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#2 · 30 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#7 · 22 pts
Model wrong — prediction Boca Juniors, result Huracan wins
M. Gimenez 87'
Angel Romero (ast. L. Blanco) 116'
5' L. Gil
(pen.) 94' O. Romero
(pen.) 103' O. Romero
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Huracan 19%). The final result was Boca Juniors 2–3 Huracan.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
4
3.21
Actual xG
1.76
1
Saves
10
68%
Possession
32%
17
Corners
1
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
5'
L. Gil
A. Bareiro / M. Gimenez
24'
42'
L. Carrizo
M. Weigandt / M. Braida
46'
60'
F. F. Waller Martiarena
S. Ascacibar / E. Zeballos
60'
61'
E. Ojeda / O. Cortes
73'
J. Bisanz / F. Kalinger
76'
C. Ibanez
82'
H. Nervo / L. Carrizo
82'
E. Ramirez / J. Caicedo
82'
O. Romero / L. Gil
84'
F. Pereyra
L. Paredes
84'
M. Gimenez
87'
94'
(pen.) O. Romero
103'
(pen.) O. Romero
105'+2
E. Ramirez
105'+2
F. Pereyra
105'+2
F. Pereyra
105'+4
M. Palazzo / O. Romero
A. Costa / Angel Romero
106'
Angel Romero · ast. L. Blanco
116'
Pre-match prediction
58.93%
Boca
21.63%
X
19.44%
Huracan ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Huracan) 19.44% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Boca
2.11
3.21
+1.1
Huracan
1.00
1.76
+0.76
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (3.21 vs 1.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 16 30
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 16 28
4 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 16 26
5 Independiente Independiente 16 24
6 Lanus Lanus 16 24
7 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16 22
8 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 16 21
9 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 16 21
10 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 19
11 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 19
12 Platense Platense 16 16
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 16
14 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 16 15
15 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 11
Lineups
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-4-2
12 Leandro Brey Leandro Brey G 6.20
3 L. Blanco L. Blanco 1 👟 D 7.30
32 A. Costa A. Costa D 6.20
2 Lautaro Di Lollo Lautaro Di Lollo D 6.00
23 Marcelo Weigandt Marcelo Weigandt 45' D 6.70
36 Tomás Aranda Tomás Aranda M 7.30
18 Milton Delgado Milton Delgado M 6.50
5 Leandro Paredes Leandro Paredes M 8.50
25 S. Ascacíbar S. Ascacíbar 60' M 6.90
16 M. Merentiel M. Merentiel F 6.60
28 A. Bareiro A. Bareiro 24' F 6.30
Bench
20 Alan Velasco Alan Velasco M
21 Ander Herrera Ander Herrera M
29 Ángel Romero Ángel Romero 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.20
7 Exequiel Zeballos Exequiel Zeballos 60' F 6.70
13 Javier García Javier García G
24 Juan Barinaga Juan Barinaga D
27 Malcom Braida Malcom Braida 75' M 7.00
26 Marco Pellegrino Marco Pellegrino D
9 Milton Giménez Milton Giménez 1 ⚽ 96' F 7.50
4 Nicolás Figal Nicolás Figal D
30 Tomás Belmonte Tomás Belmonte M
15 Williams Alarcón Williams Alarcón M
Huracan Huracan 4-4-1-1
1 H. Galíndez H. Galíndez G 7.30
25 C. Ibáñez C. Ibáñez D 6.20
3 L. Carrizo L. Carrizo 82' D 7.30
6 Fabio Pereyra Fabio Pereyra D 7.30
34 Ignacio Campo Ignacio Campo D 6.60
7 Ó. Cortés Ó. Cortés 61' M 6.60
8 Leonardo Gil Leonardo Gil 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.90
15 Facundo Waller Facundo Waller M 7.00
2 Lucas Blondel Lucas Blondel M 6.90
52 Facundo Kalinger Facundo Kalinger 73' F 7.00
9 J. Caicedo J. Caicedo 82' F 6.70
Bench
14 Alejandro Martínez Alejandro Martínez M
20 Emmanuel Ojeda Emmanuel Ojeda 59' M 6.90
11 Eric Ramírez Eric Ramírez 25' F 5.60
4 Federico Vera Federico Vera D
21 Hugo Nervo Hugo Nervo 38' D 6.50
17 Juan Bisanz Juan Bisanz 47' F 7.20
41 Lautaro Mora Lautaro Mora F
19 Leandro Lescano Leandro Lescano D
35 Máximo Palazzo Máximo Palazzo 16' D 6.20
10 Óscar Romero Óscar Romero 2 ⚽ 22' M 7.70
32 Sebastián Meza Sebastián Meza G
23 Thaiel Peralta Thaiel Peralta M
Best on the pitch
Leandro Paredes
Leandro Paredes
M · Boca
8.50
2 shots · 143 pass
Leonardo Gil
Leonardo Gil
M · Huracan
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
Óscar Romero
Óscar Romero
M · Huracan
7.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Milton Giménez
Milton Giménez
F · Boca
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
L. Blanco
L. Blanco
D · Boca
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
Tomás Aranda
Tomás Aranda
M · Boca
7.30
· 77 pass
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leandro Brey G 120 6.20 19 18%
L. Blanco D 120 7.30 1 63 56% 2
A. Costa D 105 6.20 1 62 56% 2
Lautaro Di Lollo D 120 6.00 6 71 57% 3
Marcelo Weigandt D 45 6.70 15 9% 2
Tomás Aranda M 120 7.30 77 68%
Milton Delgado M 120 6.50 2 72 58% 2
Leandro Paredes M 120 8.50 2 143 124% 1 1
S. Ascacíbar M 60 6.90 1 21 13% 1
M. Merentiel F 120 6.60 4 45 35%
A. Bareiro F 24 6.30 7 4%
Ángel Romero F 15 7.20 1 3
Exequiel Zeballos F 60 6.70 2 17 9% 1
Malcom Braida M 75 7.00 1 27 22% 2
Milton Giménez F 96 7.50 1 2 10 10%
Huracan Huracan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Galíndez G 120 7.30 45 21%
C. Ibáñez D 120 6.20 29 20% 3 1
L. Carrizo D 82 7.30 27 18% 1
Fabio Pereyra D 107 7.30 14 12% 1 2 1
Ignacio Campo D 120 6.60 24 18% 2
Ó. Cortés M 61 6.60 16 14%
Leonardo Gil M 82 7.90 1 1 26 22% 1
Facundo Waller M 120 7.00 1 52 34% 7 1
Lucas Blondel M 120 6.90 2 21 15% 2
Facundo Kalinger F 73 7.00 21 14% 2
J. Caicedo F 82 6.70 11 7% 1
Emmanuel Ojeda M 59 6.90 12 8%
Eric Ramírez F 25 5.60 9 6% 1
Hugo Nervo D 38 6.50 3 2% 2
Juan Bisanz F 47 7.20 10 4%
Máximo Palazzo D 16 6.20 1
Óscar Romero M 22 7.70 2 2 3 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Huracan?
The final score was Boca Juniors 2–3 Huracan.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Huracan?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an Huracan win.