Bologna 3–3 Inter — pre-match prediction — Serie A — May 23, 2026

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Serie A · Regular Season - 38 May 23, 2026 18:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Bologna

#18 · 2 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Inter

#2 · 13 pts

F. Bernardeschi 25'

T. Pobega 42'

P. Zielinski 48' (og)

22' F. Dimarco

64' F. Esposito

86' (ast. L. Topalovic) A. Diouf

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 50% win probability (draw 23%, Bologna 25%). The final result was Bologna 3–3 Inter. In 2 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Inter.

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.18

Actual xG

1.59

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Match Events

22'

F. Dimarco⚽

⚽F. Bernardeschi

25'

41'

L. Martinez

⚽T. Pobega

42'

⚽P. Zielinski (og)

48'

54'

A. Bonny / L. Martinez ↕

54'

H. Mkhitaryan / N. Barella ↕

54'

Luis Henrique / F. Dimarco ↕

64'

F. Esposito⚽

↕ L. De Silvestri / N. Zortea

66'

↕ R. Freuler / N. Moro

66'

↕ T. Pobega / J. Odgaard

66'

74'

M. Cocchi / P. Sucic ↕

77'

H. Mkhitaryan

↕ E. Fauske Helland / T. Heggem

81'

L. Topalovic / S. de Vrij ↕

86'

ast. L. Topalovic · A. Diouf⚽

↕ F. Bernardeschi / T. Dallinga

88'

Pre-match prediction

25.75%

Bologna

23.46%

X ←

50.79%

Inter

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bologna

1.00

1.18

+0.18

Inter

1.68

1.59

-0.09

Inter dominated by xG (1.59 vs 1.18). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	Inter	5	13
3	Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone	5	10
7	Juventus	5	10
8	Como	5	10
9	Napoli	5	7
10	Sassuolo	5	7
11	Atalanta	5	6
12	Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese	5	4
14	Torino	5	4
15	Parma	5	4
16	Monza	5	4
17	Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna	5	2
19	Genoa	5	1
20	Venezia	5	0

Lineups

Bologna 4-3-3

Łukasz Skorupski G

Juan Miranda D

Jhon Lucumí D

Eivind Helland D

Lorenzo De Silvestri D

T. Pobega 1 ⚽ M

R. Freuler M

L. Ferguson M

J. Rowe F

S. Castro F

Federico Bernardeschi 1 ⚽ F

Bench

B. Domínguez F

C. Lykogiannis D

F. Ravaglia G

João Mário D

J. Odgaard F

Massimo Pessina G

Nadir Zortea D

N. Moro M

S. Sohm M

T. Dallinga F

T. Heggem D

Inter 3-5-2

Josep Martínez G

Carlos Augusto D

S. de Vrij D

Y. Bisseck D

F. Dimarco 1 ⚽ M

P. Sučić M

P. Zieliński 1 ⚽ M

N. Barella M

A. Diouf 1 ⚽ M

Lautaro Martínez F

F. Esposito 1 ⚽ F

Bench

A. Bastoni D

A. Bonny F

Francesco Acerbi D

Henrikh Mkhitaryan M

Iwo Kaczmarski M

L. Topalović 1 👟 M

Luís Henrique F

Matteo Darmian D

Mattia Mosconi F

M. Cocchi D

Raffaele Di Gennaro G

Y. Sommer G

Bologna — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Łukasz Skorupski	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Miranda	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Jhon Lucumí	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Eivind Helland	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lorenzo De Silvestri	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Pobega	M	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
R. Freuler	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
L. Ferguson	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Rowe	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
S. Castro	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Federico Bernardeschi	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Inter — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Josep Martínez	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Augusto	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
S. de Vrij	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Y. Bisseck	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
F. Dimarco	M	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
P. Sučić	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
P. Zieliński	M	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
N. Barella	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Diouf	M	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lautaro Martínez	F	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
F. Esposito	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bologna vs Inter?

The final score was Bologna 3–3 Inter.

What did the model predict before Bologna vs Inter?

The model assigned 25% probability to a Bologna win, 23% to a draw, and 50% to an Inter win.