Copa Sudamericana
· Quarter-finals
September 09, 2026 02:30
Miguel Merentiel
52'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 41% win probability (draw 32%, Sao Paulo 25%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–0 Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
2
15
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Miguel Merentiel
52'
63'
Gustavo Santana
/
Luciano
70'
Jonathan Calleri
75'
Dorival Silvestre Júnior
76'
Miguel Merentiel
/ Sebastián Villa
79'
81'
Danielzinho
/
Marcos Antonio
82'
Aldemir Ferreira
/
Jonathan Calleri
Alan Velasco
/ Enner Valencia
85'
90'+1
Andre Silva
/
Artur Victor Guimarães
90'+1
Newton
/
Pablo Maia
Enner Valencia
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
41.96%
Boca ←
32.75%
X
25.29%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
41.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
—
—
0.71
—
—
Lineups
1
Á. Montero
G
Á. Montero
G
3
L. Blanco
D
L. Blanco
D
42
F. Herrera
D
F. Herrera
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
17
L. Lozano
D
L. Lozano
D
25
S. Ascacíbar
M
S. Ascacíbar
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
8
T. Belmonte
M
T. Belmonte
M
19
L. Flores
F
L. Flores
F
16
M. Merentiel
1 ⚽
79'
F
M. Merentiel
1 ⚽
79'
F
20
A. Velasco
85'
F
A. Velasco
85'
F
Bench
11
Á. Romero
F
Á. Romero
F
7
C. Palacios
M
C. Palacios
M
23
C. Rey
M
C. Rey
M
24
D. Gorosito
D
D. Gorosito
D
30
E. Valencia
5'
F
E. Valencia
5'
F
21
K. Zenón
M
K. Zenón
M
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
26
Marco Pellegrino
D
Marco Pellegrino
D
46
M. Satas
D
M. Satas
D
4
N. Figal
D
N. Figal
D
22
S. Villa
11'
F
S. Villa
11'
F
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
5
R. Arboleda
D
R. Arboleda
D
22
Domingos Duarte
D
Domingos Duarte
D
12
Iago
M
Iago
M
8
Marcos Antônio
81'
M
Marcos Antônio
81'
M
29
Pablo Maia
89'
M
Pablo Maia
89'
M
19
Lucas Ramon
M
Lucas Ramon
M
10
Luciano
63'
M
Luciano
63'
M
37
Artur
89'
M
Artur
89'
M
9
J. Calleri
82'
F
J. Calleri
82'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
1'
F
André Silva
1'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
M
Cauly
M
94
Danielzinho
9'
M
Danielzinho
9'
M
48
D. Ferreira
M
D. Ferreira
M
11
Ferreira
8'
F
Ferreira
8'
F
43
G. Santana
27'
F
G. Santana
27'
F
28
Newton
1'
M
Newton
1'
M
2
R. Tolói
D
R. Tolói
D
27
Victor Sá
F
Victor Sá
F
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
Best on the pitch
M. Merentiel
F · Boca
7.59
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
F. Herrera
D · Boca
7.31
· 73 pass
Iago
M · Sao
7.20
· 39 pass
L. Paredes
M · Boca
7.18
1 shots
· 79 pass
R. Arboleda
D · Sao
7.13
1 shots
· 56 pass
Domingos Duarte
D · Sao
6.96
1 shots
· 61 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Montero | G | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Herrera | D | 90 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lozano | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 70% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Belmonte | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 79 | 7.59 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Velasco | F | 85 | 6.24 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 5 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Villa | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arboleda | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Domingos Duarte | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Iago | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 81 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 89 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | M | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 63 | 5.83 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 89 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 82 | 6.13 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| André Silva | F | 1 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 9 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferreira | F | 8 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Santana | F | 27 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Newton | M | 1 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–0 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Sao Paulo win.