Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:00
L. Di Lollo
(ast. L. Blanco)
39'
S. Ascacibar
(ast. L. Blanco)
81'
A. Herrera
(ast. A. Velasco)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 52% win probability (draw 32%, Barcelona SC 15%). The final result was Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barcelona SC.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
11
Shots on target
1
2.21
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
8
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
4
8
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Bareiro
1'
7'
J. Intriago
A. Marchesin
/ L. Brey
12'
⚽L. Di Lollo
· ast. L. Blanco
39'
46'
H. Villalba
/
J. Intriago
46'
B. Castillo
/
L. Cano
52'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
61'
J. Mina
/
G. Vallecilla
61'
S. Nunez
/
D. Benedetto
68'
M. Parrales
/
L. Sosa
Miguel Merentiel
/ E. Zeballos
74'
⚽S. Ascacibar
· ast. L. Blanco
81'
A. Bareiro
/ M. Gimenez
86'
T. Aranda
/ A. Herrera
86'
L. Paredes
/ A. Velasco
86'
⚽A. Herrera
· ast. A. Velasco
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
52.64%
Boca ←
32.12%
X
15.24%
Barcelona
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
52.64%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
2.21
+1.05
0.31
0.40
+0.09
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Marchesin
12'
G
3
L. Blanco
2 👟
D
L. Blanco
2 👟
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
L. Di Lollo
1 ⚽
D
L. Di Lollo
1 ⚽
D
23
M. Weigandt
D
M. Weigandt
D
36
Tomás Aranda
86'
M
Tomás Aranda
86'
M
18
M. Delgado
M
M. Delgado
M
5
L. Paredes
86'
M
L. Paredes
86'
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
1 ⚽
M
S. Ascacíbar
1 ⚽
M
28
A. Bareiro
86'
F
A. Bareiro
86'
F
16
M. Merentiel
74'
F
M. Merentiel
74'
F
Bench
21
Ander Herrera
1 ⚽
9'
M
Ander Herrera
1 ⚽
9'
M
29
Á. Romero
F
Á. Romero
F
20
A. Velasco
1 👟
9'
M
A. Velasco
1 👟
9'
M
7
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
24
J. Barinaga
D
J. Barinaga
D
12
L. Brey
83'
G
L. Brey
83'
G
27
M. Braida
M
M. Braida
M
9
M. Giménez
9'
F
M. Giménez
9'
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
1
José Contreras
G
José Contreras
G
4
G. Vallecilla
61'
D
G. Vallecilla
61'
D
3
L. Sosa
68'
D
L. Sosa
68'
D
33
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
18
Bryan Carabalí
D
Bryan Carabalí
D
28
J. Quiñónez
M
J. Quiñónez
M
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
35
J. Intriago
45'
M
J. Intriago
45'
M
9
D. Benedetto
61'
F
D. Benedetto
61'
F
16
L. Cano
45'
F
L. Cano
45'
F
Bench
26
B. Castillo
50'
D
B. Castillo
50'
D
21
H. Villalba
50'
F
H. Villalba
50'
F
7
Jandry Gomez
M
Jandry Gomez
M
44
J. Chalá
D
J. Chalá
D
11
M. Parrales
27'
F
M. Parrales
27'
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
M · Boca
9.00
1 shots
· 89 pass
José Contreras
G · Barcelona
9.00
· 25 pass
L. Di Lollo
D · Boca
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
L. Blanco
D · Boca
8.00
2 👟
· 52 pass
M. Merentiel
F · Boca
8.00
2 shots
· 17 pass
Ander Herrera
M · Boca
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marchesin | G | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 95 | 8.00 | — | 2 | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Costa | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Weigandt | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | — | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 86 | 9.00 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 76% | — | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 7 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 74 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 9 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Velasco | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Brey | G | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Giménez | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Contreras | G | 95 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Rangel | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Carabalí | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Cano | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Castillo | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Villalba | F | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Parrales | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?
The final score was Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 32% to a draw, and 15% to an Barcelona SC win.