Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Round of 16
May 10, 2026 00:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Boca Juniors, result Huracan wins
M. Gimenez
87'
Angel Romero
(ast. L. Blanco)
116'
5'
L. Gil
(pen.)
94'
O. Romero
(pen.)
103'
O. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Huracan 19%). The final result was Boca Juniors 2–3 Huracan.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
4
3.21
Actual xG
1.76
1
Saves
10
68%
Possession
32%
17
Corners
1
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
5'
L. Gil⚽
A. Bareiro
/ M. Gimenez
24'
42'
L. Carrizo
M. Weigandt
/ M. Braida
46'
60'
F. F. Waller Martiarena
S. Ascacibar
/ E. Zeballos
60'
61'
E. Ojeda
/
O. Cortes
73'
J. Bisanz
/
F. Kalinger
76'
C. Ibanez
82'
H. Nervo
/
L. Carrizo
82'
E. Ramirez
/
J. Caicedo
82'
O. Romero
/
L. Gil
84'
F. Pereyra
L. Paredes
84'
⚽M. Gimenez
87'
94'
(pen.)
O. Romero⚽
103'
(pen.)
O. Romero⚽
105'+2
E. Ramirez
105'+2
F. Pereyra
105'+2
F. Pereyra
105'+4
M. Palazzo
/
O. Romero
A. Costa
/ Angel Romero
106'
⚽Angel Romero
· ast. L. Blanco
116'
Pre-match prediction
58.93%
Boca
21.63%
X
19.44%
Huracan ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Huracan)
19.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
3.21
+1.1
1.00
1.76
+0.76
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (3.21 vs 1.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
3
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
L. Blanco
1 👟
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
23
M. Weigandt
45'
D
M. Weigandt
45'
D
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
18
M. Delgado
M
M. Delgado
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
60'
M
S. Ascacíbar
60'
M
16
M. Merentiel
F
M. Merentiel
F
28
A. Bareiro
24'
F
A. Bareiro
24'
F
Bench
21
Ander Herrera
M
29
Á. Romero
1 ⚽
15'
F
Á. Romero
1 ⚽
15'
F
20
A. Velasco
M
A. Velasco
M
7
E. Zeballos
60'
F
E. Zeballos
60'
F
24
J. Barinaga
D
J. Barinaga
D
13
J. García
G
J. García
G
26
Marco Pellegrino
D
Marco Pellegrino
D
27
M. Braida
75'
M
M. Braida
75'
M
9
M. Giménez
1 ⚽
96'
F
M. Giménez
1 ⚽
96'
F
4
N. Figal
D
N. Figal
D
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
1
H. Galíndez
G
H. Galíndez
G
25
C. Ibáñez
D
C. Ibáñez
D
3
L. Carrizo
82'
D
L. Carrizo
82'
D
6
F. Pereyra
D
F. Pereyra
D
34
Ignacio Campo
D
Ignacio Campo
D
7
Ó. Cortés
61'
M
Ó. Cortés
61'
M
8
L. Gil
1 ⚽
82'
M
L. Gil
1 ⚽
82'
M
15
F. Waller
M
F. Waller
M
2
L. Blondel
M
L. Blondel
M
52
F. Kalinger
73'
F
F. Kalinger
73'
F
9
J. Caicedo
82'
F
J. Caicedo
82'
F
Bench
14
A. Martínez
M
20
E. Ojeda
59'
M
E. Ojeda
59'
M
11
E. Ramírez
25'
F
E. Ramírez
25'
F
4
F. Vera
D
F. Vera
D
17
Juan Bisanz
47'
F
Juan Bisanz
47'
F
19
L. Lescano
D
L. Lescano
D
41
L. Mora
F
L. Mora
F
35
Máximo Palazzo
16'
D
Máximo Palazzo
16'
D
21
M. Nervo
38'
D
M. Nervo
38'
D
10
Ó. Romero
2 ⚽
22'
M
Ó. Romero
2 ⚽
22'
M
32
S. Meza
G
S. Meza
G
23
T. Peralta
M
T. Peralta
M
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
M · Boca
8.50
2 shots
· 143 pass
L. Gil
M · Huracan
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Ó. Romero
M · Huracan
7.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
M. Giménez
F · Boca
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
L. Blanco
D · Boca
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
Tomás Aranda
M · Boca
7.30
· 77 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brey | G | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Costa | D | 105 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 120 | 6.00 | — | — | 6 | 71 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Weigandt | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 68% | — | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | 2 | 143 | 124% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 35% | — | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Á. Romero | F | 15 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Zeballos | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Braida | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Giménez | F | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Huracan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Galíndez | G | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Ibáñez | D | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Carrizo | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Pereyra | D | 107 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Ignacio Campo | D | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Ó. Cortés | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Gil | M | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Waller | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 34% | 7 | 1 | — |
| L. Blondel | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Kalinger | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ojeda | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Ramírez | F | 25 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| Juan Bisanz | F | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Máximo Palazzo | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Nervo | D | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Ó. Romero | M | 22 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Huracan?
The final score was Boca Juniors 2–3 Huracan.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Huracan?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an Huracan win.