División Profesional
· Apertura - 15
August 16, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Blooming
G. Centella
(ast. R. Hinojosa)
17'
M. Villarroel
(ast. R. Hinojosa)
60'
G. Centella
(ast. M. Abisab)
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Blooming a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Aurora 20%). The final result was Blooming 3–0 Aurora.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
0.51
54%
Possession
46%
2
Corners
9
Match Events
⚽G. Centella
· ast. R. Hinojosa
17'
28'
A. Amarilla
37'
G. Umana
37'
H. Sanchez
45'+1
A. Amarilla
45'+1
A. Amarilla
45'+3
G. Umana
46'
L. Viviani
/
A. Flores
46'
L. Barro
/
M. Rangel
46'
R. Ramallo
/
H. Vaca
58'
A. Terrazas
/
S. Altamirano
⚽M. Villarroel
· ast. R. Hinojosa
60'
62'
J. Velazquez
R. Hinojosa
67'
⚽G. Centella
· ast. M. Abisab
68'
70'
L. Barboza
M. Enoumba
72'
R. Hinojosa
/ A. Oliveros
73'
M. Villarroel
/ R. Spenhay
73'
76'
L. Barro
J. Garces
/ C. Menacho
80'
M. Enoumba
/ J. Gonzales
80'
R. Spenhay
86'
J. Valverde
/ E. Alvarez
87'
R. Spenhay
90'+3
R. Spenhay
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
57.78%
Blooming ←
21.76%
X
20.46%
Aurora
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Blooming)
57.78%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
1.16
-0.8
0.94
0.51
-0.43
Blooming dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blooming vs Aurora?
The final score was Blooming 3–0 Aurora.
What did the model predict before Blooming vs Aurora?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Blooming win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Aurora win.