Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Round of 16
May 10, 2026 00:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Boca Juniors, result Huracan vince
M. Gimenez
87'
Angel Romero
(ast. L. Blanco)
116'
5'
L. Gil
(pen.)
94'
O. Romero
(pen.)
103'
O. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Huracan 19%). The final result was Boca Juniors 2–3 Huracan.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
4
3.21
Actual xG
1.76
1
Saves
10
68%
Possession
32%
17
Corners
1
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
5'
L. Gil⚽
A. Bareiro
/ M. Gimenez
24'
42'
L. Carrizo
M. Weigandt
/ M. Braida
46'
60'
F. F. Waller Martiarena
S. Ascacibar
/ E. Zeballos
60'
61'
E. Ojeda
/
O. Cortes
73'
J. Bisanz
/
F. Kalinger
76'
C. Ibanez
82'
H. Nervo
/
L. Carrizo
82'
E. Ramirez
/
J. Caicedo
82'
O. Romero
/
L. Gil
84'
F. Pereyra
L. Paredes
84'
⚽M. Gimenez
87'
94'
(pen.)
O. Romero⚽
103'
(pen.)
O. Romero⚽
105'+2
E. Ramirez
105'+2
F. Pereyra
105'+2
F. Pereyra
105'+4
M. Palazzo
/
O. Romero
A. Costa
/ Angel Romero
106'
⚽Angel Romero
· ast. L. Blanco
116'
Pre-match prediction
58.93%
Boca
21.63%
X
19.44%
Huracan ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Huracan)
19.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
3.21
+1.1
1.00
1.76
+0.76
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (3.21 vs 1.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Leandro Brey
G
Leandro Brey
G
3
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
32
Ayrton Costa
D
Ayrton Costa
D
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
23
Marcelo Weigandt
45'
D
Marcelo Weigandt
45'
D
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
18
Milton Delgado
M
Milton Delgado
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
25
Santiago Ascacíbar
60'
M
Santiago Ascacíbar
60'
M
16
M. Merentiel
F
M. Merentiel
F
28
A. Bareiro
24'
F
A. Bareiro
24'
F
Bench
20
Alan Velasco
M
Alan Velasco
M
21
Ander Herrera
M
Ander Herrera
M
29
Ángel Romero
1 ⚽
15'
F
Ángel Romero
1 ⚽
15'
F
7
Exequiel Zeballos
60'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
60'
F
13
Javier García
G
Javier García
G
24
Juan Barinaga
D
Juan Barinaga
D
27
Malcom Braida
75'
M
Malcom Braida
75'
M
26
Marco Pellegrino
D
Marco Pellegrino
D
9
Milton Giménez
1 ⚽
96'
F
Milton Giménez
1 ⚽
96'
F
4
Nicolás Figal
D
Nicolás Figal
D
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
1
Hernán Galíndez
G
Hernán Galíndez
G
25
César Ibáñez
D
César Ibáñez
D
3
Lucas Carrizo
82'
D
Lucas Carrizo
82'
D
6
Fabio Pereyra
D
Fabio Pereyra
D
34
Ignacio Campo
D
Ignacio Campo
D
7
Oscar Cortés
61'
M
Oscar Cortés
61'
M
8
Leonardo Gil
1 ⚽
82'
M
Leonardo Gil
1 ⚽
82'
M
15
Facundo Waller
M
Facundo Waller
M
2
Lucas Blondel
M
Lucas Blondel
M
52
Facundo Kalinger
73'
F
Facundo Kalinger
73'
F
9
Jordy Caicedo
82'
F
Jordy Caicedo
82'
F
Bench
14
Alejandro Martínez
M
Alejandro Martínez
M
20
Emmanuel Ojeda
59'
M
Emmanuel Ojeda
59'
M
11
Eric Ramírez
25'
F
Eric Ramírez
25'
F
4
Federico Vera
D
Federico Vera
D
21
Hugo Nervo
38'
D
Hugo Nervo
38'
D
17
Juan Bisanz
47'
F
Juan Bisanz
47'
F
41
Lautaro Mora
F
Lautaro Mora
F
19
Leandro Lescano
D
Leandro Lescano
D
35
Máximo Palazzo
16'
D
Máximo Palazzo
16'
D
10
Óscar Romero
2 ⚽
22'
M
Óscar Romero
2 ⚽
22'
M
32
Sebastián Meza
G
Sebastián Meza
G
23
Thaiel Peralta
M
Thaiel Peralta
M
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
M · Boca
8.50
2 shots
· 143 pass
Leonardo Gil
M · Huracan
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Óscar Romero
M · Huracan
7.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
Milton Giménez
F · Boca
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
L. Blanco
D · Boca
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
Tomás Aranda
M · Boca
7.30
· 77 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Brey | G | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Ayrton Costa | D | 105 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | D | 120 | 6.00 | — | — | 6 | 71 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Weigandt | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | 2 | 143 | 124% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Ascacíbar | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 35% | — | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Romero | F | 15 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Malcom Braida | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Huracan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernán Galíndez | G | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 21% | — | — | — |
| César Ibáñez | D | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Carrizo | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Fabio Pereyra | D | 107 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Ignacio Campo | D | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Oscar Cortés | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Gil | M | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Waller | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 34% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Blondel | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Kalinger | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordy Caicedo | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Ojeda | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramírez | F | 25 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| Hugo Nervo | D | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Bisanz | F | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Máximo Palazzo | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Romero | M | 22 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Huracan?
The final score was Boca Juniors 2–3 Huracan.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Huracan?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an Huracan win.