Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:00
L. Di Lollo
(ast. L. Blanco)
39'
S. Ascacibar
(ast. L. Blanco)
81'
A. Herrera
(ast. A. Velasco)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 52% win probability (draw 32%, Barcelona SC 15%). The final result was Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barcelona SC.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
11
Shots on target
1
2.21
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
8
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
4
8
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Bareiro
1'
7'
J. Intriago
A. Marchesin
/ L. Brey
12'
⚽L. Di Lollo
· ast. L. Blanco
39'
46'
H. Villalba
/
J. Intriago
46'
B. Castillo
/
L. Cano
52'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
61'
J. Mina
/
G. Vallecilla
61'
S. Nunez
/
D. Benedetto
68'
M. Parrales
/
L. Sosa
Miguel Merentiel
/ E. Zeballos
74'
⚽S. Ascacibar
· ast. L. Blanco
81'
A. Bareiro
/ M. Gimenez
86'
T. Aranda
/ A. Herrera
86'
L. Paredes
/ A. Velasco
86'
⚽A. Herrera
· ast. A. Velasco
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
52.64%
Boca ←
32.12%
X
15.24%
Barcelona
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
52.64%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
2.21
+1.05
0.31
0.40
+0.09
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Marchesin
12'
G
3
L. Blanco
2 👟
D
L. Blanco
2 👟
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
1 ⚽
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
1 ⚽
D
23
Marcelo Weigandt
D
Marcelo Weigandt
D
36
Tomás Aranda
86'
M
Tomás Aranda
86'
M
18
Milton Delgado
M
Milton Delgado
M
5
Leandro Paredes
86'
M
Leandro Paredes
86'
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
1 ⚽
M
S. Ascacíbar
1 ⚽
M
28
A. Bareiro
86'
F
A. Bareiro
86'
F
16
M. Merentiel
74'
F
M. Merentiel
74'
F
Bench
20
Alan Velasco
1 👟
9'
M
Alan Velasco
1 👟
9'
M
21
Ander Herrera
1 ⚽
9'
M
Ander Herrera
1 ⚽
9'
M
29
Ángel Romero
F
Ángel Romero
F
7
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
24
Juan Barinaga
D
Juan Barinaga
D
12
Leandro Brey
83'
G
Leandro Brey
83'
G
27
Malcom Braida
M
Malcom Braida
M
9
Milton Giménez
9'
F
Milton Giménez
9'
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
1
J. Contreras
G
J. Contreras
G
4
Gustavo Vallecilla
61'
D
Gustavo Vallecilla
61'
D
3
Luca Sosa
68'
D
Luca Sosa
68'
D
33
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
18
Bryan Carabalí
D
Bryan Carabalí
D
28
Jhonny Quiñónez
M
Jhonny Quiñónez
M
32
Matias Lugo
M
Matias Lugo
M
35
Jefferson Intriago
45'
M
Jefferson Intriago
45'
M
9
D. Benedetto
61'
F
D. Benedetto
61'
F
16
Luis Cano
45'
F
Luis Cano
45'
F
Bench
26
Byron Castillo
50'
D
Byron Castillo
50'
D
21
Héctor Villalba
50'
F
Héctor Villalba
50'
F
7
Jandry Gomez
M
Jandry Gomez
M
44
J. Chalá
D
J. Chalá
D
11
Miguel Parrales
27'
F
Miguel Parrales
27'
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
Best on the pitch
Leandro Paredes
M · Boca
9.00
1 shots
· 89 pass
J. Contreras
G · Barcelona
9.00
· 25 pass
Lautaro Di Lollo
D · Boca
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
L. Blanco
D · Boca
8.00
2 👟
· 52 pass
M. Merentiel
F · Boca
8.00
2 shots
· 17 pass
Ander Herrera
M · Boca
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marchesin | G | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 95 | 8.00 | — | 2 | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Costa | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | D | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Weigandt | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Paredes | M | 86 | 9.00 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 76% | — | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 7 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 74 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Alan Velasco | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 9 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Brey | G | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Contreras | G | 95 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Vallecilla | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Luca Sosa | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Rangel | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Carabalí | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhonny Quiñónez | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matias Lugo | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Intriago | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luis Cano | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Byron Castillo | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor Villalba | F | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Parrales | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?
The final score was Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 32% to a draw, and 15% to an Barcelona SC win.