✓Model correct — prediction Bolívar
Dairon Asprilla
(ast. Robson Matheus)
10'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 85% win probability (draw 7%, Blooming 6%). The final result was Bolívar 1–0 Blooming. In 1 previous meetings, Bolívar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Blooming.
Match statistics
25
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
11
2.75
Actual xG
0.81
10
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
9
Corners
4
9
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Dairon Asprilla
· ast. Robson Matheus
10'
47'
Richard Spenhay
José Sagredo
57'
62'
Miguel Angel Villarroel Tardio
/
Moisés Villarroel
Martín Cauteruccio
/ dorny romero
66'
dorny romero
68'
70'
Guilmar Centella Bazan
73'
Julio Demian Vila
76'
Roberto Carlos Melgar Simoes
/
Guilmar Centella Bazan
84'
Gerardo Cuasace Osinaga
/
Federico Ramos
84'
Auli Oliveros
/
Roberto Hinojosa
Ervin vaca
/ anderson ayhuana
85'
Robson Matheus
/ Carlos Melgar
85'
Leonel Justiniano
86'
Jhon velasquez
/ Jesus Manuel Sagredo
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
85.91%
Bolívar ←
7.66%
X
6.42%
Blooming
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolívar)
85.91%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.24
2.75
-1.49
1.11
0.81
-0.3
Bolívar dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Lampe
G
C. Lampe
G
4
Jose Sagredo
D
Jose Sagredo
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
33
F. Mena
D
F. Mena
D
8
L. Paz
D
L. Paz
D
7
J. Velásquez
89'
M
J. Velásquez
89'
M
23
L. Justiniano
M
L. Justiniano
M
6
E. Vaca
85'
M
E. Vaca
85'
M
14
R. Matheus
1 👟
85'
M
R. Matheus
1 👟
85'
M
9
M. Cauteruccio
66'
F
M. Cauteruccio
66'
F
27
D. Asprilla
1 ⚽
F
D. Asprilla
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
A. Ayhuana
5'
D
A. Ayhuana
5'
D
10
B. Arce
M
B. Arce
M
11
B. Miranda
F
B. Miranda
F
80
C. Melgar
5'
M
C. Melgar
5'
M
77
D. Romero
24'
F
D. Romero
24'
F
35
E. Rivero
D
E. Rivero
D
26
E. Saavedra
M
E. Saavedra
M
19
J. García
M
J. García
M
12
J. Morales
G
J. Morales
G
2
Jose Sagredo
90'
D
Jose Sagredo
90'
D
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
5
S. Echeverría
D
S. Echeverría
D
71
G. Almada
G
G. Almada
G
24
Eduardo Justiniano Vaca
D
Eduardo Justiniano Vaca
D
22
J. Vila
D
J. Vila
D
44
M. Enoumba
D
M. Enoumba
D
18
D
6
R. Spenhay
M
R. Spenhay
M
19
F. Ramos
84'
M
F. Ramos
84'
M
10
R. Hinojosa
84'
M
R. Hinojosa
84'
M
8
Moisés Villarroel
62'
M
Moisés Villarroel
62'
M
88
G. Bazan
76'
M
G. Bazan
76'
M
29
B. Garcés
F
B. Garcés
F
Bench
33
A. Oliveros
6'
M
A. Oliveros
6'
M
1
B. Uraezaña
G
B. Uraezaña
G
4
D. Durán
D
D. Durán
D
28
E. Álvarez
D
E. Álvarez
D
79
G. Cuasace
6'
F
G. Cuasace
6'
F
55
J. Carrasco
D
J. Carrasco
D
14
J. Mercado
D
J. Mercado
D
2
M. Cabral
F
M. Cabral
F
7
Miguel Villarroel
28'
F
Miguel Villarroel
28'
F
25
Roberto Melgar Simoes
14'
M
Roberto Melgar Simoes
14'
M
77
S. Espinoza
M
S. Espinoza
M
Best on the pitch
C. Lampe
G · Bolívar
9.58
· 31 pass
D. Asprilla
F · Bolívar
7.89
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 13 pass
F. Mena
D · Bolívar
7.80
· 41 pass
Jose Sagredo
D · Bolívar
7.71
· 47 pass
Jose Sagredo
D · Bolívar
7.71
· 47 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.70
1 👟
5 shots
· 30 pass
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 90 | 9.58 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 90 | 7.71 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 90 | 7.63 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Mena | D | 90 | 7.80 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paz | D | 90 | 7.61 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Velásquez | M | 89 | 6.83 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Vaca | M | 85 | 7.09 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Matheus | M | 85 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 5 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 66 | 6.92 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Asprilla | F | 90 | 7.89 | 1 | — | 7 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ayhuana | D | 5 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 5 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 24 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 90 | 7.71 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
Blooming — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Almada | G | 90 | 7.62 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Eduardo Justiniano Vaca | D | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Vila | D | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Enoumba | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 0 | — | — | |
| R. Spenhay | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Ramos | M | 84 | 6.12 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hinojosa | M | 84 | 6.83 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Moisés Villarroel | M | 62 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Bazan | M | 76 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Garcés | F | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Oliveros | M | 6 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Cuasace | F | 6 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Miguel Villarroel | F | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Roberto Melgar Simoes | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Blooming?
The final score was Bolívar 1–0 Blooming.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Blooming?
The model assigned 85% probability to a Bolívar win, 7% to a draw, and 6% to an Blooming win.