Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Boca Juniors, result U. Catolica wins
34'
(ast. E. Mena)
C. Montes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 55% win probability (draw 25%, U. Catolica 18%). The final result was Boca Juniors 0–1 U. Catolica. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for U. Catolica.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
2
2
Shots on target
1
1.59
Actual xG
0.07
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
8
Corners
2
18
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
ast. E. Mena ·
C. Montes⚽
35'
C. Cuevas
A. Herrera
/ A. Velasco
46'
54'
F. Zampedri
M. Delgado
56'
M. Pellegrino
/ Angel Romero
63'
74'
D. Gonzalez
/
J. A. Martinez
74'
A. Farias
/
C. Cuevas
79'
J. Giani
/
C. Montes
M. Gimenez
/ Miguel Merentiel
79'
87'
88'
M. Palavecino
/
F. Zampedri
88'
D. Corral
/
F. Zuqui
L. Di Lollo
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
55.77%
Boca
25.29%
X
18.95%
U. ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica)
18.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
1.59
+0.09
0.60
0.07
-0.53
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Leandro Brey
G
Leandro Brey
G
3
L. Blanco
D
L. Blanco
D
26
Marco Pellegrino
63'
D
Marco Pellegrino
63'
D
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
27
Malcom Braida
D
Malcom Braida
D
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
21
Ander Herrera
45'
M
Ander Herrera
45'
M
5
Leandro Paredes
M
Leandro Paredes
M
18
Milton Delgado
M
Milton Delgado
M
9
Milton Giménez
79'
F
Milton Giménez
79'
F
7
Exequiel Zeballos
F
Exequiel Zeballos
F
Bench
19
Agustín Martegani
M
Agustín Martegani
M
20
Alan Velasco
52'
M
Alan Velasco
52'
M
29
Ángel Romero
34'
F
Ángel Romero
34'
F
13
Javier García
G
Javier García
G
24
Juan Barinaga
D
Juan Barinaga
D
22
Kevin Zenón
M
Kevin Zenón
M
11
Lucas Janson
F
Lucas Janson
F
23
Marcelo Weigandt
D
Marcelo Weigandt
D
16
M. Merentiel
18'
F
M. Merentiel
18'
F
4
Nicolás Figal
D
Nicolás Figal
D
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
1
Vicente Bernedo
G
Vicente Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
1 👟
D
Eugenio Mena
1 👟
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
6
Sebastián Arancibia
D
Sebastián Arancibia
D
20
J. Valencia
M
J. Valencia
M
15
C. Cuevas
74'
M
C. Cuevas
74'
M
14
Jimmy Martínez
74'
M
Jimmy Martínez
74'
M
8
Fernando Zuqui
88'
M
Fernando Zuqui
88'
M
11
C. Montes
1 ⚽
79'
M
C. Montes
1 ⚽
79'
M
9
F. Zampedri
88'
F
F. Zampedri
88'
F
Bench
5
Agustín Farías
23'
M
Agustín Farías
23'
M
13
Alfred Canales
M
Alfred Canales
M
28
Bernardo Cerezo
D
Bernardo Cerezo
D
2
Daniel González
23'
D
Daniel González
23'
D
27
Darío Melo
G
Darío Melo
G
25
Diego Corral
9'
F
Diego Corral
9'
F
12
Francisco Valdés
G
Francisco Valdés
G
7
J. Giani
18'
M
J. Giani
18'
M
22
Martín Gómez
M
Martín Gómez
M
10
M. Palavecino
9'
M
M. Palavecino
9'
M
39
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
46
Vicente Cárcamo
M
Vicente Cárcamo
M
Best on the pitch
Vicente Bernedo
G · U.
8.30
· 34 pass
C. Montes
M · U.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Lautaro Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.30
· 111 pass
Malcom Braida
D · Boca
7.30
· 58 pass
Tomás Aranda
M · Boca
7.30
2 shots
· 46 pass
Milton Giménez
F · Boca
7.30
2 shots
· 10 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Brey | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pellegrino | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 111 | 100% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Malcom Braida | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Leandro Paredes | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Alan Velasco | M | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Ángel Romero | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Bernedo | G | 97 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastián Arancibia | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Martínez | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Zuqui | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Montes | M | 79 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Agustín Farías | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Daniel González | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Diego Corral | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs U. Catolica?
The final score was Boca Juniors 0–1 U. Catolica.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs U. Catolica?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 25% to a draw, and 18% to an U. Catolica win.