7'
(ast. N. El Aynaoui)
D. Malen
45'+1
(ast. D. Malen)
N. El Aynaoui
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 37% win probability (draw 29%, AS Roma 33%). The final result was Bologna 0–2 AS Roma. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
2
0.55
Actual xG
2.14
0
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. N. El Aynaoui ·
D. Malen⚽
45'+1
ast. D. Malen ·
N. El Aynaoui⚽
J. Miranda
/ N. Zortea
46'
S. Castro
/ J. Odgaard
46'
46'
D. Rensch
/
Z. Celik
46'
M. Hermoso
61'
D. Ghilardi
/
M. Hermoso
61'
R. Vaz
/
M. Soule
Joao Mario
/ L. De Silvestri
66'
66'
D. Rensch
69'
N. El Aynaoui
77'
P. Dybala
/
D. Malen
R. Orsolini
/ N. Cambiaghi
77'
E. Fauske Helland
/ M. Vitik
77'
90'+4
J. Ziolkowski
/
N. Pisilli
Pre-match prediction
37.24%
Bologna
29.29%
X
33.48%
AS ←
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
33.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.55
-0.63
1.01
2.14
+1.13
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Federico Ravaglia
G
14
D
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
5
E. Helland
77'
D
E. Helland
77'
D
33
Juan Miranda
45'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
8
Remo Freuler
M
Remo Freuler
M
17
João Mário
66'
M
11
J. Rowe
F
J. Rowe
F
7
R. Orsolini
77'
F
R. Orsolini
77'
F
9
S. Castro
45'
F
S. Castro
45'
F
Bench
30
Benjamín Domínguez
F
21
J. Odgaard
45'
F
J. Odgaard
45'
F
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
24'
D
20
Nadir Zortea
45'
D
28
N. Cambiaghi
13'
F
N. Cambiaghi
13'
F
6
Nikola Moro
M
Nikola Moro
M
23
Simon Sohm
M
4
T. Pobega
M
T. Pobega
M
99
G
22
Hermoso
61'
D
Hermoso
61'
D
5
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
43
Wesley
M
Wesley
M
61
Niccolò Pisilli
89'
M
Niccolò Pisilli
89'
M
4
M
19
Z. Çelik
45'
M
Z. Çelik
45'
M
8
Neil El Aynaoui
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Neil El Aynaoui
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
18
M. Soulé
61'
F
M. Soulé
61'
F
14
D. Malen
1 ⚽
1 👟
77'
F
D. Malen
1 ⚽
1 👟
77'
F
Bench
2
Devyne Rensch
45'
D
Devyne Rensch
45'
D
24
Jan Ziółkowski
1'
D
Jan Ziółkowski
1'
D
12
Kostas Tsimikas
D
Kostas Tsimikas
D
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
F
Stephan El Shaarawy
F
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
F · AS
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
Devyne Rensch
D · AS
7.50
· 11 pass
Neil El Aynaoui
F · AS
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.20
· 36 pass
M. Soulé
F · AS
7.00
· 31 pass
G · AS
7.00
· 36 pass
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ravaglia | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — | |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Remo Freuler | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 66 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rowe | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Odgaard | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Hermoso | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Mancini | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Z. Çelik | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Neil El Aynaoui | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Soulé | F | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 77 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | D | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs AS Roma?
The final score was Bologna 0–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bologna win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an AS Roma win.