✓Model correct — prediction Bohemians
D. Devoy
(ast. H. Vaughan)
8'
D. James-Taylor
28'
J. Flores
42'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 69% win probability (draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 9%). The final result was Bohemians 3–0 Sligo Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sligo Rovers.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
2
9
Shots on target
0
1.43
Actual xG
0.15
0
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Devoy
· ast. H. Vaughan
8'
⚽D. James-Taylor
28'
29'
T. George
/
K. Woolery
31'
S. Quirk
41'
C. McHugh
⚽J. Flores
42'
57'
R. O'Kane
/
A. Nolan
58'
O. Denham
/
C. McHugh
D. James-Taylor
/ C. Whelan
60'
C. Parsons
/ M. Strods
70'
J. Flores
/ A. McDonnell
70'
H. Vaughan
/ Z. Myers
70'
77'
C. Lynch
/
L. Young
77'
K. McDonagh
/
J. Shorrock
D. Devoy
/ N. Morahan
82'
87'
O. Denham
Pre-match prediction
69.59%
Bohemians ←
20.5%
X
9.91%
Sligo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians)
69.59%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.22
1.43
-0.79
0.72
0.15
-0.57
Bohemians dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
P. Walters
75'
G
P. Walters
75'
G
15
S. Mullen
75'
D
S. Mullen
75'
D
24
C. Byrne
75'
D
C. Byrne
75'
D
12
P. Hickey
75'
D
P. Hickey
75'
D
16
D. Power
75'
D
D. Power
75'
D
6
J. Flores
1 ⚽
70'
M
J. Flores
1 ⚽
70'
M
10
D. Devoy
1 ⚽
75'
M
D. Devoy
1 ⚽
75'
M
7
C. Parsons
70'
M
C. Parsons
70'
M
8
H. Vaughan
1 👟
70'
M
H. Vaughan
1 👟
70'
M
26
R. Tierney
75'
M
R. Tierney
75'
M
18
D. James-Taylor
1 ⚽
60'
F
D. James-Taylor
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
17
A. McDonnell
5'
M
A. McDonnell
5'
M
9
C. Whelan
15'
F
C. Whelan
15'
F
1
K. Chorążka
G
K. Chorążka
G
32
M. Strods
5'
M
M. Strods
5'
M
4
N. Morahan
M
N. Morahan
M
41
P. Madden
F
P. Madden
F
3
R. Burke
D
R. Burke
D
5
S. Diallo
M
S. Diallo
M
23
Zane Myers
5'
D
Zane Myers
5'
D
29
S. Sargeant
75'
G
S. Sargeant
75'
G
3
Sean Stewart
75'
D
Sean Stewart
75'
D
16
C. McHugh
57'
D
C. McHugh
57'
D
52
G. McElroy
75'
D
G. McElroy
75'
D
7
J. Shorrock
75'
M
J. Shorrock
75'
M
4
S. Quirk
75'
M
S. Quirk
75'
M
6
L. Young
75'
M
L. Young
75'
M
19
A. Nolan
57'
M
A. Nolan
57'
M
10
A. Meekison
75'
F
A. Meekison
75'
F
9
Luke Pearce
75'
F
Luke Pearce
75'
F
41
K. Woolery
28'
F
K. Woolery
28'
F
Bench
43
Callum Lynch
M
Callum Lynch
M
11
C. Kavanagh
F
C. Kavanagh
F
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
24
J. O'Donnell
F
J. O'Donnell
F
23
K. McDonagh
M
K. McDonagh
M
1
Liam John Hughes
G
Liam John Hughes
G
15
O. Denham
18'
D
O. Denham
18'
D
28
Ryan O'Kane
18'
F
Ryan O'Kane
18'
F
20
T. George
47'
M
T. George
47'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Devoy
M · Bohemians
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 74 pass
J. Flores
M · Bohemians
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 60 pass
D. Power
D · Bohemians
7.60
1 shots
· 49 pass
D. James-Taylor
F · Bohemians
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
R. Tierney
M · Bohemians
7.30
2 shots
· 33 pass
S. Mullen
D · Bohemians
7.20
· 46 pass
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Walters | G | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Mullen | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Byrne | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | — | — | — |
| P. Hickey | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| D. Power | D | 75 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | — | — | — |
| J. Flores | M | 70 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Devoy | M | 75 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 74 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Parsons | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Vaughan | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Tierney | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D. James-Taylor | F | 60 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. McDonnell | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Strods | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Zane Myers | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sligo Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sargeant | G | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sean Stewart | D | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McHugh | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| G. McElroy | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Shorrock | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Quirk | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Young | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Nolan | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Meekison | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Pearce | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Woolery | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Denham | D | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Ryan O'Kane | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. George | M | 47 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
The final score was Bohemians 3–0 Sligo Rovers.
What did the model predict before Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Bohemians win, 20% to a draw, and 9% to an Sligo Rovers win.