Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 02:30
M. Cauteruccio
(ast. Robson Matheus)
55'
45'+7
(ast. M. Fernandez)
L. Bucca
90'+2
(ast. J. M. Elordi)
S. Villa
90'+5
D. Crego
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Independ. Rivadavia 33%). The final result was Bolívar 1–3 Independ. Rivadavia. In 1 previous meetings, Bolívar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independ. Rivadavia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
0.79
Actual xG
1.43
5
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
2
25
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
25'
S. Studer
Pato Rodriguez
41'
45'+6
J. M. Elordi
45'+7
ast. M. Fernandez ·
L. Bucca⚽
45'
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
⚽M. Cauteruccio
· ast. Robson Matheus
55'
58'
S. Villa
/
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
67'
R. Atencio
/
M. Fernandez
67'
L. Costa
/
S. Studer
72'
A. Riep
/
L. Bucca
72'
D. Crego
/
F. Sartori
C. A. Melgar
/ L. L. Chavez Cruz
76'
J. Sagredo
/ L. Paz
76'
X. Arreaga
79'
Pato Rodriguez
/ J. Garcia
81'
I. Gariglio
/ S. Echeverria
81'
Robson Matheus
/ E. Saavedra
84'
86'
L. Gomez
90'+2
ast. J. M. Elordi ·
S. Villa⚽
90'+5
D. Crego⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.86%
Bolívar
26.56%
X
33.58%
Independ. ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia)
33.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
0.79
-0.57
1.16
1.43
+0.27
Independ. Rivadavia dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Carlos Lampe
G
Carlos Lampe
G
4
J. Sagredo
D
J. Sagredo
D
27
Ignacio Gariglio
81'
D
Ignacio Gariglio
81'
D
3
Xavier Arreaga
D
Xavier Arreaga
D
2
Jesús Sagredo
76'
D
Jesús Sagredo
76'
D
80
C. Melgar
76'
M
C. Melgar
76'
M
23
L. Justiniano
M
L. Justiniano
M
14
R. Matheus
1 👟
84'
M
R. Matheus
1 👟
84'
M
17
Patricio Rodríguez
81'
F
Patricio Rodríguez
81'
F
9
Martín Cauteruccio
1 ⚽
F
Martín Cauteruccio
1 ⚽
F
77
D. Romero
F
D. Romero
F
Bench
11
Brian Oyola
F
Brian Oyola
F
20
Carlos Sejas
M
Carlos Sejas
M
15
Cristian Vedia
M
Cristian Vedia
M
13
Diego Méndez
G
Diego Méndez
G
6
Ervin Vaca
M
Ervin Vaca
M
26
Erwin Saavedra
13'
M
Erwin Saavedra
13'
M
35
Escleizon Freita
D
Escleizon Freita
D
7
Jhon Velásquez
F
Jhon Velásquez
F
19
John García
16'
M
John García
16'
M
18
L. Chávez
21'
M
L. Chávez
21'
M
8
Luis Paz
21'
D
Luis Paz
21'
D
5
Santiago Echeverria
16'
D
Santiago Echeverria
16'
D
1
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
3
Juan Manuel Elordi
1 👟
D
Juan Manuel Elordi
1 👟
D
42
Sheyko Studer
67'
D
Sheyko Studer
67'
D
40
Iván Villalba
D
Iván Villalba
D
14
Luciano Gómez
D
Luciano Gómez
D
25
J. Florentín
58'
M
J. Florentín
58'
M
5
Tomas Bottari
M
Tomas Bottari
M
11
Gonzalo Ríos
M
Gonzalo Ríos
M
8
Leonel Bucca
1 ⚽
72'
M
Leonel Bucca
1 ⚽
72'
M
43
F. Sartori
72'
F
F. Sartori
72'
F
10
M. Fernández
1 👟
67'
F
M. Fernández
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
13
Alejo Osella
D
Alejo Osella
D
20
Alessandro Riep
25'
M
Alessandro Riep
25'
M
27
Diego Crego
1 ⚽
25'
M
Diego Crego
1 ⚽
25'
M
21
Emmanuel Gómez Riga
G
Emmanuel Gómez Riga
G
36
Ezequiel Bonifacio
D
Ezequiel Bonifacio
D
32
Kevin Vázquez
M
Kevin Vázquez
M
2
Leonard Costa
30'
D
Leonard Costa
30'
D
77
Luis Sequeira
M
Luis Sequeira
M
19
R. Atencio
30'
F
R. Atencio
30'
F
34
Stefano Moreyra
M
Stefano Moreyra
M
22
S. Villa
1 ⚽
39'
F
S. Villa
1 ⚽
39'
F
7
Victorio Ramis
F
Victorio Ramis
F
Best on the pitch
S. Villa
F · Independ.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.70
· 19 pass
Patricio Rodríguez
F · Bolívar
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
Leonel Bucca
M · Independ.
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 39 pass
Diego Crego
M · Independ.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Lampe | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Sagredo | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignacio Gariglio | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Xavier Arreaga | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Sagredo | D | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Matheus | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Patricio Rodríguez | F | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Martín Cauteruccio | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Erwin Saavedra | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| John García | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Chávez | M | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Paz | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Echeverria | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Elordi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Iván Villalba | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano Gómez | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Florentín | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tomas Bottari | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Ríos | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Bucca | M | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Sartori | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | F | 67 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessandro Riep | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Diego Crego | M | 25 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leonard Costa | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Atencio | F | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Villa | F | 39 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The final score was Bolívar 1–3 Independ. Rivadavia.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Bolívar win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an Independ. Rivadavia win.