Blumenau - Marcílio Dias
Brasileirão Série D
May 16, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.92%
Win
Blumenau
33.12%
Draw
29.96%
Win
Marcílio Dias
0.98
0.67
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Blumenau a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Marcílio Dias. Expected goals are 1.0 for Blumenau and 0.7 for Marcílio Dias (total 1.6), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Blumenau have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Marcílio Dias.
Score Matrix
↕ Blumenau
Marcílio Dias →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.2% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Blumenau
Attack
31
Defence
88
Form
66
Marcílio Dias
Attack
31
Defence
87
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
W
26 Apr 2026
1–0
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Blumenau vs Marcílio Dias?
The model gives Blumenau a 36% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 29% for an Marcílio Dias win.
How many goals are expected in Blumenau vs Marcílio Dias?
Expected goals: Blumenau 1.0, Marcílio Dias 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Blumenau vs Marcílio Dias?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.2%.