Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 02:30
M. Cauteruccio
(ast. Robson Matheus)
55'
45'+7
(ast. M. Fernandez)
L. Bucca
90'+2
(ast. J. M. Elordi)
S. Villa
90'+5
D. Crego
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Independ. Rivadavia 33%). The final result was Bolívar 1–3 Independ. Rivadavia. In 1 previous meetings, Bolívar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independ. Rivadavia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
0.79
Actual xG
1.43
5
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
2
25
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
25'
S. Studer
Pato Rodriguez
41'
45'+6
J. M. Elordi
45'+7
ast. M. Fernandez ·
L. Bucca⚽
45'
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
⚽M. Cauteruccio
· ast. Robson Matheus
55'
58'
S. Villa
/
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
67'
R. Atencio
/
M. Fernandez
67'
L. Costa
/
S. Studer
72'
A. Riep
/
L. Bucca
72'
D. Crego
/
F. Sartori
C. A. Melgar
/ L. L. Chavez Cruz
76'
J. Sagredo
/ L. Paz
76'
X. Arreaga
79'
Pato Rodriguez
/ J. Garcia
81'
I. Gariglio
/ S. Echeverria
81'
Robson Matheus
/ E. Saavedra
84'
86'
L. Gomez
90'+2
ast. J. M. Elordi ·
S. Villa⚽
90'+5
D. Crego⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.86%
Bolívar
26.56%
X
33.58%
Independ. ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia)
33.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
0.79
-0.57
1.16
1.43
+0.27
Independ. Rivadavia dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Lampe
G
C. Lampe
G
4
Jose Sagredo
D
Jose Sagredo
D
27
I. Gariglio
81'
D
I. Gariglio
81'
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
2
Jose Sagredo
76'
D
Jose Sagredo
76'
D
80
C. Melgar
76'
M
C. Melgar
76'
M
23
L. Justiniano
M
L. Justiniano
M
14
R. Matheus
1 👟
84'
M
R. Matheus
1 👟
84'
M
17
P. Rodríguez
81'
F
P. Rodríguez
81'
F
9
M. Cauteruccio
1 ⚽
F
M. Cauteruccio
1 ⚽
F
77
D. Romero
F
D. Romero
F
Bench
11
B. Oyola
F
B. Oyola
F
20
C. Sejas
M
C. Sejas
M
15
C. Vedia
M
C. Vedia
M
13
D. Méndez
G
D. Méndez
G
35
E. Rivero
D
E. Rivero
D
26
E. Saavedra
13'
M
E. Saavedra
13'
M
6
E. Vaca
M
E. Vaca
M
19
J. García
16'
M
J. García
16'
M
7
J. Velásquez
F
J. Velásquez
F
18
L. Chávez
21'
M
L. Chávez
21'
M
8
L. Paz
21'
D
L. Paz
21'
D
5
S. Echeverría
16'
D
S. Echeverría
16'
D
1
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
3
J. Elordi
1 👟
D
J. Elordi
1 👟
D
42
Sheyko Studer
67'
D
Sheyko Studer
67'
D
40
I. Villalba
D
I. Villalba
D
14
Luciano Gómez
D
Luciano Gómez
D
25
J. Florentín
58'
M
J. Florentín
58'
M
5
T. Bottari
M
T. Bottari
M
11
G. Ríos
M
G. Ríos
M
8
L. Bucca
1 ⚽
72'
M
L. Bucca
1 ⚽
72'
M
43
F. Sartori
72'
F
F. Sartori
72'
F
10
M. Fernández
1 👟
67'
F
M. Fernández
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
13
A. Osella
D
A. Osella
D
20
A. Riep
25'
M
A. Riep
25'
M
27
D. Crego
1 ⚽
25'
M
D. Crego
1 ⚽
25'
M
36
E. Bonifacio
D
E. Bonifacio
D
21
Emmanuel Gómez
G
Emmanuel Gómez
G
32
K. Vázquez
M
K. Vázquez
M
2
L. Costa
30'
D
L. Costa
30'
D
77
L. Sequeira
M
L. Sequeira
M
19
R. Atencio
30'
F
R. Atencio
30'
F
34
S. Moreyra
M
S. Moreyra
M
22
S. Villa
1 ⚽
39'
F
S. Villa
1 ⚽
39'
F
7
V. Ramis
F
V. Ramis
F
Best on the pitch
S. Villa
F · Independ.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.70
· 19 pass
P. Rodríguez
F · Bolívar
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
L. Bucca
M · Independ.
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 39 pass
D. Crego
M · Independ.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Gariglio | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Matheus | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Rodríguez | F | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Saavedra | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. García | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Chávez | M | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paz | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Echeverría | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Elordi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Villalba | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano Gómez | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Florentín | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Bottari | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Ríos | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bucca | M | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Sartori | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | F | 67 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Riep | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Crego | M | 25 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Costa | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Atencio | F | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Villa | F | 39 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The final score was Bolívar 1–3 Independ. Rivadavia.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Bolívar win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an Independ. Rivadavia win.