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Bolivia - Gambia

Friendlies Internazionali October 05, 2026 00:30
Bolivia
vs
Gambia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.08%
Win
Bolivia
31.18%
Draw
36.74%
Win
Gambia
1.07
Expected xG
1.49

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.38%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gambia a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Bolivia. Expected goals are 1.1 for Bolivia and 1.5 for Gambia (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.38% probability.

Season Stats

Bolivia
1W 1D 5L
Gambia
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.0
2.3
Conceded
3.0
1.5
Shots OT
—
2.0
Corners
—
43%
Poss.
—
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
100%
57%
O 2.5
100%
14%
BTTS
100%
14%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Bolivia
1W 1D 4L · at home
Gambia
0W 0D 2L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
3.0
17%
Win %
0%
33%
Win or Draw
0%
83%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
100%
17%
BTTS
100%
17%
Clean Sht
0%
67%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bolivia Gambia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 11.5% 8.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.3% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Bolivia Bolivia
L Argentina 4–0
L Paraguay 0–2
L Algeria 0–4
L Scotland 0–4
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Gambia Gambia
L Iran 3–1
L Senegal 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Bolivia Bolivia
Attack
9
Defence
38
Form
27
Gambia Gambia
Attack
25
Defence
25
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bolivia vs Gambia?
The model gives Bolivia a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Gambia win.
How many goals are expected in Bolivia vs Gambia?
Expected goals: Bolivia 1.1, Gambia 1.5 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bolivia vs Gambia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.38%.