Sam Todd
(ast. Jordan Flores)
12'
Ryan Burke
(ast. Sadou Diallo)
64'
38'
(ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
Padraig Amond
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Waterford 20%). The final result was Bohemians 2–1 Waterford. In 4 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
0.56
Actual xG
1.28
3
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
4
17
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Sam Todd
· ast. Jordan Flores
12'
38'
ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto ·
Padraig Amond⚽
cian byrne
48'
49'
(missed pen.)
Tom Lonergan⚽
⚽Ryan Burke
· ast. Sadou Diallo
64'
Sadou Diallo
/ Niall Morahan
74'
James Taylor
/ Colm Whelan
74'
Harry Patrick Vaughan
/ Markuss Strods
74'
Niall Morahan
75'
Ryan Burke
/ Patrick Hickey
78'
79'
Jørgen Voilås
/
Noah Mawene
79'
Evan McLaughlin
/
Luke Heeney
86'
Dean Mcmenamy
/
Jordan Houston
Connor Parsons
/ Dayle Rooney
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
59.21%
Bohemians ←
20.69%
X
20.1%
Waterford
we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians)
59.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
0.56
-1.76
1.32
1.28
-0.04
Waterford dominated by xG (1.28 vs 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
P. Walters
G
P. Walters
G
3
R. Burke
1 ⚽
78'
D
R. Burke
1 ⚽
78'
D
22
S. Todd
1 ⚽
D
S. Todd
1 ⚽
D
24
C. Byrne
D
C. Byrne
D
16
D. Power
D
D. Power
D
6
J. Flores
1 👟
M
J. Flores
1 👟
M
5
S. Diallo
1 👟
74'
M
S. Diallo
1 👟
74'
M
7
C. Parsons
89'
M
C. Parsons
89'
M
8
H. Vaughan
74'
M
H. Vaughan
74'
M
26
R. Tierney
M
R. Tierney
M
18
D. James-Taylor
74'
F
D. James-Taylor
74'
F
Bench
9
C. Whelan
16'
F
C. Whelan
16'
F
11
D. Rooney
1'
F
D. Rooney
1'
F
21
Josh Adam
M
Josh Adam
M
1
K. Chorążka
G
K. Chorążka
G
32
M. Strods
16'
M
M. Strods
16'
M
4
N. Morahan
16'
M
N. Morahan
16'
M
12
P. Hickey
12'
D
P. Hickey
12'
D
41
P. Madden
F
P. Madden
F
23
Zane Myers
D
Zane Myers
D
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
3
Benny Couto
1 👟
M
Benny Couto
1 👟
M
7
N. Mawene
79'
M
N. Mawene
79'
M
15
L. Heeney
79'
M
L. Heeney
79'
M
2
J. Houston
86'
M
10
C. Noonan
M
C. Noonan
M
18
T. Lonergan
F
T. Lonergan
F
9
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
Bench
56
A. Brennan
D
A. Brennan
D
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
27
D. McMenamy
4'
M
D. McMenamy
4'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
11'
M
E. McLaughlin
11'
M
32
G. Amedu
D
G. Amedu
D
6
J. Ashton
D
J. Ashton
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
11'
F
J. Voilås
11'
F
11
T. Coyle
F
T. Coyle
F
Best on the pitch
P. Amond
F · Waterford
7.82
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
J. Flores
M · Bohemians
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 76 pass
S. Todd
D · Bohemians
7.66
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 61 pass
R. Burke
D · Bohemians
7.61
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 53 pass
S. Diallo
M · Bohemians
7.41
1 👟
· 59 pass
H. Vaughan
M · Bohemians
7.38
1 shots
· 36 pass
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Walters | G | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Burke | D | 78 | 7.61 | 1 | — | 3 | 53 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Todd | D | 90 | 7.66 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Byrne | D | 90 | 5.77 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 41% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Power | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Flores | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 76 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Diallo | M | 74 | 7.41 | — | 1 | 0 | 59 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Parsons | M | 89 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Vaughan | M | 74 | 7.38 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Tierney | M | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. James-Taylor | F | 74 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Rooney | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Strods | M | 16 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Morahan | M | 16 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Hickey | D | 12 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 90 | 5.42 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Benny Couto | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 79 | 5.83 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 79 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Houston | M | 86 | 5.42 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 90 | 6.03 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 90 | 5.46 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 90 | 7.82 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 4 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 11 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Waterford?
The final score was Bohemians 2–1 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Bohemians vs Waterford?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Bohemians win, 20% to a draw, and 20% to an Waterford win.