Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta
Copa Sudamericana
August 12, 2026 00:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.38%
Win
Boca Juniors
31.57%
Draw
30.05%
Win
Deportivo Recoleta
1.26
0.78
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.09%)
1X2 Result
✓ 80.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1
38%
X
32%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
62%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
46%
✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Boca Juniors a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Recoleta. Expected goals are 1.3 for Boca Juniors and 0.8 for Deportivo Recoleta (total 2.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.09% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
6D
0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.0
0.5
Conceded
0.9
2.0
Shots OT
2.1
5.5
Corners
3.7
57%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
71%
0%
O 2.5
14%
0%
BTTS
71%
50%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
3D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.2
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
25%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Boca Juniors
Deportivo Recoleta →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.4% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Boca Juniors
Attack
29
Defence
79
Form
52
Deportivo Recoleta
Attack
35
Defence
54
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model gives Boca Juniors a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Deportivo Recoleta win.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Expected goals: Boca Juniors 1.3, Deportivo Recoleta 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.09%.