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#10 · 18 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#17 · 14 pts
Andri Guðjohnsen 44'
Andri Guðjohnsen (ast. Todd Cantwell) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Blackburn a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Wrexham 30%). The final result was Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham. In 2 previous meetings, Blackburn have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
23
5
Shots on target
1
1.61
Actual xG
1.74
0
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
7
Corners
9
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Harry Pickering
16'
27'
Dominic Hyam
⚽Andri Guðjohnsen
44'
45'
Matty James
64'
George Dobson / Matty James ↕
64'
Ben Sheaf / Benjamin Whiteman ↕
Sam Morsy
65'
↕ J. Fevrier / Augustus Kargbo
72'
78'
Oliver Rathbone / Dominic Hyam ↕
78'
Danny Imray / Issa Kabore ↕
78'
Ryan·Longman / Jacques Ekomié ↕
⚽Andri Guðjohnsen · ast. Todd Cantwell
79'
↕ Andri Guðjohnsen / Dion De Neve
89'
↕ Moussa·Baradji / Jake Garrett
89'
Pre-match prediction
40.1%
Blackburn ←
29.85%
X
30.05%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn) 40.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Blackburn
1.29
1.61
+0.32
Wrexham
1.00
1.74
+0.74
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Blackburn Blackburn 4-2-3-1
22 B. Tóth B. Tóth G 6.57
3 H. Pickering H. Pickering D 6.14
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.94
17 H. Carter H. Carter D 6.38
2 R. Alebiosu R. Alebiosu D 6.24
24 M. Baradji M. Baradji 89' M 6.82
8 Sam Morsy Sam Morsy M 6.95
21 O. Afolayan O. Afolayan M 6.35
10 T. Cantwell T. Cantwell 1 👟 M 7.70
11 J. Fevrier J. Fevrier 72' M 6.30
9 A. Guðjohnsen A. Guðjohnsen 2 ⚽ 89' F 8.92
Bench
7 A. Kargbo A. Kargbo 18' F 6.36
1 A. Pears A. Pears G 0.00
14 D. De Neve D. De Neve 1' M 6.50
27 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku D 0.00
39 H. Pates H. Pates D 0.00
48 I. Dunn I. Dunn M 0.00
30 J. Garrett J. Garrett 1' M 6.54
16 S. Wharton S. Wharton D 0.00
6 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson D 0.00
Wrexham Wrexham 3-4-2-1
22 A. Patterson A. Patterson G 5.55
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 6.81
5 D. Hyam D. Hyam 78' D 5.65
6 J. Worrall J. Worrall D 6.46
3 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié 78' M 6.89
8 B. Whiteman B. Whiteman 64' M 6.62
37 M. James M. James 64' M 6.37
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 78' M 6.00
17 C. O'Hare C. O'Hare M 5.94
28 S. Smith S. Smith M 6.27
19 K. Moore K. Moore F 6.69
Bench
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri F 0.00
18 B. Sheaf B. Sheaf 26' M 6.50
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray 12' D 6.38
21 D. Ward D. Ward G 0.00
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson 26' M 6.32
27 L. O'Brien L. O'Brien M 0.00
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 12' M 6.00
47 R. Longman R. Longman 12' M 6.14
26 Z. Vyner Z. Vyner D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Guðjohnsen
A. Guðjohnsen
F · Blackburn
8.92
2 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
T. Cantwell
T. Cantwell
M · Blackburn
7.70
1 👟
· 53 pass
Sam Morsy
Sam Morsy
M · Blackburn
6.95
1 shots · 52 pass
S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin
D · Blackburn
6.94
· 38 pass
J. Ekomié
J. Ekomié
M · Wrexham
6.89
1 shots · 24 pass
M. Baradji
M. Baradji
M · Blackburn
6.82
· 46 pass
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Tóth G 90 6.57 — — 0 30 17% 0 — —
H. Pickering D 90 6.14 — — 0 39 33% 1 1 —
S. McLoughlin D 90 6.94 — — 0 38 34% 0 — —
H. Carter D 90 6.38 — — 3 32 24% 1 — —
R. Alebiosu D 90 6.24 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
M. Baradji M 89 6.82 — — 0 46 36% 3 — —
Sam Morsy M 90 6.95 — — 1 52 50% 1 1 —
O. Afolayan M 90 6.35 — — 5 28 25% 0 — —
T. Cantwell M 90 7.70 — 1 0 53 42% 0 — —
J. Fevrier M 72 6.30 — — 3 21 16% 3 — —
A. Guðjohnsen F 89 8.92 2 — 3 24 20% 0 — —
A. Kargbo F 18 6.36 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
D. De Neve M 1 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Garrett M 1 6.54 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Patterson G 90 5.55 — — 0 22 12% 0 — —
C. Doyle D 90 6.81 — — 3 43 38% 2 — —
D. Hyam D 78 5.65 — — 0 43 33% 1 1 —
J. Worrall D 90 6.46 — — 1 35 28% 1 — —
J. Ekomié M 78 6.89 — — 1 24 21% 3 — —
B. Whiteman M 64 6.62 — — 1 21 18% 2 — —
M. James M 64 6.37 — — 3 30 26% 0 1 —
I. Kaboré M 78 6.00 — — 1 27 20% 2 — —
C. O'Hare M 90 5.94 — — 4 35 27% 1 — —
S. Smith M 90 6.27 — — 2 13 7% 0 — —
K. Moore F 90 6.69 — — 6 21 11% 1 — —
B. Sheaf M 26 6.50 — — 0 25 22% 1 — —
Daniel Edward Peter Imray D 12 6.38 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
G. Dobson M 26 6.32 — — 0 21 18% 0 — —
O. Rathbone M 12 6.00 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
R. Longman M 12 6.14 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Wrexham?
The final score was Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Blackburn win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Wrexham win.