Serie A
· Regular Season - 34
April 25, 2026 20:00
7'
(ast. N. El Aynaoui)
D. Malen
45'+1
(ast. D. Malen)
N. El Aynaoui
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 37% win probability (draw 29%, AS Roma 33%). The final result was Bologna 0–2 AS Roma. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
2
0.55
Actual xG
2.14
0
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. N. El Aynaoui ·
D. Malen⚽
45'+1
ast. D. Malen ·
N. El Aynaoui⚽
J. Miranda
/ N. Zortea
46'
S. Castro
/ J. Odgaard
46'
46'
D. Rensch
/
Z. Celik
46'
M. Hermoso
61'
D. Ghilardi
/
M. Hermoso
61'
R. Vaz
/
M. Soule
Joao Mario
/ L. De Silvestri
66'
66'
D. Rensch
69'
N. El Aynaoui
77'
P. Dybala
/
D. Malen
R. Orsolini
/ N. Cambiaghi
77'
E. Fauske Helland
/ M. Vitik
77'
90'+4
J. Ziolkowski
/
N. Pisilli
Pre-match prediction
37.24%
Bologna
29.29%
X
33.48%
AS ←
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
33.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.55
-0.63
1.01
2.14
+1.13
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Federico Ravaglia
G
Federico Ravaglia
G
14
D
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
5
Eivind Helland
77'
D
Eivind Helland
77'
D
33
Juan Miranda
45'
M
Juan Miranda
45'
M
19
Lewis Ferguson
M
Lewis Ferguson
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
17
João Mário
66'
M
João Mário
66'
M
11
J. Rowe
F
J. Rowe
F
7
Riccardo Orsolini
77'
F
Riccardo Orsolini
77'
F
9
S. Castro
45'
F
S. Castro
45'
F
Bench
30
Benjamín Domínguez
F
Benjamín Domínguez
F
21
Jens Odgaard
45'
F
Jens Odgaard
45'
F
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
24'
D
Lorenzo De Silvestri
24'
D
20
Nadir Zortea
45'
D
Nadir Zortea
45'
D
28
N. Cambiaghi
13'
F
6
Nikola Moro
M
Nikola Moro
M
23
Simon Sohm
M
Simon Sohm
M
4
Tommaso Pobega
M
Tommaso Pobega
M
99
G
22
Mario Hermoso
61'
D
Mario Hermoso
61'
D
5
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
43
Wesley
M
Wesley
M
61
Niccolò Pisilli
89'
M
Niccolò Pisilli
89'
M
4
M
19
Zeki Çelik
45'
M
Zeki Çelik
45'
M
8
N. El Aynaoui
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
N. El Aynaoui
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
18
M. Soulé
61'
F
M. Soulé
61'
F
14
D. Malen
1 ⚽
1 👟
77'
F
D. Malen
1 ⚽
1 👟
77'
F
Bench
2
Devyne Rensch
45'
D
Devyne Rensch
45'
D
24
Jan Ziółkowski
1'
D
Jan Ziółkowski
1'
D
12
Kostas Tsimikas
D
Kostas Tsimikas
D
92
S. El Shaarawy
F
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
F · AS
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
Devyne Rensch
D · AS
7.50
· 11 pass
N. El Aynaoui
F · AS
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.20
· 36 pass
M. Soulé
F · AS
7.00
· 31 pass
G · AS
7.00
· 36 pass
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ravaglia | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — | |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Eivind Helland | D | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Ferguson | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 66 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rowe | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Mancini | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Soulé | F | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 77 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | D | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs AS Roma?
The final score was Bologna 0–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bologna win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an AS Roma win.