Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:00
D. Romero
79'
29'
(ast. J. Meza)
F. Londono
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 29%). The final result was Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira. In 1 previous meetings, Bolívar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Guaira.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
1.97
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
15
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
29'
ast. J. Meza ·
F. Londono⚽
53'
C. Faya
/
F. Londono
C. A. Melgar
/ J. Velasquez
61'
64'
R. Arace
72'
M. Sulbaran
/
J. Meza
72'
M. Gianoli
/
J. Correa
B. Oyola
/ J. Garcia
75'
⚽D. Romero
79'
85'
F. Caceres
/
R. Ibarra
85'
C. Da Silva
/
J. Perdomo
E. Saavedra
/ L. Paz
90'+1
L. Paz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.98%
Bolívar
32.07%
X ←
29.96%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
1.97
+0.54
0.55
0.24
-0.31
Bolívar dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Lampe
G
C. Lampe
G
6
E. Vaca
D
E. Vaca
D
5
S. Echeverría
D
S. Echeverría
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
26
E. Saavedra
D
E. Saavedra
D
80
C. Melgar
61'
M
C. Melgar
61'
M
23
L. Justiniano
M
L. Justiniano
M
14
R. Matheus
M
R. Matheus
M
77
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
9
M. Cauteruccio
F
M. Cauteruccio
F
11
Brian Oyola
75'
F
Brian Oyola
75'
F
Bench
19
J. García
22'
M
J. García
22'
M
7
J. Velásquez
36'
F
J. Velásquez
36'
F
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
8
L. Paz
6'
D
L. Paz
6'
D
12
G
20
J. Gutiérrez
D
J. Gutiérrez
D
3
Diego Osío
D
4
C. Rivero
D
16
L. Peña
D
13
R. Ibarra
85'
M
8
J. Perdomo
85'
M
27
J. Correa
72'
M
77
R. Arace
64'
M
36
F. Londoño
1 ⚽
53'
F
7
J. Meza
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
F
Alexis Rodríguez
F
9
A. Uribe
F
6
Carlos Faya
44'
M
Carlos Faya
44'
M
14
C. Da Silva
12'
M
32
Franco Cáceres
12'
M
Franco Cáceres
12'
M
19
Genderson Ascanio
D
Genderson Ascanio
D
24
G. Ortiz
D
10
J. Castellanos
M
5
M. Gianoli
25'
D
33
N. Hernández
D
Best on the pitch
Diego Osío
D · Deportivo
7.90
· 8 pass
F. Londoño
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
J. Velásquez
F · Bolívar
7.70
2 shots
· 18 pass
E. Saavedra
D · Bolívar
7.50
· 75 pass
D. Romero
F · Bolívar
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Vaca | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Echeverría | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Saavedra | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| R. Matheus | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 97 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Brian Oyola | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. García | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Velásquez | F | 36 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Paz | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Diego Osío | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rivero | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Peña | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ibarra | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Perdomo | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arace | M | 64 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | 1 |
| F. Londoño | F | 53 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Meza | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Da Silva | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Franco Cáceres | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gianoli | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The final score was Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bolívar win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Deportivo La Guaira win.