Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 2
August 06, 2026 00:00
S. Ascacibar
(ast. L. Blanco)
45'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Estudiantes L.P. 23%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
4
0.77
Actual xG
0.37
4
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
2
21
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽S. Ascacibar
· ast. L. Blanco
45'+1
56'
L. Piovi
60'
E. Cetre
/
Perez Fabricio
60'
B. Aguirre
/
J. Burgos
Miguel Merentiel
/ S. Villa
67'
68'
F. Farias
/
A. Castro
68'
Gabriel Neves
/
T. Palacios
L. Flores
74'
78'
Gabriel Neves
T. Aranda
/ A. Velasco
80'
L. Flores
/ K. Zenon
85'
L. Paredes
/ C. Rey Domenech
85'
86'
L. Alario
/
L. Piovi
90'
G. Benedetti
Pre-match prediction
47.66%
Boca ←
28.99%
X
23.35%
Estudiantes
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
47.66%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.77
-0.47
0.74
0.37
-0.38
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (0.77 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Á. Montero
G
Á. Montero
G
3
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
26
Marco Pellegrino
D
Marco Pellegrino
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
17
L. Lozano
D
L. Lozano
D
5
L. Paredes
85'
M
L. Paredes
85'
M
10
Tomás Aranda
80'
M
Tomás Aranda
80'
M
18
Milton Delgado
M
Milton Delgado
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
1 ⚽
M
S. Ascacíbar
1 ⚽
M
19
L. Flores
85'
M
L. Flores
85'
M
16
M. Merentiel
67'
F
M. Merentiel
67'
F
Bench
11
Á. Romero
F
Á. Romero
F
20
A. Velasco
14'
M
A. Velasco
14'
M
32
Ayrton Costa
D
Ayrton Costa
D
23
C. Rey
9'
M
C. Rey
9'
M
24
D. Gorosito
D
D. Gorosito
D
21
K. Zenón
9'
M
K. Zenón
9'
M
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
27
Malcom Braida
M
Malcom Braida
M
9
M. Giménez
F
M. Giménez
F
4
N. Figal
D
N. Figal
D
22
S. Villa
27'
F
S. Villa
27'
F
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
20
E. Meza
D
E. Meza
D
22
A. Castro
68'
M
A. Castro
68'
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
86'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
86'
M
17
J. Burgos
60'
M
J. Burgos
60'
M
10
T. Palacios
68'
M
T. Palacios
68'
M
29
F. Pérez Escudero
60'
M
F. Pérez Escudero
60'
M
9
G. Carrillo
F
G. Carrillo
F
Bench
19
A. Gaich
F
A. Gaich
F
28
B. Aguirre
34'
F
B. Aguirre
34'
F
52
B. Kociubinski
M
B. Kociubinski
M
18
E. Cetré
34'
F
E. Cetré
34'
F
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
11
F. Farías
26'
M
F. Farías
26'
M
8
G. Neves
26'
M
G. Neves
26'
M
36
Joaquin Pereyra
D
Joaquin Pereyra
D
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
27
L. Alario
8'
F
L. Alario
8'
F
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
12
Rodrigo Borzone
G
Rodrigo Borzone
G
Best on the pitch
L. Blanco
D · Boca
8.20
1 👟
· 59 pass
Á. Montero
G · Boca
8.00
· 25 pass
L. Paredes
M · Boca
7.90
· 90 pass
T. Palacios
D · Estudiantes
7.90
· 50 pass
S. Ascacíbar
M · Boca
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M · Estudiantes
7.50
· 47 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Montero | G | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 94 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Marco Pellegrino | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Lozano | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 85 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 90 | 84% | 5 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Flores | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Velasco | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Rey | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Zenón | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Villa | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Iacovich | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. Burgos | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 68 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Farías | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Neves | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Alario | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–0 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.