Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 7
August 29, 2026 02:30
T. Belmonte
(ast. S. Ascacibar)
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Lanus 25%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–0 Lanus. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lanus.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
3
0.36
Actual xG
0.17
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
1
9
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
L. Flores
13'
44'
C. Izquierdoz
46'
A. Wlk
/
Y. Valois
A. Velasco
/ S. Villa
60'
Miguel Merentiel
/ E. Valencia
61'
C. Rey Domenech
/ L. Paredes
61'
69'
L. Besozzi
/
E. Salvio
69'
M. Sepulveda
/
D. Aquino
M. Delgado
76'
L. Flores
/ K. Zenon
79'
M. Delgado
/ T. Belmonte
79'
80'
B. Acosta
/
F. N. Watson
⚽T. Belmonte
· ast. S. Ascacibar
90'+3
90'
A. Medina
/
F. Pena Biafore
Pre-match prediction
42.99%
Boca ←
31.18%
X
25.83%
Lanus
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
42.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
0.36
-0.64
0.77
0.17
-0.6
xG dominance was balanced (0.36 – 0.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Á. Montero
39'
G
Á. Montero
39'
G
3
L. Blanco
39'
D
L. Blanco
39'
D
42
F. Herrera
39'
D
F. Herrera
39'
D
2
L. Di Lollo
39'
D
L. Di Lollo
39'
D
24
D. Gorosito
39'
D
D. Gorosito
39'
D
18
M. Delgado
39'
M
M. Delgado
39'
M
23
C. Rey
39'
M
C. Rey
39'
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
1 👟
39'
M
S. Ascacíbar
1 👟
39'
M
20
A. Velasco
39'
F
A. Velasco
39'
F
16
M. Merentiel
39'
F
M. Merentiel
39'
F
19
L. Flores
39'
F
L. Flores
39'
F
Bench
11
Á. Romero
F
Á. Romero
F
8
C. Palacios
F
C. Palacios
F
13
E. Valencia
F
E. Valencia
F
21
K. Zenón
M
K. Zenón
M
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
9
M. Giménez
F
M. Giménez
F
46
M. Satas
D
M. Satas
D
4
N. Figal
D
N. Figal
D
22
S. Villa
F
S. Villa
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
1 ⚽
M
Tomás Belmonte
1 ⚽
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
26
N. Losada
39'
G
N. Losada
39'
G
6
S. Marcich
39'
D
S. Marcich
39'
D
13
J. Canale
39'
D
J. Canale
39'
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
39'
D
C. Izquierdoz
39'
D
33
T. Guidara
39'
D
T. Guidara
39'
D
30
A. Cardozo
39'
M
A. Cardozo
39'
M
5
F. Peña
39'
M
F. Peña
39'
M
25
Dylan Aquino
39'
M
Dylan Aquino
39'
M
8
F. Watson
39'
M
F. Watson
39'
M
11
E. Salvio
39'
M
E. Salvio
39'
M
19
Y. Valois
39'
F
Y. Valois
39'
F
Bench
17
A. Medina
M
A. Medina
M
20
A. Wlk
F
A. Wlk
F
38
B. Acosta
F
B. Acosta
F
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
27
F. Sánchez
D
F. Sánchez
D
42
G. Lobos
F
G. Lobos
F
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
77
L. Besozzi
F
L. Besozzi
F
16
M. Sepúlveda
M
M. Sepúlveda
M
3
N. Morgantini
D
N. Morgantini
D
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
40
Tomás López
D
Tomás López
D
Best on the pitch
T. Guidara
D · Lanus
7.30
· 13 pass
L. Blanco
D · Boca
6.90
· 14 pass
L. Di Lollo
D · Boca
6.90
· 36 pass
Dylan Aquino
M · Lanus
6.90
2 shots
· 14 pass
S. Marcich
D · Lanus
6.90
· 13 pass
C. Izquierdoz
D · Lanus
6.90
· 19 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Montero | G | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Herrera | D | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gorosito | D | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rey | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Velasco | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 39 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Watson | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–0 Lanus.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 31% to a draw, and 25% to an Lanus win.