✗Model wrong — prediction Bohemians, result Draw
C. Whelan
23'
(pen.)
37'
A. Bolger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 67% win probability (draw 16%, Galway United 15%). The final result was Bohemians 1–1 Galway United. In 3 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Galway United.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
5
Shots on target
1
2.20
Actual xG
0.24
0
Saves
4
73%
Possession
27%
11
Corners
3
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
21'
J. Keohane
⚽C. Whelan
(pen.)
23'
37'
A. Bolger⚽
S. Todd
49'
52'
D. Hurley
D. Devoy
52'
63'
F. Lomboto
/
D. Connolly
N. Morahan
/ R. Tierney
66'
D. James-Taylor
/ J. Flores
66'
70'
K. Twardek
/
F. Pierrot
71'
G. Facchineri
C. Byrne
/ C. Parsons
82'
D. Rooney
/ M. Strods
83'
87'
J. Thiam
/
A. Bolger
Pre-match prediction
67.7%
Bohemians
16.95%
X ←
15.35%
Galway
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
2.20
-0.54
1.20
0.24
-0.97
Bohemians dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
P. Walters
G
P. Walters
G
22
Sam Todd
D
Sam Todd
D
12
P. Hickey
D
P. Hickey
D
24
C. Byrne
82'
D
C. Byrne
82'
D
11
D. Rooney
82'
M
D. Rooney
82'
M
8
H. Vaughan
M
H. Vaughan
M
10
D. Devoy
M
D. Devoy
M
4
N. Morahan
66'
M
N. Morahan
66'
M
16
D. Power
M
D. Power
M
9
C. Whelan
1 ⚽
F
C. Whelan
1 ⚽
F
18
D. James-Taylor
66'
F
D. James-Taylor
66'
F
Bench
17
A. McDonnell
M
A. McDonnell
M
7
C. Parsons
11'
F
C. Parsons
11'
F
6
J. Flores
27'
M
J. Flores
27'
M
1
K. Chorążka
G
K. Chorążka
G
32
M. Strods
11'
M
M. Strods
11'
M
26
R. Tierney
27'
M
R. Tierney
27'
M
5
S. Diallo
M
S. Diallo
M
15
S. Mullen
D
S. Mullen
D
23
Zane Myers
D
Zane Myers
D
16
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
30
A. Kazeem
D
A. Kazeem
D
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
15
O. Williams
D
O. Williams
D
4
J. Keohane
D
J. Keohane
D
24
E. McCarthy
M
E. McCarthy
M
20
M. Zaidan
M
8
A. Bolger
1 ⚽
87'
M
A. Bolger
1 ⚽
87'
M
10
D. Hurley
M
D. Hurley
M
23
F. Pierrot
70'
F
F. Pierrot
70'
F
21
D. Connolly
63'
F
D. Connolly
63'
F
Bench
9
F. Lomboto
30'
F
F. Lomboto
30'
F
28
J. Morahan
D
J. Morahan
D
17
Junior Thiam
6'
M
Junior Thiam
6'
M
5
Killian Brouder
D
Killian Brouder
D
11
K. Twardek
23'
M
K. Twardek
23'
M
14
Matthew Wolfe
M
Matthew Wolfe
M
37
Mitchell Bates
M
Mitchell Bates
M
32
Vincent Angelini
G
Vincent Angelini
G
Best on the pitch
D. Devoy
M · Bohemians
8.50
· 86 pass
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G · Galway
8.20
· 42 pass
A. Bolger
M · Galway
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
C. Byrne
D · Bohemians
7.90
· 63 pass
H. Vaughan
M · Bohemians
7.70
5 shots
· 49 pass
D. Rooney
M · Bohemians
7.50
1 shots
· 38 pass
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Walters | G | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Sam Todd | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Hickey | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Byrne | D | 82 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rooney | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Vaughan | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | 5 | 49 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Devoy | M | 93 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 80% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Morahan | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Power | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 93 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. James-Taylor | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Parsons | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Flores | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Strods | M | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Tierney | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha | G | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Kazeem | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Williams | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Keohane | D | 93 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. McCarthy | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaidan | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bolger | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Connolly | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lomboto | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Junior Thiam | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Twardek | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Galway United?
The final score was Bohemians 1–1 Galway United.
What did the model predict before Bohemians vs Galway United?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Bohemians win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Galway United win.