Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 10
October 10, 2026 18:00
A. Cermak
(ast. V. Smrz)
26'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians 1905 a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 27%). The final result was Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava. In 2 previous meetings, Bohemians 1905 have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Baník Ostrava.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
2.51
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
5
24
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽A. Cermak
· ast. V. Smrz
26'
46'
D. Gilbert
/
F. Sancl
60'
A. Musak
/
D. Planka
V. Smrz
/ S. Obinaya
69'
L. Krobot
/ V. Pilar
69'
73'
74'
A. Traore
/
J. Boula
74'
M. Kohut
/
V. Jurecka
R. Kvet
/ S. Cerny
79'
83'
M. Kmet
/
D. Holzer
A. Cermak
/ D. Vala
90'+3
L. Almasi
/ D. Heidenreich
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
41.85%
Bohemians ←
30.25%
X
27.9%
Baník
we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians 1905)
41.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
2.51
+1.24
0.77
0.73
-0.04
Bohemians 1905 dominated by xG (2.51 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
T. Frühwald
G
T. Frühwald
G
37
D. Javorček
D
D. Javorček
D
3
Matej Kadlec
D
Matej Kadlec
D
27
D. Lischka
D
D. Lischka
D
24
M. Havel
D
M. Havel
D
32
P. Mirvald
D
P. Mirvald
D
16
R. Květ
79'
M
R. Květ
79'
M
42
V. Smrž
1 👟
69'
M
V. Smrž
1 👟
69'
M
47
A. Čermák
1 ⚽
M
A. Čermák
1 ⚽
M
99
L. Almási
F
L. Almási
F
9
L. Krobot
69'
F
L. Krobot
69'
F
Bench
8
D. Heidenreich
D
D. Heidenreich
D
18
D. Vala
D
D. Vala
D
19
J. Kovařík
M
J. Kovařík
M
22
J. Vondra
D
J. Vondra
D
15
M. Banda
D
M. Banda
D
12
M. Reichl
G
M. Reichl
G
66
Oliver Mikuda
M
Oliver Mikuda
M
25
P. Kareem
D
P. Kareem
D
62
Samuel Obinaya
24'
M
Samuel Obinaya
24'
M
70
Simon Cerny
14'
M
Simon Cerny
14'
M
11
V. Pilař
24'
M
V. Pilař
24'
M
23
M. Jedlička
G
M. Jedlička
G
42
J. Míček
D
J. Míček
D
83
R. Nogha
D
R. Nogha
D
17
M. Frydrych
D
M. Frydrych
D
34
A. Bewene
M
A. Bewene
M
18
D. Planka
60'
M
D. Planka
60'
M
5
J. Boula
74'
M
J. Boula
74'
M
19
F. Šancl
45'
M
F. Šancl
45'
M
95
D. Holzer
83'
M
D. Holzer
83'
M
22
V. Skrkon
F
V. Skrkon
F
15
V. Jurečka
74'
F
V. Jurečka
74'
F
Bench
55
Artúr Musák
33'
M
Artúr Musák
33'
M
8
A. Traoré
19'
M
A. Traoré
19'
M
7
D. Gilbert
48'
M
D. Gilbert
48'
M
28
F. Kubala
F
F. Kubala
F
37
M. Chaluš
D
M. Chaluš
D
81
M. Kmeť
10'
D
M. Kmeť
10'
D
21
M. Kohút
19'
M
M. Kohút
19'
M
3
Rhodri Smith
D
Rhodri Smith
D
1
V. Budinský
G
V. Budinský
G
Best on the pitch
A. Čermák
M · Bohemians
10.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
Matej Kadlec
D · Bohemians
8.30
2 shots
· 51 pass
M. Havel
D · Bohemians
7.90
· 39 pass
R. Květ
M · Bohemians
7.90
· 37 pass
V. Smrž
M · Bohemians
7.60
1 👟
4 shots
· 28 pass
P. Mirvald
D · Bohemians
7.50
· 26 pass
Bohemians 1905 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frühwald | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — |
| D. Javorček | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| Matej Kadlec | D | 93 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lischka | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Havel | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mirvald | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Květ | M | 79 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Smrž | M | 69 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 28 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Čermák | M | 93 | 10.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Almási | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Krobot | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Obinaya | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Cerny | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| V. Pilař | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jedlička | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Míček | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Nogha | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Frydrych | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bewene | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Planka | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Boula | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Šancl | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Holzer | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| V. Skrkon | F | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Jurečka | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Traoré | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Gilbert | M | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Kmeť | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Kohút | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava?
The final score was Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava.
What did the model predict before Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Bohemians 1905 win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Baník Ostrava win.