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Bolivia - Paraguay

Friendlies Internazionali September 27, 2026 22:30
Bolivia
vs
Paraguay
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.29%
Win
Bolivia
26.82%
Draw
46.89%
Win
Paraguay
0.81
Expected xG
2.39

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.89%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 27%
2 47%
Double Chance
1X 53%
X2 74%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paraguay a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bolivia. Expected goals are 0.8 for Bolivia and 2.4 for Paraguay (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.89% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Bolivia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Paraguay.

Season Stats

Bolivia
1W 1D 3L
Paraguay
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
0.7
3.0
Shots OT
7.0
3.0
Corners
3.0
54%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
67%
20%
BTTS
33%
20%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
Bolivia
1W 1D 3L · at home
Paraguay
1W 0D 1L · away
0.8
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
20%
Win %
50%
40%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
50%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
0%
20%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
60%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bolivia Paraguay →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 9.8% 11.7% 9.3% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Bolivia Bolivia
L Algeria 0–4
L Scotland 0–4
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
L Mexico 0–1
D Panama 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Paraguay Paraguay
W Nicaragua 4–0
L Morocco 2–1
W Greece 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Bolivia Bolivia
Attack
20
Defence
40
Form
35
Paraguay Paraguay
Attack
65
Defence
87
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Bolivia
1
Draw
1
Paraguay
19 Nov 2024 World Cup - Qual. S.Am. 2–2
18 Oct 2023 World Cup - Qual. S.Am. 0–1

Unavailable

Paraguay
D. Gómez
D. Gómez
Injured
M. Almirón
M. Almirón
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bolivia vs Paraguay?
The model gives Bolivia a 26% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 46% for an Paraguay win.
How many goals are expected in Bolivia vs Paraguay?
Expected goals: Bolivia 0.8, Paraguay 2.4 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bolivia vs Paraguay?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.89%.