Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:00
D. Romero
79'
29'
(ast. J. Meza)
F. Londono
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 29%). The final result was Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira. In 1 previous meetings, Bolívar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Guaira.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
1.97
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
15
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
29'
ast. J. Meza ·
F. Londono⚽
53'
C. Faya
/
F. Londono
C. A. Melgar
/ J. Velasquez
61'
64'
R. Arace
72'
M. Sulbaran
/
J. Meza
72'
M. Gianoli
/
J. Correa
B. Oyola
/ J. Garcia
75'
⚽D. Romero
79'
85'
F. Caceres
/
R. Ibarra
85'
C. Da Silva
/
J. Perdomo
E. Saavedra
/ L. Paz
90'+1
L. Paz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.98%
Bolívar
32.07%
X ←
29.96%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
1.97
+0.54
0.55
0.24
-0.31
Bolívar dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Lampe
G
6
E. Vaca Moreno
D
5
S. Echeverria
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
26
E. Saavedra
D
80
C. A. Melgar
61'
M
23
Leonel Justiniano
M
14
Robson Matheus
M
77
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
9
M. Cauteruccio
F
11
B. Oyola
75'
F
Bench
19
J. Garcia
22'
M
7
J. Velasquez
36'
F
18
L. L. Chavez Cruz
M
8
L. Paz
6'
D
12
G
20
J. Gutiérrez
D
J. Gutiérrez
D
3
D. Osio
D
4
C. Rivero
D
16
Luis Pena
D
13
R. Ibarra
85'
M
8
J. Perdomo
85'
M
27
J. Correa
72'
M
77
R. Arace
64'
M
36
Flabian Londoño
1 ⚽
53'
F
7
J. Meza
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
9
Anthony Uribe
F
21
A. Rodriguez
F
6
Carlos Faya
44'
M
14
C. Da Silva
12'
M
32
F. Caceres
12'
M
19
G. Ascanio
D
24
G. Ortiz
D
10
J. Castellanos
M
5
M. Gianoli
25'
D
33
N. Hernandez
D
Best on the pitch
D. Osio
D · Deportivo
7.90
· 8 pass
Flabian Londoño
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
J. Velasquez
F · Bolívar
7.70
2 shots
· 18 pass
E. Saavedra
D · Bolívar
7.50
· 75 pass
D. Romero
F · Bolívar
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
Robson Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Vaca Moreno | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Echeverria | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Saavedra | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| C. A. Melgar | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Leonel Justiniano | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Robson Matheus | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 97 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Oyola | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Garcia | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Velasquez | F | 36 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Paz | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Osio | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rivero | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Luis Pena | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ibarra | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Perdomo | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arace | M | 64 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Flabian Londoño | F | 53 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Meza | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Da Silva | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Caceres | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gianoli | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The final score was Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bolívar win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Deportivo La Guaira win.