← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 3 May 01, 2026 00:00
Bolívar
#2 · 5 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Fluminense
#4 · 2 pts
Robson Matheus (ast. José Sagredo) 6'
Robson Matheus (ast. Patricio Rodríguez) 61'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Fluminense 24%). The final result was Bolívar 2–0 Fluminense.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
1
0.63
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
1
12
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Robson Matheus · ast. José Sagredo
6'
21'
Rodrigo Castillo
29'
Facundo Bernal
48'
Facundo Bernal
48'
Facundo Bernal
John García
57'
↕ John García / Patricio Rodríguez
57'
59'
John Kennedy / Rodrigo Castillo ↕
59'
Alisson / Jefferson Savarino ↕
59'
Yeferson Soteldo / Kevin Serna ↕
⚽Robson Matheus · ast. Patricio Rodríguez
61'
↕ Brian Oyola / Jhon Velásquez
72'
↕ Carlos Melgar / Erwin Saavedra
72'
Leonel Justiniano
74'
↕ Robson Matheus / Ervin Vaca
79'
79'
Guilherme Arana / Agustín Canobbio ↕
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
50.67%
Bolívar ←
25.22%
X
24.11%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Bolívar) 50.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bolívar
2.91
0.63
-2.28
Fluminense
0.85
0.18
-0.67
Bolívar dominated by xG (0.63 vs 0.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Bolívar Bolívar 4-5-1
1
C. Lampe G 6.60
4
José Sagredo 1 👟 D 7.20
27
Ignacio Gariglio D 7.60
3
X. Arreaga D 7.50
8
L. Paz D 6.30
19
J. Garcia 57' M 6.30
80
C. A. Melgar 72' M 6.90
23
Leonel Justiniano M 7.00
14
Robson Matheus 2 ⚽ 79' M 9.90
11
B. Oyola 72' M 7.00
77
D. Romero F 6.50
Bench
26
E. Saavedra 26' M 6.50
6
E. Vaca Moreno 19' M 6.70
33
F. Mena D
7
J. Velasquez 26' F 6.30
18
L. L. Chavez Cruz M
9
M. Cauteruccio F
17
Pato Rodriguez 1 👟 41' F 7.00
5
S. Echeverria D
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
6 Renê Renê D 6.30
22
D 6.30
4 Ignácio Ignácio D 6.50
23 Guga Guga D 6.30
5 Facundo Bernal Facundo Bernal 48' M 5.50
35 Hércules Hércules M 6.70
90 Kevin Serna Kevin Serna 59' M 6.70
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 59' M 6.20
17 Agustín Canobbio Agustín Canobbio 79' M 6.60
19 Rodrigo Castillo Rodrigo Castillo 59' F 6.00
Bench
25 Alisson Alisson 39' M 6.70
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana 19' D 6.60
3
Jemmes D
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 39' F 6.50
94 Otávio Otávio M
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D
7 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 39' F 7.00
Best on the pitch
Robson Matheus
M · Bolívar
9.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 38 pass
Ignacio Gariglio
D · Bolívar
7.60
1 shots · 64 pass
X. Arreaga
D · Bolívar
7.50
· 67 pass
José Sagredo
D · Bolívar
7.20
1 👟
· 30 pass
Y. Soteldo
Y. Soteldo
F · Fluminense
7.00
· 12 pass
Leonel Justiniano
M · Bolívar
7.00
2 shots · 46 pass
Bolívar Bolívar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Lampe G 98 6.60 — — — 33 32% — — —
José Sagredo D 98 7.20 — 1 — 30 28% — — —
Ignacio Gariglio D 98 7.60 — — 1 64 62% 2 — —
X. Arreaga D 98 7.50 — — — 67 64% 2 — —
L. Paz D 98 6.30 — — — 43 38% 1 — —
J. Garcia M 57 6.30 — — 2 16 15% 1 1 —
C. A. Melgar M 72 6.90 — — 1 38 35% — — —
Leonel Justiniano M 98 7.00 — — 2 46 42% 3 1 —
Robson Matheus M 79 9.90 2 — 3 38 34% — — —
B. Oyola M 72 7.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
D. Romero F 98 6.50 — — 2 11 10% 3 — —
E. Saavedra M 26 6.50 — — 1 11 11% — — —
E. Vaca Moreno M 19 6.70 — — — 15 14% — — —
J. Velasquez F 26 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Pato Rodriguez F 41 7.00 — 1 2 18 16% — — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.70 — — — 22 19% — — —
Renê D 98 6.30 — — — 42 38% 4 — —
D 98 6.30 — — 1 72 67% — — —
Ignácio D 98 6.50 — — — 57 55% 1 — —
Guga D 98 6.30 — — — 54 52% 1 — —
Facundo Bernal M 48 5.50 — — — 30 28% 1 2 1
Hércules M 98 6.70 — — — 49 48% 3 — —
Kevin Serna M 59 6.70 — — 1 13 12% — — —
J. Savarino M 59 6.20 — — 1 24 16% — — —
Agustín Canobbio M 79 6.60 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
Rodrigo Castillo F 59 6.00 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
Alisson M 39 6.70 — — — 36 34% — — —
Guilherme Arana D 19 6.60 — — 1 9 7% — — —
John Kennedy F 39 6.50 — — — 8 6% — — —
Y. Soteldo F 39 7.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Fluminense?
The final score was Bolívar 2–0 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bolívar win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Fluminense win.