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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 4 August 09, 2026 00:15
Boca Juniors
#2 · 30 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Velez Sarsfield
#1 · 17 pts
S. Ascacibar 39'
12' D. Valdes
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Velez Sarsfield 20%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–1 Velez Sarsfield. In 2 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Velez Sarsfield.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
4
1.95
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
8
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
D. Valdes⚽
L. Blanco
36'
⚽S. Ascacibar
39'
41'
G. Barros Schelotto
42'
L. Robertone
A. Costa
44'
46'
S. Escobar / D. Valdes ↕
↕ A. Costa / M. Pellegrino
46'
54'
E. Gomez
60'
M. Pellegrini
↕ Miguel Merentiel / M. Gimenez
63'
63'
T. Aguirre / D. Godoy ↕
63'
C. Baeza / E. Gomez ↕
↕ T. Aranda / A. Velasco
63'
↕ L. Flores / S. Villa
74'
82'
L. Feler / L. Robertone ↕
83'
A. Veron / M. Lanzini ↕
88'
J. Garcia
Pre-match prediction
53.17%
Boca
26.51%
X ←
20.33%
Velez
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Boca
1.41
1.95
+0.54
Velez
0.72
0.72
+0.0
Boca Juniors dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 16 30
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 16 28
4 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 16 26
5 Independiente Independiente 16 24
6 Lanus Lanus 16 24
7 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16 22
8 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 16 21
9 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 16 21
10 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 19
11 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 19
12 Platense Platense 16 16
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 16
14 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 16 15
15 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 11
Lineups
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-3-3
1 Á. Montero Á. Montero G 7.20
3 L. Blanco L. Blanco D 6.90
32 Ayrton Costa Ayrton Costa 45' D 6.20
2 L. Di Lollo L. Di Lollo D 7.30
17 L. Lozano L. Lozano D 6.30
18 Milton Delgado Milton Delgado M 7.30
5 L. Paredes L. Paredes M 9.00
25 S. Ascacíbar S. Ascacíbar 1 ⚽ M 7.50
10 Tomás Aranda Tomás Aranda 63' F 6.90
16 M. Merentiel M. Merentiel 63' F 7.20
19 L. Flores L. Flores 74' F 7.00
Bench
11 Á. Romero Á. Romero F
20 A. Velasco A. Velasco 32' M 6.60
23 C. Rey C. Rey M
24 D. Gorosito D. Gorosito D
21 K. Zenón K. Zenón M
12 L. Brey L. Brey G
27 Malcom Braida Malcom Braida M
26 Marco Pellegrino Marco Pellegrino 50' D 6.60
9 M. Giménez M. Giménez 32' F 6.70
4 N. Figal N. Figal D
22 S. Villa S. Villa 21' F 7.20
15 W. Alarcón W. Alarcón M
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
1 T. Marchiori T. Marchiori G 8.50
3 Elías Gómez Elías Gómez 63' D 6.70
2 E. Mammana E. Mammana D 7.00
32 Thiago Silveor Thiago Silveor D 7.90
4 J. García J. García D 6.30
8 L. Robertone L. Robertone 82' M 6.60
29 R. Aliendro R. Aliendro M 6.30
22 M. Lanzini M. Lanzini 82' M 6.90
10 D. Valdés D. Valdés 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.20
11 M. Pellegrini M. Pellegrini M 5.90
15 D. Godoy D. Godoy 63' F 6.70
Bench
34 Alvaro Busso Alvaro Busso G
47 A. Pereyra A. Pereyra D
17 A. Verón A. Verón 13' F 6.30
5 C. Baeza C. Baeza 32' M 6.90
25 Franco Villalba Franco Villalba G
37 Juan Cruz Policella Juan Cruz Policella F
19 L. Cristaldo L. Cristaldo D
16 L. Magallán L. Magallán D
30 L. Piola L. Piola F
48 Luca Feler Luca Feler 13' M 6.60
18 S. Escobar S. Escobar 50' D 7.00
39 T. Aguirre T. Aguirre 32' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
L. Paredes
L. Paredes
M · Boca
9.00
4 shots · 89 pass
T. Marchiori
T. Marchiori
G · Velez
8.50
· 36 pass
Thiago Silveor
Thiago Silveor
D · Velez
7.90
1 shots · 49 pass
S. Ascacíbar
S. Ascacíbar
M · Boca
7.50
1 ⚽
6 shots · 33 pass
L. Di Lollo
L. Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.30
· 84 pass
Milton Delgado
Milton Delgado
M · Boca
7.30
2 shots · 48 pass
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Montero G 95 7.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
L. Blanco D 95 6.90 — — — 50 36% 3 1 —
Ayrton Costa D 45 6.20 — — 1 33 32% — 1 —
L. Di Lollo D 95 7.30 — — — 84 72% 4 — —
L. Lozano D 95 6.30 — — — 61 50% 1 — —
Milton Delgado M 95 7.30 — — 2 48 41% 3 — —
L. Paredes M 95 9.00 — — 4 89 75% 4 — —
S. Ascacíbar M 95 7.50 1 — 6 33 30% 3 — —
Tomás Aranda F 63 6.90 — — 2 44 39% — — —
M. Merentiel F 63 7.20 — — 2 18 15% — — —
L. Flores F 74 7.00 — — 3 28 26% 2 — —
A. Velasco M 32 6.60 — — — 16 11% — — —
Marco Pellegrino D 50 6.60 — — — 23 17% — — —
M. Giménez F 32 6.70 — — 1 2 — 1 — —
S. Villa F 21 7.20 — — — 12 11% — — —
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Marchiori G 95 8.50 — — — 36 16% — — —
Elías Gómez D 63 6.70 — — — 18 17% 1 1 —
E. Mammana D 95 7.00 — — — 44 34% 5 — —
Thiago Silveor D 95 7.90 — — 1 49 33% 2 — —
J. García D 95 6.30 — — — 32 25% 3 1 —
L. Robertone M 82 6.60 — — — 35 30% 2 1 —
R. Aliendro M 95 6.30 — — 2 35 31% 1 — —
M. Lanzini M 82 6.90 — — — 36 33% 3 — —
D. Valdés M 45 7.20 1 — 1 22 15% — — —
M. Pellegrini M 95 5.90 — — — 33 25% — 1 —
D. Godoy F 63 6.70 — — 2 12 7% — — —
A. Verón F 13 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
C. Baeza M 32 6.90 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
Luca Feler M 13 6.60 — — 1 5 5% — — —
S. Escobar D 50 7.00 — — — 14 10% 4 — —
T. Aguirre F 32 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–1 Velez Sarsfield.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Velez Sarsfield win.