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Copa Sudamericana · Round of 32 July 24, 2026 02:30
Boca Juniors
1 – 0
Final score
O'Higgins
#2 · 10 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Boca Juniors
Miguel Merentiel (ast. L. Paredes) 44'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 56% win probability (draw 23%, O'Higgins 19%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–0 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for O'Higgins.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
1.32
Actual xG
0.55
3
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
3
11
Tackles
23
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Miguel Merentiel · ast. L. Paredes
44'
↕ T. Aranda / S. Ascacibar
60'
62'
F. Faundez
71'
B. Yanez / B. Rabello ↕
71'
T. Aviles / J. Leiva ↕
↕ D. Gorosito / M. Braida
78'
↕ L. Flores / A. Velasco
78'
79'
M. Maturana / Martin Sarrafiore ↕
79'
N. Garrido / A. Robledo ↕
82'
T. Vecino / A. Castillo ↕
↕ S. Villa / K. Zenon
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.77%
Boca ←
23.52%
X
19.71%
O'Higgins
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors) 56.77% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Boca
2.04
1.32
-0.72
O'Higgins
0.58
0.55
-0.03
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-3-3
1 Á. Montero Á. Montero G 7.00
3 L. Blanco L. Blanco D 7.60
32 Ayrton Costa Ayrton Costa D 7.20
4 N. Figal N. Figal D 6.90
24 D. Gorosito D. Gorosito 78' D 6.70
10 Tomás Aranda Tomás Aranda 60' M 6.50
5 L. Paredes L. Paredes 1 👟 M 7.50
18 Milton Delgado Milton Delgado M 6.70
22 S. Villa S. Villa F 6.90
16 M. Merentiel M. Merentiel 1 ⚽ F 7.70
19 L. Flores L. Flores 78' F 6.60
Bench
11 Á. Romero Á. Romero F
20 A. Velasco A. Velasco 16' M 6.30
23 C. Rey C. Rey M
37
Gonzalo Gelini F
13 J. García J. García G
21 K. Zenón K. Zenón 4' M
12 L. Brey L. Brey G
2 L. Di Lollo L. Di Lollo D
27 Malcom Braida Malcom Braida 16' M 6.30
26 Marco Pellegrino Marco Pellegrino D
25 S. Ascacíbar S. Ascacíbar 34' M 6.60
15 W. Alarcón W. Alarcón M
O'Higgins O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
31 O. Carabalí O. Carabalí G 6.90
6 L. Pavez L. Pavez D 6.50
33 Miguel Brizuela Miguel Brizuela D 7.20
22 A. Robledo A. Robledo 79' D 8.00
3 Felipe Andrés Faúndez González Felipe Andrés Faúndez González D 6.30
11 J. Leiva J. Leiva 70' M 6.60
8 F. Ogaz F. Ogaz M 7.90
7 M. Sarrafiore M. Sarrafiore 79' M 6.50
10 Bryan Rabello Bryan Rabello 70' M 6.50
24 F. González F. González M 6.60
9 A. Castillo A. Castillo 82' F 6.90
Bench
29 B. Yáñez B. Yáñez 24' F 6.90
2 C. Morales C. Morales D
23 Diego Carreño Diego Carreño G
18 Esteban Moreira Esteban Moreira F
27 José Movillo José Movillo D
1 J. Peña J. Peña G
20 L. Díaz L. Díaz D
14 Martín Maturana Martín Maturana 15' M 6.70
21 N. Garrido N. Garrido 15' D 6.90
26 Rodrigo Godoy Rodrigo Godoy F
17 T. Avilés T. Avilés 24' D 6.60
32 T. Vecino T. Vecino 12' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
A. Robledo
A. Robledo
D · O'Higgins
8.00
2 shots · 26 pass
F. Ogaz
F. Ogaz
M · O'Higgins
7.90
· 43 pass
M. Merentiel
M. Merentiel
F · Boca
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
L. Blanco
L. Blanco
D · Boca
7.60
· 41 pass
L. Paredes
L. Paredes
M · Boca
7.50
1 👟
3 shots · 88 pass
Ayrton Costa
Ayrton Costa
D · Boca
7.20
· 52 pass
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Montero G 94 7.00 — — — 18 12% — — —
L. Blanco D 94 7.60 — — — 41 39% 2 — —
Ayrton Costa D 94 7.20 — — — 52 51% — — —
N. Figal D 94 6.90 — — — 72 62% — — —
D. Gorosito D 78 6.70 — — — 39 32% 2 — —
Tomás Aranda M 60 6.50 — — — 47 40% — — —
L. Paredes M 94 7.50 — 1 3 88 78% 1 — —
Milton Delgado M 94 6.70 — — 1 53 50% 2 — —
S. Villa F 90 6.90 — — 2 37 28% 1 — —
M. Merentiel F 94 7.70 1 — 1 28 22% — — —
L. Flores F 78 6.60 — — — 26 21% — — —
A. Velasco M 16 6.30 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
K. Zenón M 4 — — — — 3 3% — — —
Malcom Braida M 16 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
S. Ascacíbar M 34 6.60 — — — 18 16% 2 — —
O'Higgins O'Higgins — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Carabalí G 94 6.90 — — — 28 24% — — —
L. Pavez D 94 6.50 — — 2 43 34% — — —
Miguel Brizuela D 94 7.20 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
A. Robledo D 79 8.00 — — 2 26 19% 2 — —
Felipe Andrés Faúndez González D 94 6.30 — — — 16 10% 2 1 —
J. Leiva M 70 6.60 — — — 43 37% 2 — —
F. Ogaz M 94 7.90 — — — 43 34% 6 — —
M. Sarrafiore M 79 6.50 — — 2 33 23% 3 — —
Bryan Rabello M 70 6.50 — — 1 25 16% 2 — —
F. González M 94 6.60 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
A. Castillo F 82 6.90 — — 1 13 9% — — —
B. Yáñez F 24 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Martín Maturana M 15 6.70 — — — 12 8% — — —
N. Garrido D 15 6.90 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
T. Avilés D 24 6.60 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
T. Vecino F 12 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–0 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an O'Higgins win.