pates
D
H. Pates
D
48
I. Dunn
M
I. Dunn
M
30
J. Garrett
1'
M
J. Garrett
1'
M
16
S. Wharton
D
S. Wharton
D
6
Tom Atcheson
D
Tom Atcheson
D
22
A. Patterson
G
A. Patterson
G
2
C. Doyle
D
C. Doyle
D
5
D. Hyam
78'
D
D. Hyam
78'
D
6
J. Worrall
D
J. Worrall
D
3
J. Ekomié
78'
M
J. Ekomié
78'
M
8
B. Whiteman
64'
M
B. Whiteman
64'
M
37
M. James
64'
M
M. James
64'
M
12
I. Kaboré
78'
M
I. Kaboré
78'
M
17
C. O'Hare
M
C. O'Hare
M
28
S. Smith
M
S. Smith
M
19
K. Moore
F
K. Moore
F
Bench
11
B. Cadamarteri
F
B. Cadamarteri
F
18
B. Sheaf
26'
M
B. Sheaf
26'
M
30
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
12'
D
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
12'
D
21
D. Ward
G
D. Ward
G
15
G. Dobson
26'
M
G. Dobson
26'
M
27
L. O'Brien
M
L. O'Brien
M
20
O. Rathbone
12'
M
O. Rathbone
12'
M
47
R. Longman
12'
M
R. Longman
12'
M
26
Z. Vyner
D
Z. Vyner
D
Best on the pitch
A. Guðjohnsen
F · Blackburn
8.92
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
T. Cantwell
M · Blackburn
7.70
1 👟
· 53 pass
Sam Morsy
M · Blackburn
6.95
1 shots
· 52 pass
S. McLoughlin
D · Blackburn
6.94
· 38 pass
J. Ekomié
M · Wrexham
6.89
1 shots
· 24 pass
M. Baradji
M · Blackburn
6.82
· 46 pass
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Pickering | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Carter | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 89 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Sam Morsy | M | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Afolayan | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 5 | 28 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 53 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Fevrier | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 89 | 8.92 | 2 | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Kargbo | F | 18 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. De Neve | M | 1 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Garrett | M | 1 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | G | 90 | 5.55 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Hyam | D | 78 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Worrall | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ekomié | M | 78 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Whiteman | M | 64 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. James | M | 64 | 6.37 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| C. O'Hare | M | 90 | 5.94 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Smith | M | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 6 | 21 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Sheaf | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | D | 12 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 26 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Rathbone | M | 12 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Longman | M | 12 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Wrexham?
The final score was Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Blackburn win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Wrexham win.