Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:00
D. Romero
79'
29'
(ast. J. Meza)
F. Londono
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 29%). The final result was Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira. In 1 previous meetings, Bolívar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Guaira.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
1.97
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
15
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
29'
ast. J. Meza ·
F. Londono⚽
53'
C. Faya
/
F. Londono
C. A. Melgar
/ J. Velasquez
61'
64'
R. Arace
72'
M. Sulbaran
/
J. Meza
72'
M. Gianoli
/
J. Correa
B. Oyola
/ J. Garcia
75'
⚽D. Romero
79'
85'
F. Caceres
/
R. Ibarra
85'
C. Da Silva
/
J. Perdomo
E. Saavedra
/ L. Paz
90'+1
L. Paz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.98%
Bolívar
32.07%
X ←
29.96%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
1.97
+0.54
0.55
0.24
-0.31
Bolívar dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Carlos Lampe
G
Carlos Lampe
G
6
Ervin Vaca
D
Ervin Vaca
D
5
Santiago Echeverria
D
Santiago Echeverria
D
3
Xavier Arreaga
D
Xavier Arreaga
D
26
Erwin Saavedra
D
Erwin Saavedra
D
80
C. Melgar
61'
M
C. Melgar
61'
M
23
L. Justiniano
M
L. Justiniano
M
14
R. Matheus
M
R. Matheus
M
77
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
9
Martín Cauteruccio
F
Martín Cauteruccio
F
11
Brian Oyola
75'
F
Brian Oyola
75'
F
Bench
7
Jhon Velásquez
36'
F
Jhon Velásquez
36'
F
19
John García
22'
M
John García
22'
M
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
8
Luis Paz
6'
D
Luis Paz
6'
D
12
G
20
Jorge Gutiérrez
D
Jorge Gutiérrez
D
3
Diego Osío
D
4
C. Rivero
D
16
Luis Pena
D
Luis Pena
D
13
Rommell Ibarra
85'
M
Rommell Ibarra
85'
M
8
Juan Perdomo
85'
M
Juan Perdomo
85'
M
27
José Correa
72'
M
José Correa
72'
M
77
R. Arace
64'
M
R. Arace
64'
M
36
Flabian Londoño
1 ⚽
53'
F
Flabian Londoño
1 ⚽
53'
F
7
José Alí Meza
1 👟
72'
F
José Alí Meza
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
F
Alexis Rodríguez
F
9
Anthony Uribe
F
Anthony Uribe
F
6
Carlos Faya
44'
M
Carlos Faya
44'
M
14
Cesar Da Silva
12'
M
Cesar Da Silva
12'
M
32
Franco Cáceres
12'
M
Franco Cáceres
12'
M
19
Genderson Ascanio
D
Genderson Ascanio
D
24
Guillermo Ortíz
D
Guillermo Ortíz
D
10
Juan Castellanos
M
Juan Castellanos
M
5
Martín Gianoli
25'
D
Martín Gianoli
25'
D
33
Nelson Hernández
D
Nelson Hernández
D
Best on the pitch
Diego Osío
D · Deportivo
7.90
· 8 pass
Flabian Londoño
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Jhon Velásquez
F · Bolívar
7.70
2 shots
· 18 pass
Erwin Saavedra
D · Bolívar
7.50
· 75 pass
D. Romero
F · Bolívar
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Lampe | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Vaca | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Santiago Echeverria | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Xavier Arreaga | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Erwin Saavedra | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| R. Matheus | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 97 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Martín Cauteruccio | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Brian Oyola | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | F | 36 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| John García | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luis Paz | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| Jorge Gutiérrez | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Diego Osío | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rivero | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Luis Pena | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Rommell Ibarra | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Perdomo | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| José Correa | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arace | M | 64 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Flabian Londoño | F | 53 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| José Alí Meza | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Cesar Da Silva | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Franco Cáceres | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Gianoli | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The final score was Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bolívar win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Deportivo La Guaira win.