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Serie A · Regular Season - 34 April 25, 2026 18:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Bologna
#18 · 2 pts
0 – 2
Final score
AS Roma
#1 · 13 pts
7' (ast. N. El Aynaoui) D. Malen
45'+1 (ast. D. Malen) N. El Aynaoui
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 37% win probability (draw 29%, AS Roma 33%). The final result was Bologna 0–2 AS Roma. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
2
0.55
Actual xG
2.14
0
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. N. El Aynaoui · D. Malen⚽
45'+1
ast. D. Malen · N. El Aynaoui⚽
↕ J. Miranda / N. Zortea
46'
↕ S. Castro / J. Odgaard
46'
46'
D. Rensch / Z. Celik ↕
46'
M. Hermoso
61'
D. Ghilardi / M. Hermoso ↕
61'
R. Vaz / M. Soule ↕
↕ Joao Mario / L. De Silvestri
66'
66'
D. Rensch
69'
N. El Aynaoui
77'
P. Dybala / D. Malen ↕
↕ R. Orsolini / N. Cambiaghi
77'
↕ E. Fauske Helland / M. Vitik
77'
90'+4
J. Ziolkowski / N. Pisilli ↕
Pre-match prediction
37.24%
Bologna
29.29%
X
33.48%
AS ←
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 33.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bologna
1.18
0.55
-0.63
AS
1.01
2.14
+1.13
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
Bologna Bologna 3-4-2-1
13 F. Ravaglia F. Ravaglia G 6.20
14
D 6.70
26 Jhon Lucumí Jhon Lucumí D 6.30
5 Eivind Helland Eivind Helland 77' D 6.60
33 Juan Miranda Juan Miranda 45' M 6.30
19 L. Ferguson L. Ferguson M 6.70
8 R. Freuler R. Freuler M 6.30
17 João Mário João Mário 66' M 5.60
11 J. Rowe J. Rowe F 6.60
7 R. Orsolini R. Orsolini 77' F 6.70
9 S. Castro S. Castro 45' F 6.60
Bench
30 B. Domínguez B. Domínguez F
21 J. Odgaard J. Odgaard 45' F 6.90
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri Lorenzo De Silvestri 24' D 6.70
20 Nadir Zortea Nadir Zortea 45' D 6.30
28 N. Cambiaghi N. Cambiaghi 13' F 6.70
6 N. Moro N. Moro M
23 S. Sohm S. Sohm M
4 T. Pobega T. Pobega M
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99
G 7.00
22 Hermoso Hermoso 61' D 6.30
5
D 6.90
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini D 7.20
43 Wesley Wesley M 6.60
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 89' M 6.30
4
M 6.50
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik 45' M 6.60
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.20
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 61' F 7.00
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 77' F 9.00
Bench
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 45' D 7.50
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 1' D
12 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy F
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 18 pass
Devyne Rensch
Devyne Rensch
D · AS
7.50
· 11 pass
N. El Aynaoui
N. El Aynaoui
F · AS
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.20
· 36 pass
M. Soulé
M. Soulé
F · AS
7.00
· 31 pass
G · AS
7.00
· 36 pass
Bologna Bologna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ravaglia G 90 6.20 — — — 62 47% — — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 62 58% 3 — —
Jhon Lucumí D 90 6.30 — — — 62 54% 2 — —
Eivind Helland D 77 6.60 — — — 64 55% 2 — —
Juan Miranda M 45 6.30 — — — 17 9% — — —
L. Ferguson M 90 6.70 — — — 63 49% 2 — —
R. Freuler M 90 6.30 — — — 47 37% — — —
João Mário M 66 5.60 — — — 36 26% 2 — —
J. Rowe F 90 6.60 — — 1 22 18% — — —
R. Orsolini F 77 6.70 — — 4 18 13% 1 — —
S. Castro F 45 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
J. Odgaard F 45 6.90 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Lorenzo De Silvestri D 24 6.70 — — — 11 11% — — —
Nadir Zortea D 45 6.30 — — — 19 14% — — —
N. Cambiaghi F 13 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 36 12% — — —
Hermoso D 61 6.30 — — 1 22 15% 2 1 —
D 90 6.90 — — — 33 26% 1 — —
G. Mancini D 90 7.20 — — — 36 27% 3 — —
Wesley M 90 6.60 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
N. Pisilli M 89 6.30 — — — 31 26% — — —
M 90 6.50 — — — 42 35% 1 — —
Z. Çelik M 45 6.60 — — — 16 9% 1 — —
N. El Aynaoui F 90 7.20 1 1 1 30 23% 1 1 —
M. Soulé F 61 7.00 — — — 31 26% 2 — —
D. Malen F 77 9.00 1 1 2 18 15% — — —
Devyne Rensch D 45 7.50 — — — 11 11% — 1 —
Jan Ziółkowski D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs AS Roma?
The final score was Bologna 0–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bologna win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an AS Roma win.